Written by Sig Silber
Just about a week after NOAA, repeating a mistake of the past, declares that La Nina Conditions are present, ENSO, probably for just a week, decides to protest and records as Neutral both Nino 3.4 and SOI. The Arctic rather than the Equator is now in control. NOAA reminds me of the French in WWII fighting the last war rather than the current one. A dart board or Ouija Board might be a useful tool at this point for making weather predictions beyond 14 days. There are a lot of transitions going on simultaneously and that tends to invalidate forecasts based on statistics.