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No Man's Land

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We’re at that stage of the game once again where it is “shit or get off the pot” for the cartel. If they are still willing to exchange physical gold to maintain the downtrend for gold then we should see a hard price reversal this week and break below 1200 over the next few weeks. On the other hand 1320 should be the next battleground for the cartel. I am not as concerned about the paper price of bullion right at this point, but more interested in some of the miner trend changes. They appear to be breaking out of the bottom process and leading the paper price of gold. This is a very constructive pattern, but not necessarily something that provides an easy trade at this point. I still maintain that holding in the longer term gives you the best chance of succeeding if you still wish to play the paper game in gold and silver miners. This is pure and simple gambling in a casino. Make NO mistake. If you can get out of the casino with your chips cashed then you will be fortunate.

Some that read this blog still believe these markets are intended to give you a sucker’s chance at getting out with your shirt on, but as I was informed once “the market is designed for one purpose, to take your money”. If you read that disclaimer and still wish to play then buckle up because the nice mild bumpy four year ride up is now going to become unpredictable. Dramatically increasing volatility followed by languid periods of controlled, calm will confound the bulls and bears alike in general equities and miner stocks as the participants on both side are fleeced. The name of the game now is taking the chips from everyone sitting at the table. The bulls had their chance to leave but like any liquidity induced market the emotions of greed become overwhelming. Sentiment in the miner trade remains wretched and that is comforting, but there is no reason to assume they will rip the miners up to the sky and give you your ten-twenty-fifty baggers with a free spa pass in a few weeks. You’re going to have to earn it. gl if you make it out with your skin attached, because they will try to take it…..gl 

BTW I am not here to spoon feed your beliefs so feel free to take your shots. If I provoke thought or if you wish to put out your own links then the blog is better for it ………so fire away.


ubmitted by Simon Black of Sovereign Man blog,
As you may know, I’m an avid reader. I devour especially historical accounts of any kind, because I consider lessons of history to be invaluable. As the Latin proverb says: Historia magistra vitae est—history is life’s teacher.
One of my all-time favorite books is a novel by James Clavell, Tai-pan. It’s the second book in his series of six novels known as The Asian Saga—a fictional account of historical facts.
Tai-Pan tells the story of Western, and especially British, traders at the time of the Opium Wars with China. The story starts right after the British have defeated the Chinese Empire in the First Opium War and claimed a barren island in the Pearl River delta as a British possession—Hong Kong.
Tai-Pan is actually a Cantonese term that literally means “big shot”, and was reserved strictly for top foreign businessmen and traders operating in the Chinese realm.
In the story, right after the ceremonial claim of Hong Kong, the eponymous Tai-Pan, a Scottish merchant Dirk Struan, who dominates the trade in tea, silk, and opium, receives letters and dispatches from his son Culum who has just arrived to the Orient from Scotland:
“Finally he broke the seal on his banker’s letter. He read it and exploded with rage.
“What is it?” Culum asked, frightened.
“Just an old pain. Nothing. It’s nothing.” Struan pretended to read the next dispatch while raging inwardly over the contents of the letter. Good sweet Christ!
“We regret to inform you that, inadvertently and momentarily, credit was overextended and there was a run on the bank, started by malicious rivals. Therefore we can no longer keep our doors open. The board of directors has advised we can pay sixpence on the pound. I have the honor to be, sir, your most obedient servant…”
And we hold close to a million sterling of their paper. Twenty-five thousand sterling for a million, and our debts close to a million pounds. We’re bankrupt.
Great God, I warned Robb not to put all the money in one bank. Na with all the speculating that was going on in England, na when a bank could issue paper in any amount that it liked.”
Chillingly familiar, right?
A million pounds was an ENORMOUS amount of money in the 1840s. And here the biggest merchant in the Orient fell into the same trap as many people do today. He failed to recognize the risks and diversify accordingly.
He was obviously aware of the threats, but didn’t act when he had the time and opportunity to do so.
The world is not that different today.
Just last week we talked about how HSBC in the UK is restricting its customers’ access to their own money. As revolting as it seems, this is what banks with capital shortfalls and liquidity crunches do.
Another thing from Europe which has gone completely unnoticed was a hearing in the European Parliament on banking, during which the new German board member of the European Central Bank, Sabine Lautenschlaeger said that it should be possible to wind down failing eurozone banks over a weekend “before markets open in Japan on Monday.”
The threats and warning signs are there for everyone to see even today.
The question is, will you have the foresight to act and mitigate your risks beforehand, or will you end up regretting your inaction, just like the Tai-Pan?


Source: http://kliguy38depression2news.blogspot.com/2014/02/no-mans-land.html



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