Jane Merrick has written a silly piece (£) suggesting that Labour is in a death spiral. She proposes that UKIP and the Tories should strike an electoral pact in the two upcoming by-elections, which clearly isn't going to happen.
Commentators underrate how much UKIP is likely to change (hopefully). Early signs are good. Paul Nuttall seems to be building a collegiate leadership, which will be an excellent change. This will allow UKIP to build policies across the board, with spokespeople allowed to talk in public about their areas.
This big change in culture and organisation will take time to become effective, and much longer to become obvious to voters. So if UKIP falls short in Copeland and Stoke (and it didn't do well in this week's two council by-elections), I wouldn't be much disheartened.
UKIP just has to be sure its new ethos becomes effective before Labour's paymasters tire of Corbyn and overthrow him.
It would be good for UKIP to build a critique of mainstream politicians' green obsession – an obsession shared by the government, Labour, the LibDems, and the SNP. The government claims it wants the UK to be a great place to do business. But that's not going to happen if aggressive decarbonisation makes our energy more and more expensive. Two major thrusts of government policy clash here – and the government looks the other way and pretends the contradiction doesn't exist.
Sometimes there has to be compromise between conflicting objectives. Not here. There's no sign that the levels of carbon dioxide we're likely to see will be harmful in themselves, or that they will cause global temperatures to rise too much. The Global Warming Policy Foundation provides useful source material.
And it's not just business that is affected. Domestic energy bills are higher than they need be because of green subsidies. Noisy, ugly, bird chomping wind farms providing intermittent energy are subsidised. Solar energy is subsidised. Hinkley Point is going to be hugely subsidised. We are going to pay for all this, and there is no point to it at all.
It's not as if we have money to spare. Government is still spending more than it collects in taxes. There are calls to spend more on defence, and more on the NHS.
There must be far more to UKIP than Brexit. And on Greenery, UKIP's offer is distinctive.