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WARNING: Tornado Outbreak Detected Across Georgia/Alabama and North Carolina For Tuesday

Monday, April 28, 2014 18:11
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( – The tornado model here at ran the numbers for Tuesday and the numbers are frightening for Eastern AL into Northern GA, where the value is for the highest risk is coming up.  Values like this are like Monday’s event, possibly even higher, and officially now is forecasting a HIGH RISK tornado day for AL/GA with a moderate risk into Northern parts of NC.


A storm system will move very slowly tonight, still bringing a round of thunderstorms overnight for Georgia … and the TWS Tornado Watch is taking care of that.  But that will not be it … As clearing happens, instability will develop behind the overnight/morning storms and later in the day on Tuesday a round of supercells will form across AL and move into GA.  Atlanta, Georgia is ground zero for the dynamics … or anywhere surrounding it.  These storms will be capable of long-tracking violent tornadoes, which will be EF3 or greater.  If trends continue, Enhanced Tornado Watches will be needed over the TWS Alert System.


Storms will form back through Alabama into Southeast MS and the Western FL Panhandle later in the period … but by then directional shear may bring a lesser significant tornado threat.  Still, if trends continue watches will be needed to the Gulf Coast.


North Carolina into Southern VA … Convergence will set up in the North Carolina Piedmont later in the day.  This convergence zone will bring in a strong southeasterly low level wind into it … and with that low level rotation.  Values are level 3 (out of 4) on the model here at, which is a significant risk for tornadoes.  Watches will also likely be needed.


TN/KY/OH … Instability axis extends up through Western OH … any low-topped supercell tomorrow could briefly drop a tornado … and storms forming on the boundary from KY/TN will have an isolated/notable risk of tornadoes … mainly closer to Chattanooga, TN northeast to Knoxville …

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