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Gold Prices Firm, Silver Near 4-Week High But Clinton-FBI Boost 'May Not Last'

Monday, October 31, 2016 6:45
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Adrian Ash is head of research at BullionVault, the world-leading gold trading & ownership service online…

GOLD PRICES traded near $1275 per ounce on Monday morning in London, holding firm against a strong US Dollar as stock markets fell amid US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s demands for details of the FBI’s latest probe into her private emails to be made public before next week’s election, writes Steffen Grosshauser at BullionVault.
Major government bond prices rose everywhere except Italy, where prime minister Matteo Renzi – facing a confidence vote in November’s referendum on constitutional change – vowed to “rebuild everything” destroyed by the weekend’s most powerful earthquake since 1980.
Energy prices meantime fell after the Opec cartel of the world’s biggest crude oil producers failed to agree on supply cuts.
Gold prices jumped over 1% late Friday to the highest level in nearly four weeks after the US Federal Bureau of Investigation said it has reopened its investigation of Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server during her time as secretary of state.
Hedge funds and other money managers had already raised their net long positions in Comex gold for the first time in four during the week-ending last Tuesday, new data released by US regulators the CFTC showed late Friday.
At the same time, the ‘Managed Money’ category of traders cut their bullish betting in Comex silver contracts for the fourth week running, down to the lowest “net long” position since early February.
Chart of 'Managed Money' net speculative long position in Comex silver futures & options
Silver prices held firmer than gold on Monday, trading just 10 cents below Friday’s late pop to 4-week highs of $17.92 per ounce.
With her Republican rival Donald Trump having previously slipped badly in opinion polls, around 1% of Clinton supporters are now less likely to vote for her, suggests a survey by pollster CBS/YouGov.
“The FBI headlines startled a somnolent gold market, driving bullion higher on concerns that a late October surprise could suddenly bolster Trump’s sagging fortunes,” says Tai Wong, metals trading director at Canadian brokerage BMO Capital Markets. 
“The rally may not last though, as we are at the two-minute warning and Clinton is ahead by two scores, so it would require a truly shocking revelation to derail her chances.”
“Investment demand for gold should pick up towards the US presidential elections given the higher suspense ongoing in the [Clinton] issue,” an analyst at ANZ bank wrote on Monday.
“Gold has now held key technical support and looks set for further gains,” confirmed trader Jason Cerisola at Swiss refiner MKS Pamp. 
Retailers in India – formerly the world’s No.1 consumer gold market – meantime reported brisk sales over last week’s Diwali festival, culminating Sunday.
“Consumers are back in the market and retailers are all geared up to meet this demand,” says the mining industry-backed World Gold Council’s India director Somasundaram PR.
With India’s jewelry demand for 2016 to date down over 40% from the first 9 months of last year, “The level of activity only shows that things have come back to normal in trade as well as at the consumer level,” Somasundaram claims.

Formerly City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and head of editorial at the UK’s leading financial advisory for private investors, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at BullionVault – winner of the Queen’s Award for Enterprise Innovation, 2009 and now backed by the mining-sector’s World Gold Council research body – where you can buy gold today vaulted in Zurich on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2010

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.


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