Some time back, I profiled patent attorney Bennet Langlotz, who represents the interests of many household-name gun makers. In the process, I discovered he’s a consistent Facebooker, unafraid to share his political views with industry friends — who are likely a quite safe audience.
Langlotz has obviously pondered a lot about yesterday’s presidential election. On November 07, he issued a list of predictions. On Election Day, he posted excited updates about crossing off items on the list, presidential bingo-style. Here they are, with results:
My thoughts on the eve of election day:
Final electoral votes for Trump: 276.
In a lively Facebook feed, Langlotz kept up the comparisons between the 2012 Romney vote versus Trump’s in key states. His observation held, for the most part.
Edison Research of New Jersey claims to be the only exit polling provider for the National Election Pool (a poll for a pool?) The company’s website gives good lip service to sound use of the scientific method — using surveyors who are trained and willing to be non-partisan, and selecting poll sites using unbiased sampling methods, for example. By the time results got to CBS News, its presentation was, as Langlotz predicted, solidly pro-Clinton.
There were enough people “feeling the Johnson” to beat Langlotz’s prediction, albeit by less than half a point. Johonson squeezed out 3.2 percent of the vote.
There surely was some of this in the constant prattle of news coverage that went late into the night, though I couldn’t find any clear evidence other than The Washington Times observing that neither candidate would walk away with a mandate. No matter to Donald Trump, who already declared last spring that he has a popular mandate, after winning the primary.
This took literally minutes after the win was announced, and there are many examples.The Vox blog was among the first to chime in with an article that includes this: “Trump has always played to the people who love him most. If he’s going to be a president for all Americans, he has to stop.”
I couldn’t find an example yet, but hey Bennet, be kind. It may take some time for places like HuffPo to rally an explanation for this prediction of a Clinton landslide.
Posts to social media by lots of conservatives, including Langlotz, bemoaned the delays in calling states for Trump. At some point, someone on my Facebook feed complained about Pennsylvanians not learning math. The early-voting eastern state was shown in Democrat blue on most media sites until California’s results were being posted. The state turned red well after midnight EST.
Langlotz was obviously concerned this one would get away. With all but a handful of states called, however, he declared that he got to mark this “bingo box.” I couldn’t the “angry” quip myself, but this often-used stereotype of Trump supporters had spread to Australia earlier on Election Day.
Trump has said “I will accept the results of this election, if I win.” Looks like we won’t have to worry about this one.
Charges and a conviction have to happen first, all before January 15. Don’t hold your breath.
Trump’s victory speech suitably concluded with a song that summarizes the “I’m voting against that candidate X, rather than for the other candidate” quotes heard from throngs of voters. It was the Rolling Stones’ “You can’t always get what you want.”
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