Likely vs Registered voters?
We’ve often heard about poll samples and findings.
Some polls are based on a sample of “adults”, others use “registered voters” and finally “likely voters”.
Over the years, polls based on likely voters, such as Rasmussen Reports, have been the most reliable.
Why? Because they are relying on people who are likely to vote rather than people who are registered to vote.
This is why I find these polls rather interesting.
According to the RCP average, the Democrats are + 8.
However, the 2 polls based on likely voters show the Democrats up by 2 and up by 4 or within the margin of error.
Who is right? We will know on election day but I am betting on polls based on likely voters.
PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.
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Source: http://cantotalk.blogspot.com/2018/09/likely-vs-registered-voters.html
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