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Killing the shortage narrative with hard data

Monday, March 6, 2017 12:04
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Headline: Bitcoin & Blockchain Searches Exceed Trump! Blockchain Stocks Are Next!

After years of frustration with Blogger “touching up” my html code to the point of being unrecognizable, I need a new publishing platform. I’m inclined to believe that WikiMedia is the proper venue, but my income is so spotty, a privately hosted Wiki (invited editors only) is not going to happen without some angel funding ($200 first year — 20 people at $10 ea?)

https://www.paypal.me/StevenKritzer

Here’s some example content we will start with the IT occupations and branch out to STEM.

I believe that the data we need to publish is the annual occupational growth data from BLS-OES compared with the relevant degrees conferred from NFS/NCES ranked colleges. Yes, that raw data is out there, but the supply vs. demand data is not conveniently displayed to display losses or under performance.

Code Title Growth Since 2012
Edu Req
15-1131 Computer Programmers -9,123
Bachelors
15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 53,797
Bachelors
15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software -317
Bachelors
15-1134 Web Developers 8,043
Assoc. – some college
15-1141 Database Administrators 2,180
Bachelors
15-1142 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 24,160
NA
15-1143 Computer Network Architects 8,710
Bachelors
15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 59,430
HS / Cert

For the poor kids taking Computer Science in college, there are Systems Developers and Programmers training for the wrong occupation (red), Application Developer are hot right now.

Not requiring a degree at all, Computer User Support Specialists should not be open to H-1B, but MyVisaJobs reports HCL applied for over 500 of them.

Here’s are the relevant degrees conferred (bachelors and above) for Software Developers, Systems Software in 2015, who graduated into a declining (-317) occupation. Yet, thousands of H-1B applied in 2016.


(BTW: Bill Gates (etc) still claims the shortage is because of few Computer Science degrees, there are about three dozen other curriculum offerings for IT now.)  

11.0102 Artificial Intelligence Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 12
Master’s Degrees 65
11.0103 Information Technology Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 36
Master’s Degrees 1,953
Bachelor’s Degrees 7,264
11.0104 Informatics Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 11
Master’s Degrees 227
Bachelor’s Degrees 707
11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 3
Master’s Degrees 43
Bachelor’s Degrees 1,242
11.0202 Computer Programming Special Applications Master’s Degrees 25
Bachelor’s Degrees 371
11.0401 Information Science/Studies Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 129
Master’s Degrees 3,184
Bachelor’s Degrees 6,068
11.0701 Computer Science Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 361
Doctorate Degree-Other 48
Master’s Degrees 2,713
Bachelor’s Degrees 14,501
14.0901 Computer Engineering, General Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 104
Master’s Degrees 682
Bachelor’s Degrees 5,207
14.0903 Computer Software Engineering Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship 5
Master’s Degrees 559
Bachelor’s Degrees 671
15.1204 Computer Software Technology/Technician Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship
Bachelor’s Degrees 37
Subtotal Subtotal 46,228


Source: http://immigration-weaver.blogspot.com/2017/03/killing-shortage-narrative-with-hard.html

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