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Professor Who Has Correctly Predicted Every Election Since 1984 Says Trump Has It In The Bag (Video) Boom! Boom!

Friday, October 28, 2016 12:10
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Professor Allan Lichtman on Why Donald J. Trump will win on Nov. 8
Professor Who Has Correctly Predicted Every Election Since 1984 Says Trump Has It In The Bag
Professor Who’s Correctly Called Every Election Since 1984 Says Trump Will Win Narrowly
In a conversation with the Washington Post, American University professor of history Allan J. Lichtman stated that he was standing by his prediction that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will win the election next month, despite being behind in the polls.

Lichtman predicted last month that Trump would be victorious based off of a formula that uses 13 keys. Essentially, if the incumbent party has six keys against it, that candidate will not take the White House. The prof has used this system to accurately call presidential elections since 1984.

However, he made his prediction prior to the Access Hollywood tape and the subsequent avalanche of sexual assault accusations made against Trump, leading to Hillary Clinton holding a substantial lead in national polls. Yet, Lichtman isn’t wavering, but he is offering qualifiers.

Qualification number one: It takes six keys to count the party in power out, and they have exactly six keys. And one key could still flip, as I recognized last time — the third party key, that requires Gary Johnson to get at least five percent of the popular vote. He could slip below that, which would shift the prediction.

The second qualification is Donald Trump. We have never seen someone who is broadly regarded as a history-shattering, precedent-making, dangerous candidate who could change the patterns of history that have prevailed since the election of Abraham Lincoln in 1860.In the end, Lichtman says that everything points to Trump winning by the “narrowest of margins.” He also noted that his prediction isn’t a “crystal ball” and if Hillary pulls it out it could “reset everything.”

Professor Who Has Correctly Predicted Every Election Since 1984 Says Trump Has It In The Bag

Excerpted From The Daily Caller: Professor Allan J. Lichtman successfully predicted every popular vote since 1984, and his simple system predicts Republican nominee Donald Trump will win Nov. 8, according to a Friday report.

Lichtman asserts that his 13 key questions can predict “well ahead of time” who will win the election, reports The Washington Post.

“The keys basically assess the strength and performance of the party holding the White House,” Lichtman said.

“There are 13 keys. An answer of true on these true/false questions always favors the reelection of the party in power. And if six or more of the 13 keys are false, the party in power, the party holding the White House, is the predicted loser — any six or more.”

“Early on, the keys were inconclusive. That is, remember, six or more and the party in power is the predicted loser. And for some time, there were five keys out against the incumbent Democrats,” Lichtman explained.

“That sixth key has turned against the Democrats, and that is the third party key, and that is based on an assessment that you would expect the third party candidate, in this case the Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson, to get five percent or more of the vote.”

Lichtman asserts that the fact that Johnson did so well indicates a dissatisfaction with the Party in charge of the White House.

“That’s a big sign of discontent with the party holding the White House. And so, again on the knife edge, you had exactly six fatal keys against the incumbent Democrats,” Lichtman said.

Lichtman finally explained that his predictor is based on history, adding that this could be an election that is so radically different from anything the country has seen before to upset his prediction.

“I do think this election has the potential to shatter the normal boundaries of American politics and reset everything, including, perhaps, reset the keys to the White House. Look, I’m not a psychic. I don’t look at a crystal ball,” Lichtman added.

“The keys are based on history. And they’re based on a lot of changes in history, they’re very robust. But there can come a time when change is so cataclysmic that it changes the fundamentals of how we do our politics, and this election has the  potential — we don’t know yet, but it has the potential.”

Clinton currently has a 5.2 percent lead in the Real Clear national polling average in the head to head poll. Trump is behind with 42.1 percent, and Clinton has 47.3 percent.


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