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Fantasy Fallout: Will Jason Castro Have Value In Minnesota?

Saturday, November 26, 2016 5:47
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by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

No one is going to argue that the Twins needed an upgrade behind the plate, but is Jason Castro really the answer to their problems?  At the end of the day the 3-year, $24.5 million contract they gave him isn’t an outrageous number, but what exactly are they buying?  His 2016 numbers would indicate not too much from an offensive standpoint:

329 At Bats
.210 Batting Average (69 Hits)
11 Home Runs
32 RBI
41 Runs
2 Stolen Bases
.307 On Base Percentage
.377 Slugging Percentage
.297 Batting Average on Balls in Play

He’s a career .232 hitter who has seen his strikeout rate consistently rise over the past few seasons.  Now we are taking him out of a favorable locale, so is there anything to actually like?

In regards to the strikeouts, just look at the trend:

  • 2012 – 20.7%
  • 2013 – 26.5%
  • 2014 – 29.5%
  • 2015 – 30.7%
  • 2016 – 32.7%

Interestingly he doesn’t chase too much at all (26.3% O-Swing%), but that doesn’t mean much at this point.  Given the strikeouts and a career .302 BABIP, the chances of him hitting for a strong average are virtually nil.

As for his power, while he has shown some potential over the course of his career he’s hit 40 HR at home compared to 22 on the road.  Taking him out of Houston is going to have an impact, and he’s also a notable platoon threat:

  • vs. RHP – .247/.328/.424
  • vs. LHP – .190/.249/.287

Of course the numbers against right-handed pitchers aren’t going to blow you away, but they are at least better.  Is it enough?  Not really, as he’s nothing more than a flier for those in AL-Only or deeper two-catcher leagues.  There’s simply not enough here to get excited about.

Source – Fangraphs 

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