Free Markets Cease to Work When Govts Interfere
When government interferes with free markets they cease to work properly. Measures that interrupt and manipulate distort markets on a short to intermediate basis, but the final result is never in doubt. Things are altered but only little changed. What is serious about intervention is that it breaks the social and political contract between government and the people. This is the type of social engineering and pragmatism espoused by John Maynard Keynes, which brings us to where we are today. If Keynes were still alive he would witness the failure of the system, he was instrumental in creating it. Keynesianism is in part economic theory, but its real goal is the social-governmental manipulation of markets intended to concentrate government power in the hands of the corporate few producing corporatist fascism as the final economic and financial power under such a system and the final implementation, which ends in the brute force and the manipulation of laws for its completion, which is totalitarian government.
Keynesianism is part of the quest for power, commercial and political, which was attempted in Italy and Germany in the 1930s and 1940s. You might say this was the modern testing ground, financed and abetted by internationalists sources in London and New York. When these sources attempted to ensconce General Smedley Butler as the American president in the early 1930s, and he understood what they were up too, he ended his relationship with the crypto-fascist government, which at that time was in the process of being forced on the American public. Thus, this economic and financial theory of Keynes was part of the rise of corporatist fascism. His ideas and those of others were never able to capture the imagination and following of the American people, thus today it is being forced upon them. The theory is we know better what is good for the people than they do. This allows the elitists to control political power by controlling both major parties from behind the scenes. People do not want this kind of government and do not willingly embrace it. As a result it has to be forced upon them by using economics, politics or the distortion of the law. Thus, we see the pragmatic rise of Keynesianism as an integral part of the effort to bring about total dictatorial power on a scale only previously attempted during the reign of the Roman Empire. This fellow Americans is what is being done to you, your country and your culture.
Part of the success of delivering this system into the hands of the elitists’ is to in great part destroy the system and in turn force the people to accept world fascist government. What you are witnessing is the deliberate controlled demolition of the system.
Unfortunately the Internet and talk radio have upset the plans of the fascists and many of their plans have been interrupted and neutralized. We are sure of that because they tell us that in their comments and their speeches. These disruptions have caused them to make some very desperate moves. Much to their chagrin the public worldwide are discovering who they are and what they are up too. Eventually this exposure will bring them down and their entire system with them. We wrote this before we discovered this link below.
Keynes and the “New Economics” of Fascism | by Joseph T. Salerno [Lecture 6 of 10]
www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpv4W7I4cms&feature=related
Each passing day more and more observers come to the conclusion that there has not been and will not be a recovery in the sense that they believed there would. The proof is the actions the Fed has taken to use additional monetary easing and to continue zero interest rates. We forecasted such events some six weeks before they occurred and believe the Fed will have to inject some $5 trillion over the next two years just to keep the economy going sideways.
As Treasury Secretary Geithner assures us of recovery, Mr. Bernanke assures us that enough stimulus will be added to achieve that recovery. As this transpires the economy falters. We can promise you this all has little to do with the economy, which is an after thought and everything to do with keeping the profits of financial institutions in tact and growing. The stimulus is upon us.
Not only is the Fed going to purchase Treasury and Agency paper with the interest they have received from the CDOs and MBS they purchased from mostly financial institutions, but also they intend to sell that paper back to the sellers. The Fed refuses to tell us what they paid for this toxic garbage, so we will assume it was 70% of the face value. They will now sell these bonds back to the lenders for 25% of face value. The American taxpayer gets to pay the difference. The lenders make out like bandits and the Fed will have cleared its books of what was $1.8 trillion of assets at $1.35 trillion. Ostensibly, the Fed will use those funds to purchase Treasuries and Agencies.
