Another day and another manufactured ABC / Wapo poll to review. In today's goal-seeking report, which supposedly includes 2 days of post-FBI responses, Hillary maintained a 1-point advantage over Trump despite ABC/Wapo's admission that her favorability ratings are tanking, support among democrats is declining and voter intesity overall continues to collapse (which is supposedly what drove her massive drop from a 12-point lead in the first place). In part, Hillary's lead was maintained through another 1 point increase in the democrat – republican sampling spread which increased to 10 points (vs. 9 yesterday and 8 the day before) but we suspect other over “oversamples” of certain groups was also required to engineer this latest farce.
METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 26-29, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,165 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 37-27-30 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.
Ironically, Hillary was able to maintain a slight 1 point advantage over Trump despite a surge in her unfavorability ratings, which are now higher than Trump's for the first time in this election cycle.
Clinton is seen unfavorably by 60 percent of likely voters in the latest results, a new high. Trump’s seen unfavorably by essentially as many, 58 percent. Marking the depth of these views, 49 percent see Clinton “strongly” unfavorably, and 48 percent say the same about Trump –unusual levels of strong sentiment.
Beneath these results is a possible slip in enthusiasm for Clinton: Using just the last two nights’ results – after FBI Director James Comey revealed a further Clinton-related email investigation – 47 percent of her supporters say they’re very enthusiastic about her, compared with 51 percent across the previous six nights.
Trump's unfavorables declined modestly as he picked up more support from members of his own party.
Meanwhile, unfavorable ratings vary significantly by demographics with Hillary's highest unfavorable ratings coming from white men without a college degree (79%) and Trump's from from minorities (73%).
Finally, a comparison of the unfavorability ratings of the 2016 candidates to past elections reveal that both Clinton and Trump remain the least liked candidates to seek the presidency in decades.