Treasury Bonds are Low, Markets aren't Panicking
World Deficits are not the cause of our markets becoming bearish. There is much more to it than that! Treasury Bond interest rates testify to that.
Does the world really need to slash it’s budgest before we cave in on oursleves? This is the nature of the announcement by the G-20 last weekend.
Well, the bearish movement in the markets may not be attirubuted to the national deficits.
Something I have seen that we need to take into account when we are talking about “risky debt” in this case country debt. Wouldn’t the interest rate on government bonds continue to shoot upward? Wouldn’t lenders want higher interest rates to cover thier risk?
The 30 year Treasury bond is only 4% and this is nothing if we look at history. Okay where is the cause for bearish movement here? It appears someone is sleeping, not worrying…namely interest rates.
There is no inflation worry either. With the projected average of 2.3% over the nextr three decades, there is more owrry about deflation and falling prices. I have been told cutting spending and raising taxes in this scenario is a bad move.
Yes there is the possibility of political invovlement here. Who would be surprised if some is found? But what we see is not telling us that the markets are stricktly reacting to deficits. No, the market is cycling with much greater influences.
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