The media have been very negative following the electorate’s decision to leave the EU. At some points the fear mongering has been overbearing. However the damage has now been done and now it is time to keep calm and carry on. Although poor UK data is filtering through, I think Sterling is chronically undervalued at present and although there may be further falls the pound short term, I think the Pound will gain strength against all major currencies medium to long term. A pound rally will not be quick, trade negotiations will be long and arduous. It is estimated over two thousand skilled negotiators will be needed to get all the deals sewn up. Australia is one of the most forthcoming countries with regards to getting trade deals in place and it is estimated that will take two-and-a-half years. So although I think the pound will recover, but do not expect 1.30 anytime soon on GBP/EUR.
The US rate decision was a non-event as predicted , despite the FED meant to be acting as a separate entity to the government I can’t help but think the election influenced the decision on a rate hike. If Trump gets in expect USD to lose value due to his radical ideas regarding trade deals and immigration.
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