Written by Sig Silber
NOAA has a “much above average” level of confidence in their 6 – 10 Day Outlook and I do not believe that such a high level of confidence is justified. The pattern in the Eastern Pacific that controls teleconnections is in transition which to me means that there are too many moving parts to be maximally confident. Further out, there are AO/NAO uncertainties. The Northeast U.S. may be the area with the most uncertainty.