This is not the end. This is not even the beginning of the end. But it is the end of the beginning.
Estimated trend series for basic reproduction number Rt |
“Aggressive containment strategies are required to control COVID-19 spread and catastrophic outcomes for the healthcare system.”
Summary
The median age for of cases is 69 years (range, 1 month to 101 years). 47% of positive subjects were hospitalized. Among these, 18% required intensive care. The mean serial interval is estimated to be 6.6 days (95% CI, 0.7 to 19). We estimate the basic reproduction number at 3.1 (95% CI, 2.9 to 3.2).
We estimated a decreasing trend in the net reproduction number starting around February 20, 2020. We did not observe significantly different viral loads in nasal swabs between symptomatic and asymptomatic.
Source: http://gmopundit.blogspot.com/2020/03/this-is-not-end-this-is-not-even.html
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