In addition the banks are sitting on $1 trillion plus, which they borrowed from the Fed at zero interest rates and then lent back to the Fed at 2-1/2%. We believe that interest rate will either be reduced or eliminated. The banks can either return the funds or lend them. Under the fractional banking system that can be at any multiple. Lending nine times assets is considered normal. The banks presently are committed for an average of 40 times. Even at five times they can lend $5 trillion if they can find borrowers. A combination of purchases by the Fed and lending by the banks will furnish the required liquidity needed to keep the economy stable, albeit temporary, for the next two years. We believe this is the Fed’s plan, which we exposed a number of weeks ago, while most experts were sleeping. The insiders know and we watched what they were doing and in their greed they exposed the entire plan.
The flip side of the plan is that monetization causes inflation and in this case perhaps hyperinflation. That infusion of capital could keep the stock market at an unreasonably high level, as it is assisted as well by zero interest rates. The great danger is higher gold and silver prices, an indication of higher inflation and loss of purchasing power. That is why, over the past 15 years, the Treasury has manipulated and suppressed gold and silver prices, via the “President’s Working Group on Financial Markets.” The Treasury and the Fed do not want gold and silver prices higher because they reflect the destruction of buying power for US dollar users. This is the game being played and the inside players know they will have to face the music in two years. They will either have to repeat the performance or deflationary depression will take over and swallow the system. It should also be noted that the Treasury via Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae and the FHA has been guaranteeing trillions of dollars in subprime loans, knowing full well that next year those loans have to be rewritten and rolled – as much as 50% could fail. That and the poor economy could bring 20 to 30 percent lower real estate prices over the next several years further depleting the wealth of Americans and causing more massive losses for taxpayers. Many of those packages of loans were also again sold to investors who will be taking losses. If you mix in the losses in commercial real estate you have quite a rancid kettle of fish. This does not present a very encouraging future.
Some view the Fed’s intention to reinvest cash receipts from the CDO-MBS portfolio into Treasuries as no big deal. What the Fed does not tell you is what else they are doing. That is what counts and that is the difference. Can you recall your TARP commitment via AIG that was used to bail out banks, brokerage houses and foreign financial entities? That was a state secret until the Fed was forced to reveal what they had done. Some $112.5 billion went to foreign banks. Thus, the Fed cannot be counted on for any element of truthfulness.
There is no exit strategy and that now is very obvious, at least from a conventional viewpoint. If economists, analysts and strategists understood what this is all about their viewpoints would change dramatically. This crisis just didn’t happen – it was created. Eventually the people behind the curtain will pull the plug and those inside the matrix won’t know what hit them.
The $5 trillion the Fed intends to inject into the system over the next two years, or whatever is necessary, is the signal that tells you the plug is not ready to be pulled, at least not for now. They have to get their next war going first.
The Fed well knows that more and more liquidity is no solution. That has been proven over and over again in history. It has again been proven over the past three years.
We just witnessed another phony market rally based on inside information that the insiders used to best advantage. The elitists ran up the dollar again in another futile attempt to pad the dollar’s value before people realized that excess liquidity could only weaken the dollar. The gold and silver suppression team did its best to smother gold and silver, but was unsuccessful again. We have never seen so many economists, analysts and newsletter writers be so wrong. Being wrong must be a communicable disease.
Treasury paper is at record lows as investors scramble for perceived safety. The manipulation of gold, silver and commodities just gives opportunists the opportunity to buy cheaper. The dollar rally will soon end and gold and silver will move higher – even Goldman thinks so. The hearts of our monetary and fiscal systems are sick and only a purge will make them well again. The longer the inevitable is postponed the worse it is going to be.
Our purchased Congress has again put the fox in charge of the henhouse in the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which will be privately funded by the foxes and not by Congress. The legislation anoints the Federal Reserve as a financial potentate, a financial and monetary dictator that will effectively run America. The vagueness of the legislation is such that its powers are virtually unlimited. This is a far cry from Ron Paul’s legislation to audit and investigate the fed. It proves how powerful banking and Wall Street really is. Via campaign contributions and other artifices, they control most of our elected representatives. They even have a new agency to protect consumers, which is certainly ludicrous. While supposedly protecting consumers the Fed is creating trillions of dollars out of thin air that these same consumers are responsible for. Americans are as well responsible for the losses incurred by the FDIC. Before this depression is over Americans will be enslaved to debt, debt so overwhelming that it can never be paid, and will enslave Americans permanently.
