The yield on the 10Y UST is known by most investors to represent the real cost of capital/borrowing. In short, it is the most important yield in the world, as it prices the cost of the world’s reserve (undeserved) currency. Thus, when the yields rise, the cost of debt rises, and in a world awash in USD-denominated debt, such rising yields are like approaching shark fins to stock and bond markets. Yields, of course, rise when bond prices fall; similarly, yields fall when bond prices rise. Thus, markets like to see strong and natural (or even un-natural QE) bond demand to keep yields low and markets healthy. Recently, there have been signs of rising demand for UST’s, which should be good for the bond markets, right? Well, not so fast… Read more…
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