Final “Thud” In Gold To $1,190 Level Coming! Here’s Why

In spite of the June 2014 pop [I expect to see]…a dip to below the $1190/oz level at some point between now and the end of the month. Here’s why.

The above introductory comments are edited excerpts from an article* by Tom McClellan (mcoscillator.com) entitled Fishing Around For a Gold Cycle Bottom.

McClellan goes on to say in further edited excerpts:

[My]…expectation comes from the fact that we have had “left translation” in this current cycle, meaning that the price top before the December 2013 mid-cycle low was above the price top after that mid-cycle low.  Whenever left translation occurs, the expectation is that the price of gold will dip below the level seen at the mid-cycle low when the major cycle bottom arrives. 

Late Blowoff Expected

There is another feature of some of these cycles which I believe is making an appearance this time, and that is the tendency to see a late blowoff move just ahead of the final cycle low.  The blue arrows in the chart below highlight some examples of this behavior, and it is not just a recent phenomenon.

Here is a look back further in time, to show that this tendency for a late blowoff has been with us for a long time.

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