Written by Sig Silber
Last week NOAA indicated a very high level of confidence in their 6 to 10 Day and 8 to 14 day Forecast. We demurred. Not sure who will turn out to be correct but NOAA has lowered their level of confidence in what they now call Week One. (Last week this was called Week Two.) When I saw the blocking pattern in Beringia it seemed to me that making a forecast would be challenging and the models forecasting the MJO were all over the place.