The step that the Fed is engaged in now is a major continuation of quantitative easy, which will be followed by propaganda to make banks lend trillions of dollars and for American consumers and business to borrow to keep the economy running and to pile up more debt. We are skeptical that individuals and business will take the bait. Government programs are now being discussed to refinance toxic waste, known as CDOs and MBS. We explained earlier that the Fed wants to repackage MBS debt obtained from the same banks at $0.70 on the dollar and resell it to them for $0.30 on the dollar. The public pays the difference and the Fed frees up money on its balance sheets. This way on a fractional basis they can lend additional funds and along with bank lending create enough liquidity to keep the financial system from collapsing. The government, or should we say the taxpayer, is guarantying all this debt. All that is left is to get people to stop saving and to start piling up debt again. This is the thinking behind stimulus as opposed to austerity and higher taxation, as currently being practiced by Europe and England. The powers behind government in America are going for broke. If what they are doing doesn’t work, the US financial system goes down and the world financial system with it.
Thus far what the government has done hasn’t worked. If you take the probable growth of 1.3% to 2.4% in the second quarter and you subtract 1.7% from the stimulus, you come out with virtually no real growth. In fact, for the past year and a half there was little or no growth; perhaps minus growth. If the Fed doesn’t get stimulus into the system again quickly it will be too late. The downward spiral has already begun – shipments, new orders, wages and capacity utilization are already falling off a cliff. This problem is also affecting former very strong areas of the country.
Those who believe a recovery is on the way had best examine their premises. The Fed, Wall Street and banking intend to buy two more years. If they are successful inflation will elevate substantially and the only place to find safety will be in gold and silver related assets. A word to the wise should be sufficient.
The bank that makes the most revenue trading stocks and bonds, lost money in that business on 10 days in the second quarter, ending a three-month streak of loss-free days at the start of the year. Losses on Goldman Sachs’s trading desks exceeded $100 million on three days during the period that ended on June 30. Today’s filing also shows that the firm’s traders generated more than $100 million on 17 days during the quarter. Of the 65 days in the quarter, Goldman Sachs traders made money on 55 days, or 85% of the time.
More than half of the 100 biggest takeovers made during the last mergers-and-acquisitions boom have something in common: By one measure, they never should have happened. The stocks of 53 companies that made the biggest purchases from 2005 to 2008 lagged behind industry peers two years later, according to Bloomberg’s ranking group.
Lloyd C. Blankfein, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chairman and chief executive officer, made $6.1 million by exercising options granted to him in 2000 that were due to expire in November.
The options allowed Blankfein, 55, to buy 90,681 shares for $82.875 apiece and sell them at prices ranging from $148.97 to $152 each on Aug. 11, according to a filing yesterday with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Gary D. Cohn, Goldman Sachs’s president, made a $4.95 million profit by exercising 73,653 options and David A. Viniar, the chief financial officer, reaped $4.52 million by exercising 67,326 options, separate filings showed.
Whitney Gollinger, marketing chief for a Manhattan condo building with an outdoor movie theater and panoramic city views, is highlighting a different amenity to spur sales: the financial backing of the federal government.
The Federal Housing Administration agreed in March to insure mortgages for apartments at the 98-unit Gramercy Park development, known as Tempo. That enables buyers to make a down payment of as little as 3.5 percent in a building where apartments are listed at $820,000 to $3 million.
“It’s a government seal of approval,” said Gollinger, a director at the Developments Group of New York-based brokerage Prudential Douglas Elliman Real Estate. “We need as many sales tools as we can have these days, and it’s one more tool.”
The FHA, created in 1934 to make homeownership attainable for low- to moderate-income Americans, is now providing a lifeline to new Manhattan luxury condominiums after sales stalled. Buildings featuring pet spas, concierges and rooftop lounges are applying for agency backing to unlock bank financing for purchasers. The FHA guarantees that if a homebuyer defaults on his mortgage, the agency will pay it. [Our government certainly takes care of the rich while the common people sleep under bridges and in cars.]
