Any block or alliance has internal and external problems. China and Russia are two indispensable participants of BRICS and money and military might. Also, both the UNSC permanent members. The other three countries also see themselves as natural UNSC permanent members. I guess South Africa can forget about the UNSC as a country driven from the outside. Brazil has some chances to be supported, but France, UK, and US will veto if China and Russia put Brazil’s membership forward. And vice versa. India is definitely a US ally – never get to the UNSC due to China and Russia. Of course, if the UNSC will survive.
In case the UN will be dissolved, the BRICS is a good replacement. I wonder if the BRICS countries will have much more power without the UN than with the UN. This is the issue of the next session of the BRICS enlargements. Only countries important to the new UN will be taken aboard. The current BRICS is an extremely consistent UNSC replacement. The BRICS provides diversity and balance.
The Western alliance does not exist as such – the USA drives the vehicle. In the US or any other Western country is included, the BRICS will break.
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