Written by Sig Silber
… But Less than Previously
On February 16, 2017 NOAA released their Seasonal Outlook (which actually looks out fifteen months). JAMSTEC, which is a Japanese Research Institute, also has issued their Outlook based on their February 1 forecast for ENSO. We will review what have we learned – and address the question: Are either of these forecasts credible? Also of interest is the possibility of a new El Nino and a possible decadal or even a multi-decadal climate shift in the Pacific to PDO Positive.