If Donald Trump loses to Hillary Clinton in both Florida and Pennsylvania, the race is basically over.
And the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll — taken before the video emerged of Trump admitting sexual assault — shows Hillary Clinton with an edge in Florida and leading by double digits in Pennsylvania.
My favorite numbers:
In Florida, Clinton runs ahead of Trump in a two-way contest among African Americans (86 percent to 6 percent), Latinos (63 percent to 27 percent), likely voters ages 18-29 (63 percent to 31 percent) and women (51 percent to 41 percent).
In Pennsylvania, Clinton has equally large leads among African American likely voters (88 percent to 6 percent) and those ages 18-29 (54 percent to 37 percent. But she holds a nearly 2-to-1 advantage among whites with a college degree (58 percent to 32 percent).
In Philadelphia, Clinton leads Trump by a whopping 74 percent-to-21 percent margin, and her advantage is almost as big in the Philadelphia suburbs, 64 percent to 28 percent.
See more at Little Green Footballs – http://littlegreenfootballs.com