Polls We Didn’t Get to Today (Nov. 2)

Today Susan Wright covered the TargetSmart/William & Mary poll of Florida’s early voters.

Here are the polls we didn’t cover.

STATE POLLS

Arizona: A Data Orbital poll taken Oct. 29-30, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 45%-41%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4%. The polling memo said Trump’s four-point edge is the “largest lead he has garnered in weeks.”

Illinois: A Loras College poll taken Oct. 26-27, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 45%-34%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

Kentucky: The Bowling Green Daily News reports that a Western Kentucky University poll taken Oct. 25-30, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 54%-37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein each at 1%.

Maine: A Maine People’s Resource Center poll of likely ME2 voters, taken Oct. 24-26, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 42%-37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9% and Green Jill Stein at 4%. Maine allocates two of its four electoral votes by congressional district.

Michigan: WJBK-TV reports that the latest Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research tracking poll taken Oct. 31, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 50%-43%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 1%.

Missouri: A Monmouth University poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 52%-38%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

New Hampshire: WMUR-TV reports that a University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll taken Oct. 26-30, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 45%-38%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and Green Jill Stein at 1%. In a similar poll taken Oct. 11-17, Clinton led Trump 48%-33%, with Johnson at 7% and Stein at 2%.

North Carolina: A SurveyUSA poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Trump leading Clinton 51%-44%, with Johnson at 3%. WRAL-TV  reports that in a similar poll “released three weeks ago, Clinton led Trump 46 to 44 percent.”

Pennsylvania: The Allentown Morning Call reports that a Franklin & Marshall College poll taken Oct. 26-30, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 49%-38%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 2%. In a similar poll taken a month ago, Clinton led Trump 47%-38%.

Texas: KTVT-TV reports that a Dixie Strategies survey taken Oct. 27-29, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 52%-39%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3%. In a similar poll taken earlier last month, Trump led Clinton 45%-38%.

Virginia – One Poll Shows Clinton +6, Another +4:

• The Washington Post reports that a new Washington Post-Schar School poll taken Oct. 27-30, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 48%-42%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.
• An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 28-30, shows Clinton leading Trump 49%-45%, with Johnson at 3% and Stein at 1%.

NATIONAL POLLS

IDB/TIPP Tracking poll taken Oct. 26-31, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 45%-44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tied at 46% each, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

Rasmussen Tracker poll taken Oct. 27 and 30-31, shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

Read Oak Strategies National poll taken Oct. 27-28, shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and Green Jill Stein at 2%; 18% were undecided. In a similar poll taken last month, Clinton led Trump 34%-31% in a four-way race.

Senate Polls Kirk, Toomey Trailing; Burr, Blunt Have Small Leads

Illinois:

An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 27-30, shows Rep. Tammy Duckworth (D) leading Sen. Mark Kirk (R) 54%-36%, up from a two-point lead she held in a similar poll taken in September.

A Loras College poll taken Oct. 26-27, shows Duckworth leading Kirk 42%-34%; 16% are undecided.

Pennsylvania:

The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review reports that a Franklin & Marshall College poll taken Oct. 26-30, shows Katie McGinty (D) leading Sen. Pat Toomey (R) 47%-35%; 16% were undecided.  According to the TribuneReview, since October, neither candidate has held a lead of more than 4 percentage points in any poll.

Missouri: A Monmouth University poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Sen. Roy Blunt (R) leading Jason Kander (D) 47%-46%.

Arizona: A Data Orbital poll taken Oct. 29-30, shows Sen. John McCain (R) leading Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 50%-40%.

Kentucky: A Western Kentucky University poll taken Oct. 25-30, shows Sen. Rand Paul (R) leading Lexington Mayor Jim Gray (D) 55%-39%.

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