Global youth unemployment has hit a record high following the financial crisis and is likely to get worse later this year, the International Labor Organization (ILO) said Thursday.
The report from the ILO says 81 million out of 630 million 15-24 year olds where unemployed at the end of 2009, some 7.8 million more than at the end of 2007.
Thursday marks the first day of the UN International Youth Year; the ILO warned these trends will have “significant consequences for young people as upcoming cohorts of new entrants join the ranks of the already unemployed.”
On August 15, AP reported that Obama gave his “personal assurances of (the) Gulf’s safety,” saying:
“Beaches all along the Gulf Coast are clean, they are safe, and they are open for business.”
He lied.
The same day, Britain’s government owned BBC reported:
“Barack Obama has taken a swim in the Gulf of Mexico (to) reassure Americans that the waters are safe despite the recent oil spill.”
US corporate media reporters repeated the message, CNN’s senior White House correspondent Ed Henry among them, saying “Obama takes (the) plunge, swims in the Gulf (to show it’s safe and) open for business.”
In fact, area businesses continue to be severely impacted, and the entire region is dangerously unsafe.
As for Obama’s swim, on August 16, the London Independent reported that Obama and his daughter, Sasha, swam in a private Panama City Beach, FL beach off Alligator Point in St. Andrew Bay, not part of the Gulf.
Reporters were banned, no TV video permitted. “So….only the White House photographer was allowed to capture proceedings. The official picture was intended to provide evidence that the region’s beaches are back to normal.”
False. A dangerously toxic oil/dispersant brew contaminates much, perhaps the entire Gulf. It’s poisoned and potentially lethal for decades, maybe generations. Nothing in it should be ingested. Millions in the region are at risk. No one should swim in coastal waters or eat any Gulf seafood. Responsible officials should ban it. Instead the all-clear’s been given.
Obama, his officials, and BP executives are criminally liable. So are state governors, coastal mayors, and regional health authorities.
Area residents with children should leave. Tourists should avoid the region. A growing catastrophe will continue for decades, including a silent epidemic of cancers and other diseases, as well as lives and livelihoods lost.
That’s the major media’s unreported reality, worsening, not improving daily.
Following the Federal Reserve’s Aug. 10 meeting, the importance of a long interview appearing Aug. 13 with the Fed’s lone dissenting vote, Kansas City chairman Thomas Hoenig, was bluntly identified by economist Lyndon LaRouche: “The Federal Reserve has announced its intention to resort to hyperinflation, Weimar-style!”
LaRouche denounced economists’ and analysts’ resort to meaningless phrases like “quantitative easing 2″ to refer to the Fed’s policy. “It’s double-talk, fraud, lying b___sh__. They use these nonsense terms to promote hyperinflation and then they’ll say, ‘We were lying; we’ve got to lie, the situation is so desperate.’ Hyperinflation is what the bastards are doing now. Call it by its name, Weimar-style hyperinflation.”
Hoenig, in an interview with Huffington Post in which he called the Fed’s policy “a dangerous gamble with inflation,” said that the Fed was essentially guaranteeing Wall Street’s profits and discouraging credit for investment, by lending the banks unlimited amounts of free, printed money which they could lend back to either Treasury or the Fed at interest; AND, that the Fed is guaranteeing new speculative bubbles by making it impossible for investors to earn any private return except by highly “derivative” speculations.
The same posting of Huffington Post reprinted sections of the latest Risk Analytics newsletter by economist Christopher Whalen. Whalen describes how the Wall Street banks, with Federal Reserve aid, “are busily creating the next investment bubble on Wall Street this time focused on structured assets [derivatives ed.] based upon corporate debt, Treasury bonds, or nothing at all that is, pure derivatives. Like the subprime deals, these transactions are being sold to all manner of investors, both institutional and retail. Like the subprime debt these securities are completely illiquid and come with only minimal disclosure.”
