By Douglas V. Gibbs
Author, Speaker, Instructor, Radio Host
Conventional Wisdom, according to the liberal left Democrats and the mainstream media, says that Hillary Clinton is destined to win the Presidential Election of 2016. Hillary Clinton is so confident that she should win by a landslide that at one point she actually cried about why she's not ahead by 50 points. If Hillary Clinton were a racehorse, a football team, or a boxer, betting against her would be only something a sucker would do.
I have talked to people who support Trump, but won't put Trump bumper stickers on their cars for fear of the car being keyed.
In 1982 the governor's race in California included candidate Tom Bradley of Los Angeles. All of the polls said the first black mayor of L.A. was a shoe-in for governor. Yet, on election day, Bradley lost. A number of people had said they were voting for Bradley, but didn't. They were too afraid they'd be considered racist if they said otherwise. So, it turned out the polls were wrong.
This election also has another unique factor when you campare it to past elections. Trump is like no other candidate in recent history, so how can it be determined from traditional methods if any particular voter will be voting for him, or not? He defied conventional wisdom in the primaries, and he is defying those ideas now. While a good portion of Obama voters are not likely to vote for Trump in this election, a few might be. And, Trump has activated a silent voting block that has been sick of the system, tired of the political machine, and then here comes Trump claiming to be the champion of bringing down that system. He's anti-establishment, and a number of voters, though they may not be in full agreement with all of his policies, like the fact that he's the stick in the spokes of the establishment, and will vote for him because, as Michael Moore put it, Trump is the biggest F-You to the political elite in American History.
All of this has also been terrorized by recent events that makes Hillary look even more untrustworthy than she already is. We have the Wikileaks email releases, Project Veritas videos exposing the Democrat Party and Hillary Clinton election campaign corruption, and then there's the FBI stuff going on which has been re-accelerated by Anthony Weiner's computer. The emerging information that the media has been trying to ignore reveals how much of a corrupt and unlikable person Hillary truly is. And don't think voters aren't paying attention. With the latest revelations, Hillary's lead has plummeted, and in the case of the Washington Post ABC News poll, she's lost 11 points in one week.