Profile image
By Political Calculations (Reporter)
Contributor profile | More stories
Story Views

Last Hour:
Last 24 Hours:

The S&P 500 in Week 2 of November 2016

Monday, November 14, 2016 2:44
% of readers think this story is Fact. Add your two cents.

The second week of November 2016 was everything a bored market watcher could hope for, and more! Unexpected news: check! Massive swings in intraday daily stock price volatility: check! Blown prediction about Week 2 of November 2016: check!

Or was it? You be the judge….

Halfway through our hand-drawn forecasting experiment, the actual trajectory of the S&P 500 is running to the low side of our forecast range, which we think will continue in the absence of a noise event (there’s an election in the U.S. sometime next week, right?) or a more fundamental change in the expectations for the future with respect to the S&P 500′s dividends.

Well, we certainly got a noise event! Here’s how things stand on our alternative futures chart, where four weeks ago, we projected that the closing value of the S&P 500 on each trading day would track along in the red-shaded area indicated on the chart, at least in the absence of a significant noise event or a more fundamental shift if the future expectations of investors.


We’ve got one week to go before our red-shaded forecast expires. Who knows what other noise we might see before the next week is over?

Speaking of which, here are some of the headlines that captured the “fun” of Week 2 of November 2016.

Monday, 7 November 2016
Tuesday, 8 November 2016
Wednesday, 9 November 2016
Thursday, 10 November 2016
Friday, 11 November 2016

As always, Barry Ritholtz divided the week’s economic and market news into its positives and negatives.


We encourage you to Share our Reports, Analyses, Breaking News and Videos. Simply Click your Favorite Social Media Button and Share.

Report abuse


Your Comments
Question Razz Sad Evil Exclaim Smile Redface Biggrin Surprised Eek Confused Cool LOL Mad Twisted Rolleyes Wink Idea Arrow Neutral Cry Mr. Green

Top Stories
Recent Stories



Top Global


Top Alternative




Email this story
Email this story

If you really want to ban this commenter, please write down the reason:

If you really want to disable all recommended stories, click on OK button. After that, you will be redirect to your options page.