Nuttall is repeating Farage's Westminster election mistakes parachuted in to a constituency he has no connection with. Nuttall is not as bright or as able as Farage so he is likely to lose. Leaving aside the ex Tory Carswell, Ukip's best performance in a by-election came in Eastleigh where closely local Diane James came from councillor to a narrow loss in a LibDEm now Tory seat . She looked the business Nuttall looks and sounds like the Scouse scally he is. He has a mountain to climb. His problems with his dodgy Hillsborough claims just makes it even more difficult. Nuttall is a fantasist.