The Interest Rate Pin To Pop The Asset Bubble
Source: What Is That Whistling Sound
Yield reached 3.029% and 3.178%
- The 10 year yield has reached a high of 3.0273%
- The 30 year yield has reached a high yield of 3.178%
My view:
In a debt fueled stock and real estate market, rising interest rates are like Kryptonite to Superman.
Anyone familiar with capitalization rates will know that as the rate doubles, the value of the assets declines by half (50%). Doubling short term interest rates, as the Fed seems intent to do, will crush leveraged assets.
Stocks, particularly in the technology sector look vulnerable.
Emerging Markets, who have borrowed in US dollars in many cases are already strained and even breaking down as in the case of Argentina, Turkey and South Africa.
Real estate is vulnerable, especially in Australia and Canada and parts of Europe that did not experience a significant correction as happened in the United States.
It appears the Federal Reserve is determined to raise rates until something breaks. That could have devastating effects on many assets as well as the global economy.
When “something breaks”, watch gold soar.
Source: http://whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-interest-rate-pin-to-pop-asset.html
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