S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Gains for 2011 Lost for the Year

Technically Speaking-
Our incredible trip down started with the news about Egypt, moved on to Libya and had its peak bearish move in the sorrow of Japan. It is amazing how events can have such an influence on the markets as they have here. These are huge economic impacts without the economic moves—all reactionary.
We fell clear below the highs at the end of last year, erasing all our gains for this year. We have rebounded a little but our drop has been on high volume, therefore it is very strong.
Other Market Influences-
After hitting a peak of 63.3% back in late December, individual investor bullish sentiment has seen a notable decline. According to this week’s survey from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII), bullish sentiment now stands at 28.5%, which is less than half the level we saw less than three months ago.
Returning to the present, now that the violent correction we have been awaiting is in progress, market behavior during the next several weeks should provide a reliable assessment of cyclical bull market health and produce clarity with respect to long-term direction. The decline from early March has caused the current short-term cycle to transition to a bearish bias.
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