PCPO Poll No. 201 November 6, 2016
The latest poll on the Palestinian public opinion, prepared by Dr. Nabil
Kukali, revealed the following key results:
– (40.0%) are in favor of Clinton for President of the United States of
– (57.8%) believe that American elections have in many ways an impact on
– (43.1%) believe that both candidates are committed to serve Israeli
– (64.0%) are in favor of preserving and upgrading capabilities to combat
Beit Sahour –Public Relations’ Section – by Adham Kukali:
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and published by the
Palestinian Center for Public Opinion – PCPO (www.pcpo.org) included a
random sample of 1030 adults from Gaza Strip and the West Bank including
East Jerusalem reveals that 40.0% of Palestinians are in favor of Hillary
Clinton for President of the United States. Dr. Nabil Kukali, President and
founder of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion stated that this poll
has been conducted in cooperation with Gallup International Association
(GIA) and the Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN). Dr.
Kukali mentioned that the most significant results included the following:
40.0% of Palestinians are in favor of Hillary Clinton for President, whereas
17.7% are for Trump and 42.3% express no opinion.
When those who expressed no opinion asked about the main reason behind their
not going for any of the two candidates, answers were as follows:
43.1% said it was because of their commitment to serve and defend Israel’s
interests, 6.1% because the two-state solution is not included in their
election platform, 6.5% because of their pledge to move the American embassy
from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem as being the unified capital of Israel, 13.5%
because of their hatred to Islam and Muslims, 11.0% because of lack of
understanding of the international relations, international law and
international economy, 10.0% due to type of personality and that candidates
are disqualified for Presidency. However, 9.8% say I do not know.
With respect to the question: “How much, in your view, is the impact of
American elections on Palestine, on issues such as economic progress, trade,
peace .. etc. In other words, how much is the impact of the American
President on what happens in Palestine?” 13.9% say it is a very high impact,
whereas 43.9% believe it is rather a high impact, 25.7% small impact, and
16.5% say that there is no impact.
And responding in this context to the question: “Considering that America
leads the global economy, should the new American President give priority to
the economic interests of the American people, the interests of the people
of the world as a whole, or equally to both?” 21.6% are more for the
interests of the American people, whereas 28.6% are more for the interests
of the people of the world as a whole, 34.8% say equally to both, and 15.0%
express no opinion.
Responding to the question: “Do you recommend the new American President to
make greater efforts in employing American capabilities in the war against
ISIS for example”, 31.9% believe s/he should make greater efforts, whereas
32.1% believe s/he should retain efforts as they are, 17.3% for decreasing
such efforts, and 18.7% say “I do not know”.
When asked: “How was, in your view, Obama’s general impact on the US power
in the world? Has he made it stronger, weaker or he had no impact during the
eight years of his term?” 22.9% say he has made it stronger, whereas 28.9%
say the opposite, 37.4% say he had no impact, and 10.8% say “I do not know”.
With respect to the question: “If the future President explicitly expressed
determination to sponsor Israeli-Palestinian negotiations and achieving
peace in a period of five years. Would that make you more likely to believe
that achieving peace is possible, or would not change your opinion at all?
2.9% say much more likely, 27.5% somewhat more likely, 37.7% somewhat less
likely, 11.8% much less likely, and 20.1% say “it will not change my view”.
With respect to the question: “To what degree in your view the American
policy will change vis-à-vis the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in case the
democratic candidate Hillary Clinton won the next elections?” 4.2% say it
will drastically change, whereas 31.5% say it will somewhat change, 28.5%
will slightly change, 28.3% will not change at all, and 7.5% say “I do not
Regarding the question: “To what degree, in your view, the American policy
will change vis-à-vis the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in case the
republican candidate Donald Trump won the next elections?” 3.1% say it will
drastically change, whereas 25.4% say it will somewhat change, 26.1% will
slightly change, 33.3% will not change at all, and 12.1% say “I do not know”.
Methodology of the Survey Study
Mr. Elias Kukali, Head of the Quantitative Researches Department at the
PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the
respondents’ homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at
least 5 hours a day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper
representation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise
be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using
Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (172) election
sites, from which (127) sites are located in West Bank and (45) sites in
Gaza Strip according to the distribution of the Central Election Commission.
These election sites were randomly chosen by using
the method of the simple random sample. These in turn were the beginning of
the random sample choice made from those regions in accordance with PCPO’s
long experienced methodology.
Mr. Elias Kukali has further established that the margin of error was (±3.05
%) at a significance and confidence levels of (5.0%) and (95%) respectively.
He added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.3%)
against (50.7%) male respondents. The distribution of the random sample
between the Palestinian two major regions was (62.0%) in the West Bank,
including East Jerusalem, and (38.0 %) in Gaza Strip.
The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) is a leading full service
research institute in Palestine and in a position to organize, implement,
handle and conduct national and regional field surveys, studies and
researches of any size within the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The
PCPO is founded in February 1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who
became the president of this center since that time. After the arrival of
the Palestinian Authority (PA), the PCPO was registered as a research center
under license number (Am/2). The Palestinian Ministry of information issued
the license that permits establishing satellite offices elsewhere in the
West Bank and Gaza Strip. Furthermore, PCPO is registered as a licensed
business at the Ministry of Treasury under number 989326251. The Palestinian
Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) is an independent institution and is not
affiliated or biased to any political inclination or party. In addition,
public opinion polls and surveys are conducted by PCPO with utmost
neutrality and professionalism and PCPO is devoted to provide researchers,
research centers and universities, policy makers, Palestinian political
parties, business men, the media, any parties interested or involved in
Palestinian affairs as well as ordinary people with reliable information and
data on the level and inclinations of the Palestinian public opinion with
regard to topics and politics of general, public interest. In addition, we
are a member of WIN/Gallup International, ANPOP, WAPOR and ESOMAR.
Since its foundation, PCPO is dedicated to the following activities:
1) Conducting public opinion surveys.
2) Omnibus polls and services.
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systems, democracy and human rights, pluralism, citizenship, gender
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team work, statistical programs, institution management.
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not only in Palestine, but all over the world.
Please contact us if you have any questions about Research & Polling and its
Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: 00970. 2. 277 4846, Fax: 00970- 2- 2774892
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P. O. Box 15, Beit Sahour – Palestine