Congressman Chris Smith will be reelected with over 70% of the vote in the 4th Congressional District.
Congressman Frank Pallone will survive the Brexit type Trump wave by less than 5%.
Monmouth County Sheriff Shaun Golden will be reelected by over 10%
Monmouth County Surrogate Rosemarie Peters will be reelected by over 10%
Freeholder Director Tom Arnone will be easily reelected as the top vote getter in the race for two Freeholder seats.
Freeholder Deputy Director Serena DiMaso will survive the onslaught of negative TV ads against her and defeat newcomer Sue Fulton by 4%.
Belmar Mayor Matt Doherty will come in last place in the Freeholder race, derailing his political viability. He will step down as Mayor of Belmar before the end of the year.
Democrat Sheriff candidate Jeff Cantor and Surrogate candidate Vincent Solomeno will get cushy government or non-profit jobs outside of Monmouth County within six months.
Public Question #1, the expansion of casino gambling into Northern New Jersey will fail.
Public Question #2, the dedication of the Gas Tax revenue to the Transportation Trust Fund will fail.
Municipal Races we’re watching
Republican Council candidates Joshua Vallario and Mark Walsifer will be elected in Belmar in another rebuke to the performance of Mayor Matt Doherty.
In Red Bank, Republican Council Candidate Kellie O’Bosky Colwell and Democrat incumbent Councilwoman Kathy Horgan will be elected. Republicans will retain their nominal 4-2 control of the governing body.
Howell Republicans Dan Cardellichio for Mayor and Evelyn O’Donnell for Council will beat back the well funded anti-development campaign against them.
Hazlet Republicans Scott Aagre and Michael Glackin will retain control of the Township Committee for the GOP.
We always watch Middletown for the same reason we enjoyed watching the Harlem Globetrotters in their day. It’s fun to watch extraordinary talent perform even when there is no meaningful competition. Gerry Sharfenberger and Kevin Settembrino will easily be reelected.
Manalapan Republicans Mayor Mary Ann Musich and Kevin Uniglicht will survive the NJ Dem State Committee funded anti-development campaign thanks to the Trump wave.
In Atlantic Highlands, incumbent Republican Councilmen Lou Fligor and Jake Hoffman, running as Independents and with the support of the Atlantic Highlands Democrats, will easily defeat Republicans Susan Tidswell and Steven Boracchia.
In the non-partisan mayoral race in Highlands, former Mayor Rick O’Neil will defeat Councilman Doug Card.
Monmouth County Democrat Chairman Vin Gopal will declare victory due to the Atlantic Highlands and Red Bank results and the possible Democratic take back of Eatontown. Vin will also take credit for winning a Board of Education seat in Bradley Beach.