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Daily Weather Briefing for Saturday, October 12, 2019

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Outlook

A weakening cold front will settle across the region this weekend and remain nearby through much of next week. Disturbances riding southwest flow aloft will support periods of unsettled weather beginning late this weekend and continuing into next week.

State Legislature

The state legislature will not be meeting today. Nor are there any committee meetings scheduled.

THREE DAY GFS FORECAST
This animated image shows a forecast of precipitation, air pressure and thickness level (cold-air damming) for three days in six-hour increments.
Green, Yellow, and Red indicate rain. Orange and Purple Indicate Freezing Rain or other freezing precipitation. Blue indicates snow.



WEATHER SPONSOR

Adams Products, a Division of Oldcastle is underwriting the daily weather briefing & public safety updates for the month.

Open 7:30 AM to 4:00 PM, M-F, located at 895 Hickory Knoll Road, Franklin, NC. Visit our Facebook page at:
https://www.facebook.com/Adams.Oldcastle.Franklin.NC/

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Weather Hazards

Hazardous weather is not expected today.

**Note** A Tropical Weather Outlook section has been added to the daily weather briefing for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and since those tend to run long when there is activity, that section has been added between the daily forecasts for the four regions of the county and the almanac section so people can get to their daily forecasts with minimal interference.




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WEATHER FORECAST MAPS

Forecast maps for 7 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm.
[click on any image in this article to enlarge]



FRANKLIN AREA FORECAST

Today

Partly sunny, with a high in the lower 70s. Light winds out of the northwest.

Tonight

A slight chance of showers before 7pm, then a chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog between midnight and 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Calm winds. Chance of rain is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Sunday

A 40 percent chance of showers. Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Calm winds in the morning increasing and shifting to come out of the southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Calm winds.

Columbus Day

Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.



OTTO AREA FORECAST

Today

Partly sunny, with a high in the lower 70s. Light winds out of the west.

Tonight

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Patchy fog between midnight and 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the lower 50s. Calm winds. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Sunday

A 40 percent chance of showers. Patchy fog in the morning. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high in the upper 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Light winds out of the southwest.

Columbus Day

Mostly sunny, with a high in the mid-70s.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the lower 50s.


HIGHLANDS PLATEAU FORECAST

Today

Partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 60s. Winds out of the northwest around 6 mph.

Tonight

A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1am. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low in the lower 50s. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest around 5 mph after midnight. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Winds out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Winds out of the west around 6 mph.

Columbus Day

Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low in the lower 50s.


NANTAHALA AREA FORECAST

Today

A 20 percent chance of showers after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-60s. Light winds out of the northwest.

Tonight

A 20 percent chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog between 11pm and 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Calm winds.

Sunday

A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 9am. Patchy fog between 8am and 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm winds increasing to come out of the southwest 5 to 10 mph by midmorning. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low in the mid-to-upper 40s. Light winds out of the west.

Columbus Day

Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the New England coast.

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend and early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

2. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of this system is possible before upper-level winds become unfavorable by the middle of next week. This system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.


Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of October
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 91°F in Franklin on 10-05-1954
Lowest Temperature 12°F in Highlands on 10-30-1910
Greatest Rainfall 9.91 inches in Highlands on 10-04-1964
Greatest Snowfall 1.0 inches in Highlands on 10-20-1913

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of October
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 102°F Albemarle, Stanly County 10-06-1954
Lowest Temperature 8°F Banner Elk, Avery County 10-21-1952
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 14.00 in Aberdeen, Moore County 10-16-1913
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 11.0 inches on Mount Mitchell, Yancey County on 10-25-1990

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 66.5°F Hatteras, Dare County
Coldest Weather Station 46.5°F Grandfather Mountain, Avery County
Wettest Weather Station 6.29 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County
Driest Weather Station 2.15 in Hot Springs, Madison County


Published at 3:00am on October 12, 2019


Source: http://thunderpigblog.blogspot.com/2019/10/wx20191012.html


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