A Recipe For The Lombardi?
REALITY: The last two times the Baltimore Ravens played the Washington Redskins they lost, and fired their Offensive Coordinator.
Perception: Apparently, it’s worse for the Baltimore coaches to lose to the Redskins then it is for them to lose to the Browns because the last two losses to Washington cost the OC their job. The only good news? The last time this happened (2012), the Ravens fired their OC and went on to win the Super Bowl. Can history repeat itself?
Marty Mornhinweg has been around the block. He has been in the NFL for 22 years and an offensive coordinator for 13 of them. Those two years he failed miserably in Detroit, but then again, most coaches do. Some coaches are better at working with one side of the ball, instead of the whole team, and Mornhinweg looks to be one of those guys.
He has worked with Steve Young, Brett Favre, Donovan McNabb, Mike Vick, and Jeff Garcia. He has had good offenses that ranked in the top half of the league. He has had good passing attacks and good rushing attacks, depending on the personnel. And that is the key.
Right now, the Ravens are a running team. When you rush for nearly 100 yards and not run the ball once in the 4th quarter, something is wrong with the play calling. It’s Mornhinweg’s job to fix that. When it’s a close game and your running attack is working, then hand the ball off. The more you do that, the more you have a chance to throw the ball downfield. The Ravens have the receivers to go deep, but not when you are throwing 3 times the amount that you are running.
It’s crazy when everyone can see that except for the guy calling the plays. That’s why Trestman is no longer wearing purple. John Harbaugh wasn’t happy with what was happening on offense, but he let his guys do their job. And when they aren’t doing their jobs well, he finds a guy who will. That’s what a good leader does.
I don’t want my boss being a micromanager and overstepping on my job. I want to do my job, that’s why they hired me. And if I don’t, then my boss can fire me. Harbaugh leads that way.
REALITY: The Ravens are on their 5th Offensive Coordinator in 5 years.
Harbaugh statement on the firing of OC Marc Trestman pic.twitter.com/6Z8QBmRMiz
— Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) October 10, 2016
Perception: After the 2011 season, the Ravens fired Cam Cameron as offensive Coordinator and promoted Jim Caldwell. After the 2013 season, he left to be a Head Coach, and they hired Gary Kubiak. After the 2014 season, Kubes left to be a Head Coach, and the Ravens hired Marc Trestman. Now, 5 games into the 2016 season, they fire Trestman and promote Mornhinweg.
That’s 5 OC’s in 5 years, under Harbaugh, but only two of them have been fired. Now, the feeling is that the Ravens were happy to see Caldwell move on, because they wanted to go in a different direction anyway. Kubiak’s one year as Ravens OC was a year with the most promise for the Ravens offense systematically. It would have been great to have Kubiak longer, and he was planning on staying, except his dream job opened up, and no one can fault him for going home.
But you can only change the offense so much. Mornhinweg will keep the same system and just change a few things up, specifically the play-calling. But consistency is important, especially on offense. That is why the Ravens have promoted from within whenever they could.
REALITY: Joe Flacco has not looked sharp as quarterback this season.
Ravens had issues going downfield in passing game… Joe Flacco is averaging 5.94 yards per pass attempt, 2nd lowest in NFL
— Brent Harris (@BrentCSN) October 10, 2016
Perception: Flacco is currently 11th in yards in the NFL, but he is tied for 24th in completion percentage. He is also 26th in Passer Rating of starting QBs (just a reminder, there are only 32 teams in the NFL).
His average yards per pass is the lowest of his career at 5.9. When that number is lower than your running backs average yard per carry something is massively wrong. That was the case on Sunday.
REALITY: The Ravens lead the all-time series with the New York Giants 4-1, including the 2001 Super Bowl win.
We asked if @Ravens were truly good after 3-0 start v BUF, JAX & CLE.
They have since lost 2 straight at HOME to 2 of lowest ranked NFL def
— Mark Viviano (@MarkWJZ) October 9, 2016
Perception: This week should tell us more about who the Ravens truly are. The Giants are coming off a couple of bad losses themselves. The Ravens have a new OC who should allow the offense to do what they do best.
The last four games these two teams have played against each other have been decided by 19 points or more, including the 33-14 win in their last meeting in 2012.
The Giants offense is ranked 18th, while the Ravens defense is ranked 3rd.
The Ravens offense is 22nd while the Giants defense is ranked 17th.
The Giants are a -7 in turnovers while the Ravens are even (0).
The Ravens are giving up 17 points per game, while scoring 18 points per game.
The Giants are giving up 21 points per game, while scoring 17 points per game.
So what does all that say? Playing the stats alone, if the Ravens stick to their averages and score 18, they win. If the Giants stick to their average of turning the ball over, the Ravens win.
If the defense can put pressure on Eli Manning and if Joe Flacco and the offense don’t turn the ball over, they should win this game.
The Ravens should make themselves at home, as they will be at Met Life Stadium for the next two weeks. It’s not far from Baltimore, so the travel won’t be an issue.
Ravens win 21-17.