From Gary Savage: In a bull market, surprises come to the upside, and it’s never advisable to lose one’s core position. Such is the case with gold right now.
This rally in gold isn’t going to top until sentiment gets excessively bullish. Right now sentiment is dead neutral, and it will take 5-10 more weeks before sentiment reaches 75% or higher.
I gave everyone a very simple strategy to make money during this intermediate cycle: get long and stay long until the weekly stochastics at least reach overbought, and the intermediate trend line is broken.
One doesn’t have to be leveraged at all times, and hedge if you think a correction is starting is acceptable, but don’t ever lose your core position during an intermediate rally. The bull may not cooperate and produce a correction when you want it to.
The SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:GLD) was trading at $116.62 per share on Monday afternoon, down $0.98 (-0.83%). Year-to-date, GLD has gained 6.40%, versus a 4.03% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.
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