9-13-17

Possible problem here. Heads up & let’s hopw weather wars will stop their insanity!

Hurricane Jose Turns/Strengthens/Eyes NYC

Source BP Earthwatch

Irma Already Proven Deadly Now Jose Heading to NY: How Much Has Geoengineering Played a Part in These Devastating Hurricanes? (Video) click here

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Hurricane Jose path update: Models spark fears Jose could hit New York or Washington

HURRICANE Jose is looping around over the Atlantic Ocean for now but the latest models suggest that New York or Washington could be at risk further down the line.

The SVWX aggregated storm track model has brought together different possible tracks and shows that Hurricane Jose is likely to curve away from America and out to sea. 

But one outlier track shows that Jose could veer off course and hit the US East Coast near New York. Another track shows Jose could even pass near Washington. 

Several other tracks also point to possible landfall in Florida, although the consensus seems to be that Jose will move parallel to the coast without passing over land. 

The SVWX model brings together forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), America’s Global Forecast System (GFS) and the Canadian Meteorological Center (CMC).

SVWX

Hurricane Jose: Outlier spaghetti models suggest a path towards New York or Washington

WTTG FOX 5 meteorologist Mike Thomas tweeted: “Stay away, Jose! Lucky us so far, models tend to think it will. But we’ll keep an eye on him just in case.”

There is a large spread of possible tracks because there is still a lot of uncertainty over where Jose could go after completing its loop on Friday. 

Fox 61 weatherman Matt Scott said: “There are some rumours swirling about Hurricane Jose hitting New York in ten days. Don’t buy into the hype. 

“It’s not impossible but the probability of that happening is really low.”

Jose appears to be losing steam as it loops the loop over open ocean waters and it could be downgraded to a tropical storm later today. 

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center (NHC) said as of 11am EDT on Tuesday September 12, Hurricane Jose was moving slowly eastward with little change in strength.

By midday, The category 1 storm was 700 miles east of Florida, with sustained winds of 75mph.

Later on in the afternoon at 3pm EDT, forecasters warned that it could strengthen, as it looped around  and take aim at the Bahamas and the United States this weekend.

Then, the 5am EDT advisory said the storm will weaken overnight as it continues to circle the Atlantic for the next 72 hours. 

The NHC said that after this point in time the models start to “diverge significantly” over where Jose could go next. 

“One the right side, the ECMWF and Canadian models forecast a turn toward the north and northeast, while on the left side the UKMET forecasts a westward motion towards the Bahamas,” the NHC said.

NHC•NOAA

“The GFS, HWRF, and the various consensus models are between these extremes in forecasting a turn toward the northwest and eventually north-northwest.”

“The new forecast track is in best agreement with these models and shifts slightly to the right.”

Right now it is simply to early to tell how the cyclone will behave over the next five to 10 days.

Dr Julian Heming, who works on predicting tropical cyclones for the Met Office, yesterday said that Jose seems to be “grinding to a halt”.

The meteorologist said: “What remains to be seen is how far down south Jose will move over the next three days.” 

Dr Heming added that in a worst case scenario, Jose could move down south over the Bahamas and maybe have an impact on the East Coast.

AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, believes that the hurricane will remain over warm waters over the next few days, which should allow it to maintain “robust circulation”.

“Jose is expected to remain between Bermuda and Hispaniola for the next several days but then eventually move westward late this week and then more northward this weekend,” Mr Kottlowski said.

The main concern right now is that the churning hurricane will continue to generate swells across the Caribbean as it loops around. SOURCE Express

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