LaRouche elevates and sharpens the point. “This is hyperinflation Weimar style. Don’t compare the Fed’s policy to Japan Central Bank policy in the 1990s. Japan did not control the world financial/monetary system. The difference now, is that hyperinflation of the dollar or of the pound sterling means the Weimar-style collapse of the entire monetary system. Wall Street is essentially an appendage of British Inter-Alpha Group banking, which controls 70% of world financial activity. This is not like Japan.
“The whole planet goes into hyperinflation, if Obama stays in office. Get Obama out, or it’s the end of the United States and many other nations,” LaRouche concluded.
Citigroup Inc., the third-biggest U.S. bank, says it will start so-called dark pool electronic trading in Singapore early next year to meet growing demand in Asia.
The bank is expanding its regional footprint after its off- exchange trading in Australia increased to a record A$1.5 billion ($1.3 billion) in June from about A$700 million to A$800 million a year earlier, said Paul Sanger, Citigroup’s Asia- Pacific head of execution services. He declined to comment on when the Singapore platform would start operating.
“We’ve doubled volumes in Australia in a very quiet month,” Sanger said in a telephone interview. “That’s very encouraging. We’re hoping the rest of the markets will similarly grow.”
Dark pools are trading venues that don’t display quotes publicly, helping investors minimize price fluctuations and save costs. The growth of such networks in Asia has lagged behind the U.S. and Europe because regulators in Asia have been slow to accept the systems, John Feng, New York-based managing director of research company Greenwich Associates, said on March 9.
The portion of trades handled off public exchanges in the Asia-Pacific region is forecast to rise to 3 percent of transactions within three years from 1 percent last year, Feng said. By contrast, trades through dark pools last year in the U.S. accounted for 10 percent of the total, and 4 percent in Europe, he estimates.
World wheat stockpiles before next year’s Northern Hemisphere harvests will be 6.6% smaller than forecast a month ago after adverse weather decimated crops in Russia, Kazakhstan and Ukraine, according to the Department of Agriculture.”
The world’s appetite for meat, flour and ethanol is expanding faster than the supply of the crops needed to produce them, eroding inventories and increasing the chance of accelerating food prices. Wheat stockpiles may slip to a two-year low according to 17 analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Inventories of corn, used to feed livestock and make fuel, probably will drop to the lowest level since 2008, even as output tops a record.
The price of wheat on international markets has increased 50% in one week, the steepest rate of increase ever, as revealed by former director of the International Food Policy Research Institute Joachim Von Braun. Although there is definitely an organic scarcity of the food needed to meet the real needs of a growing world population, and it is not clear whether the loss of Russian exports is going to be compensated for by the larger harvests in the United States and elsewhere, prices would not have increased so rapidly, had central banks not flooded the financial system with hyperinflationary liquidity.
Speculation in food futures has meanwhile gained a volume 50 times the amount of real food produced and traded worldwide! Thus, for every food item based on wheat, barley, maize, etc., food price inflation of 12-20% to the consumer is expected this autumn and winter. This is occurring in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, a place where Obama should have some acquaintances.
A report by Merrill Lynch says that investment banks have increased their speculation on cacao, grain, and sugar by one-fifth in recent months. On their side, food cartels have considerably “hedged” their purchase contracts, contributing to the increase of the derivative bubble. Kellogg, for instance, has hedged 90% of a range of commodities. Anheuser-Bush, the world’s largest brewer, has hedged its barley purchases through 2011. General Mills says it is “about 50%” hedged.
Acknowledging that animal feed represents two-thirds of the production price for cattle, and cereals represent half of the feed for poultry and pork, meat prices are expected to rise with the rise in cereals prices. Prices for chicken are expected to begin rising by 10-12% as early as September; pork in October by 10%; and beef, later this coming winter, by 8-10%. Biofuels, which use ethanol from wheat and corn, have already risen by 10% since early July.
In direct response to the Federal Reserve’s Aug. 10 action unleashing a new stage of global Weimar-style hyperinflation, financial markets are witnessing what might be called a “flight to trash.” Financial predators right and left are rushing to buy up high-return, high risk paper, confident that the Fed and other world central banks will be there to bail them out.
