RSR Staff give our Bold Predictions for Ravens @ Jags in Week 3…
The Ravens suffer their first loss of the season at the hands of the Jaguars and especially QB Blake Bortles. Dean Pees’ secondary gets their first true test and the result is anything but passing. Bortles shreds both Jimmy Smith and Shareece Wright for 4 touchdowns and 350 passing yards.
The Ravens do make it close with their own offensive output. Flacco continues the trend of Wallace touchdowns while Forsett scores his first touchdown of the season.
Jags 31 Ravens 27
The Jags offensive line will likely be without 2 starters in LT Kelvin Beachum (concussion protocol) and C Brandon Linder (knee). It’s likely they slide LG Luke Joeckel to the LT spot, but Joeckel is actually the lowest graded OL for the Jags (per PFF), as well as the most penalized player on the team. I expect the Ravens front seven to exploit the massive weakness and hit Bortles around the same rate at which they pummeled Josh McCown last week. With no time to set up routes, and an inability to run the ball thus far, Jacksonville will struggle offensively, with the bulk of their points coming in junk time, as they did against the Chargers last week, where the Jags were down 35-0 before hitting pay dirt.
On the flip side, there’s a decent chance the Jags will be without DL Jared Odrick, and CBs Davon House & Prince Amukamara. Those are 3 major loses if they don’t play, and the Ravens should take advantage, with Flacco going over 300 and 3 passing TDs (2 for Wallace, 1 for Perriman). With the Jags averaging 32.5 ppg allowed to a struggling Packers offense and a Chargers team without #1 WR Keenan Allen (and Danny Woodhead for half a game) I can’t imagine the Ravens offense won’t take off this week.
Maybe I’m just the eternal optimist, but I see the Ravens leaving Jacksonville 3-0 with a 28-21 victory. A game sealed by an Eric Weddle interception, bringing relief to Elvis Dumervil after the team exercises it’s 2015 demons (or at least one of them).
Also the backup center’s name is Tyler Shatley. I’ll just leave that right there…
While I’m heartened by the beating San Diego gave Jacksonville, even without Keenan Allen on the field, I just haven’t seen anything from this Ravens team yet that makes me completely trust them. Fortunately, I think they take a step in that direction Sunday.
The running game finally finds some space, and Ravens backs combine for 4.2 yards per carry. Terrance West finds paydirt on a one-yard plow. Elvis Dumervil returns and gets some revenge, sacking Blake Bortles without grabbing his facemask. It’ll take another defensive stop late, but I like the Ravens to move to 3-0.
Ravens 23 Jaguars 17
The Ravens offense scores only six points in the first half, but their defense holds Jacksonville to the same total. In a defensive struggle, Terrance West churns out 65 2nd half yards to set up a Flacco-to-Pitta TD late in the 4th.
Baltimore wins and avenges last year’s loss: 16-12.
The Jaguars and Ravens have had polar opposite starts to the 2016 season.
The Jags entered the year with a lot of national buzz, high expectations and a tough early schedule. The Ravens entered the year flying under the radar after last season, but had the fortune of playing arguably the worst two teams in football in weeks one and two. So the Jags are 0-2 and the Ravens are 2-0, but it’s still too early to know if the records are a true reflection of either team.
The Jaguars are desperate and despite playing in the worst division in football, starting 0-3 would make a playoff run an uphill climb. The Ravens are coming off of an emotional roller coaster of a win-advantage Jacksonville.
The Jaguars also boast a talented pass catching group made up of Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns and Julius Thomas. I’m just not sure the Ravens secondary has the pieces to slow down a talented group that’s desperate for a win.
Jaguars 28 Ravens 20
The Ravens started to put some things together in the second half last Sunday, and I think that continues this Sunday. Mike Wallace, Steve Smith Sr., and Dennis Pitta continue to lead the Ravens on offense as the Ravens and Jaguars get into a high-scoring affair. Wallace leads all NFL receivers in yards this week.
But the Ravens defense gets the last word with a sack to end the game (without a facemask grab this time around).
Ravens win 32-28.
Final Score: Baltimore: 23 – Jacksonville: 31
Blake Bortles will score 3 TD’s, but also throw 2 picks, one to Eric Weddle and one to Tavon Young. Baltimore will fail to cash in on the turnovers and that will be their falling.
The run game will struggle to get going, causing Joe to throw 30+ passes. Mike Wallace scores another TD with Terrance West cashing in one on the goal line. Tucker kicks in 2 mid-range and 1 deep (50+) field goals.
The secondary will struggle against a high powered passing offence and the Bortles will have 300+ yards. Allen Robinson has 120 of them.