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What will affect the value of the pound this week?(Daniel Charles Johnson)

Tuesday, October 18, 2016 8:14
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Pound Forecast

UK inflation data was released today and there were worries of a significant rise, which would have been negative for the pound. The Unilever-Tesco is a prime of example of more expensive imports causing inflation and this problem could become more wide spread throughout commerce as the true impact of the vote to leave the EU filters through.

There was a slight increase, but this was not considered large enough to warrant major problems for Sterling and as  result Sterling strengthened during today’s trading session. GBP/USD up to 1.23 and GBP/EUR at 1.11.

Keep an eye on events at the EU summit this Thursday and Friday as Theresa May is due to be grilled about how Brexit will occur. If there is any change in her stance expect the markets to react. Also on Thursday is the European Central Bank monetary policy statement and if Mario Draghi gives any hint to a change in quantitative easing (QE) increments expect volatility on GBP/EUR. There has been rumors that monthly QE increments would decrease, although this would be quite a surprise considering there has been no increase in inflation in the Eurozone.


With Hilary now clear favorite in the race the markets probably factored in a Clinton win. USD sellers should beware on procrastination however as Trump may well have a trump card up his sleeve to try and convert undecided voters. Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question so the green back could weaken as the election vote draws closer.

If  you have a currency requirement it is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker. The timing of your trade is crucial during such volatile  times, If you have an experienced broker on board he/she can keep you up to date with what is happening in the market to help you make an informed decision. Should you find our information useful and you would like me to assist with your trade I will be happy to help you personally. If you inform me of the the currency pair you are trading, volume and time scale and I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your needs. I work for one of the top brokerages in the country and as such I am in a position to better virtually every competitors rate of exchange.  Please do get in touch by contacting me at Thank you for reading.


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