For example, Bill Gross, manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, PIMCO, announced on Friday that they had significantly increased their exposure to mortgage-related debt, from 16% of their total holdings in June to 18% in July. Gross will be one of the featured speakers at the Aug. 17 Obama Administration housing summit chaired by Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, which is dedicated to pulling out all the stops on the next speculative real estate super-bubble. Gross and PIMCO figure they’ll make a killing, coming and going.
Gross also announced an increase in PIMCO’s exposure to so-called emerging market debt, such as the wildly speculative Brazil carry trade, while reducing holdings of more stable, but less profitable, U.S. Treasury bonds.
Similarly, U.S. companies last week issued record amounts of junk bonds, at a clip 80% higher than the same period last year, in direct response to the Fed’s announcement. “They wait for Obama to perpetrate an atrocity,” Lyndon LaRouche commented today, “so that they can make money on speculation.”
Iran imported 23 tons of gold in 4 months vs. 22 tons the previous year. It imported 22 tons in the first four months of the year.
Massive amounts of silver and gold are being pulled from dealer inventories and only part of it is hitting customer accounts.
The latest from Richard Russell: Whew, how’s that for a scary contrary opinion? Robert believes that way to safety in a deflation is to have cash, and lots of it. My concern with this approach is that I question the safety of the US dollar (and all fiat money, for that matter). So in an all-out deflation, Robert Prechter will be sitting in all cash or US Federal Reserve notes. But the dollar is collapsing, and with a US that is deflating, none of our foreign creditors will want dollars (in fact, they will be trying to get rid of dollars). With fiat money in retreat all over the world — and currencies devaluing against each other, the world’s peoples will turn to the only money they can trust — gold. I’m aware that Prechter believes gold will be heading down in a deflation, I disagree. I was there during the Great Depression, and I can tell you nobody at that time had dollars. But if you did have dollars they were trusted and they were considered as good as gold. Today, it’s different. The very validity of the dollar is in question I distrust all scenarios and predictions, although I read ‘em all and find many of them fascinating. In the end, I only trust the wisdom of the stock market. I haven’t liked the recent action of the stock market, and I’ve advised my subscribers to get out of stocks.
Hinde Capital, a London-based gold hedge fund, has mounted a ferocious attack on precious metals exchange traded funds and in particular the largest gold ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust run by State Street.
Hinde says precious metals ETFs “should not be owned by serious professional investors” and in a highly provocative paper argues that double counting of gold holdings is “endemic” in the global financial system.
Hinde notes that central banks who lease or loan gold to commercial banks continue to report this bullion as part of their official reserves under international accounting standards.
But as the banks are allowed to sell the (leased or loaned) bullion into the global financial system, this has led to multiple counting of the gold.
Hinde says this gold (which is still owned by the central banks) can then enter ETFs, such as the SPDR Gold Trust, when authorised participants (registered broker-dealers or other large market participants such as investment banks) swap the gold for new units in the ETF.
“We see it as highly likely that encumbered (without full ownership rights) gold or leased gold could be in ETF products”, says Ben Davies, chief executive of Hinde Capital: “If we were a major ETF holder, we would demand delivery of our physical bullion before all other investors demanded theirs from either ETFs or the OTC (over-the-counter) market.”
Hinde went on to say that a potential conflict of interest exists for the custodian of the SPDR gold, which is the investment bank HSBC, as it runs substantial short positions (bets on gold prices falling) in the derivatives market.
In reply, State Street said the gold held in the SPDR Trust was held in allocated accounts (where the bars are individually identified and numbered). A spokesman for State Street said that if a commercial bank had an obligation to a central bank (as part of a lease or loan agreement), then that was a matter for them and did not imply that there was any prior claim on the gold in the SPDR Trust.
A senior gold dealer in London said: “There will be gold in the physically backed bullion ETFs that at one time belonged to a central bank. But when a central bank leases or loans gold in the market, it does not require precisely the same bar with its reference number to be returned. ETFs are still the easiest way for private investors to own gold.”
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