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News and Weather Briefing for Wednesday, September 21, 2022

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Weather
Hazards and Tropical Weather
Almanac
Macon Calendar
Local and StateNews
The Passing of Queen Elizabeth II
Russo-UKrainian War Updates
GENERAL OUTLOOK

Dry weather continues today as a dome of high pressure expands across the Southeast, allowing temps to warm well above normal. A cold front crosses the area from the north late Thursday and could have enough moisture to squeeze out a few showers across the forecast area. Canadian high pressure will bring cooler and drier weather to the region for the weekend before another cold front arrives early next week.

General Forecast Through Friday Night

Franklin Area

Today

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the upper 80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with lows in the lower 60s. Calm winds.

Thursday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the upper 80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 50. Winds out of the north 5 to 10 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with highs in the upper 70s. Winds out of the north 3 to 5 mph.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with lows around 50.



Highlands Plateau

Today

Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs near 80. Calm winds.

Tonight

Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with lows around 60. Light and variable wind.

Thursday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs near 80. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Thursday Night

Mostly clear, with lows in the mid 40s. Winds out of the north 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with highs near 70. Winds out of the north 5 to 10 mph becoming calm in the afternoon.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with lows in the mid 40s.



Otto and South Central Macon County

Today

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the upper 80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds.

Thursday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Sunny, with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph by midorning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 50. Winds out of the north 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with highs in the kid 70s. Winds out of the north around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with lows around 50.



Nantahala Area

Today

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with highs in the mid 80s. Calm winds.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Calm winds.

Thursday

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with highs near 80. Light and variable winds early in the morning increasing to come out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph by midmorning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of rain is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with lows around 50. Winds out of the north 5 to 10 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with highs near 70. WInds out of the northeast around 5 mph.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with lows around 50.



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Hazards and Tropical Weather

Hazardous weather is not expected fortoday or tonight,



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 21 2022

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fiona, located northeast of the southeastern Bahamas, and on Tropical Storm Gaston, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean.

1. Western Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is producing shower and thunderstorm activity a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands. The system continues to show signs of organization and it will likely become a tropical depression within the next two or three days. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the southern Windward Islands by late today and then move toward the central Caribbean Sea later this week. Interests in the Windward Islands should closely monitor the progress of this system as heavy rainfall and gusty winds could affect these islands beginning later today.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Thursday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for at least gradual development of the system for a couple days thereafter while the system moves slowly northward, between west Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands, through the end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

3. East Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower activity. Slow development of this system is possible over the next several days as it moves northwestward and then westward over the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

HURRICANE FIONA

Hurricane Fiona Discussion Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022
1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 20 2022

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft that has been investigating Fiona this evening show that the hurricane has strengthened since this afternoon. The aircraft has measured peak 700-mb flight-level winds of 120 kt, and SFMR winds of around 110 kt earlier in the evening. Based on those data, the intensity was increased to 110 kt on the intermediate advisory at 0000 UTC. Since that time, the satellite presentation has continued to improve with the eye becoming better defined and the surrounding ring of deep convection expanding with colder cloud top temperatures. The pressure has fallen a few more millibars and is now down to 947 mb, however the plane has not found any higher winds during several passes through the northeastern and northern portion of the eyewall. It is worth noting that the latest subjective and objective satellite estimates suggest a stronger intensity, and this may be a case in which the winds are lagging the improved satellite presentation, which is not too uncommon.

The vertical wind shear over the hurricane is expected to remain low to moderate during the next couple of days. During that time, the hurricane will be traversing SSTs of 29-30 degrees Celsius, and remain in a moist environment. These conditions should allow for some additional strengthening during the next 12 to 24 hours, but after that time, difficult-to-predict eyewall replacement cycles are likely to cause some fluctuations in intensity. By day 3, the system is forecast to interact with a vigorous mid-troposphere trough and the system is expected to become a large and powerful extratropical cyclone near Atlantic Canada.

The latest satellite and aircraft fixes indicate that the hurricane is now moving just west of due north or 350/7 kt. Fiona should move generally northward around the western periphery of a mid-level ridge during the next 24 hours. After that time, the hurricane is forecast to turn north-northeastward and begin to gradually accelerate as the aforementioned trough approaches from the northwest. Very little cross-track changes were made to the latest NHC forecast, but it is slightly slower than the previous advisory to be in better agreement with the bulk of the dynamical models.

Key Messages:

1. Heavy rains south of Fiona will continue to impact the Turks and Caicos through tonight with additional flooding possible.

2. Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda by late Thursday.

3. Fiona is expected to affect portions of Atlantic Canada as a powerful hurricane-force cyclone late Friday and Saturday, and could produce significant impacts from high winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall. Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of Fiona and updates to the forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 23.2N 71.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 24.3N 71.9W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 22/0000Z 26.0N 71.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
36H 22/1200Z 28.1N 70.8W 120 KT 140 MPH
48H 23/0000Z 30.8N 69.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
60H 23/1200Z 34.3N 65.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
72H 24/0000Z 39.5N 61.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 25/0000Z 48.3N 59.7W 65 KT 75 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 26/0000Z 55.4N 58.7W 45 KT 50 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

What’s Up in the Tropics with Mark Sudduth – September 20, 2022: Tracking Fiona, 97L and Potential Caribbean Hurricane

TROPICAL TIDBITS

Tropical Tidbits is a website run by Macon Media’s favorite no-nonsense tropical forecaster, Levi Cowan. He does not post material just to get clicks or to sensationalize the storms he covers to “make them more exciting.” He is reliable and sober, unlike The Weather Channel crowd of Drama Queen Meteorologists.

Levi typically posts videos late in the afternoon or early before midnight on Youtube. [Youtube Channel]

[Monday / Sept 19] Hurricane Fiona moving toward the Turks and Caicos Islands




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Almanac

24 Hour Smoke Forecast


Air quality is in the lower range of green for most of the county, with the ridges and other higher elevations today being in the lower range of green.

Fire and Smoke Map
Local Air Monitor

Pollen

Pollen levels are expected to be in the medium-high range 7.9 out of 12) today with Ragweed, grasses, and Chenopods Grasses being the main culprits. Tomorrow is expected to be in the medium-high range (8.4 out of 12).


Record Weather Events for September 21st

Record weather events for this date in Macon County
(1872-2016)

Highest Temperature 91°F in Franklin in 1978
Lowest Temperature 31°F in Highlands in 1918
Greatest Rainfall 2.78 inches in Highlands in 1923

Highest Temperature 98°F in Franklin on 09-04-1975
Lowest Temperature 27°F in Franklin on 09-30-1967
Greatest Rainfall 11.87 inches in Highlands on 09-27-1964
Greatest Snowfall no measurable snowfall has been recorded since records started being kept in 1873

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of September Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 108°F Belhaven, Beaufort County 09-25-1921
Lowest Temperature 23°F Marion, McDowell County 09-28-2000
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 21.00 in Wilmington, New Hanover County 09-17-2018

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 75.4°F Morehead City, Carteret County
Coldest Weather Station 55.0°F Mount Mitchell, Yancey County
Wettest Weather Station 8.93 in Southport, Brunswick County
Driest Weather Station 2.94 in Marshall, Madison County




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Macon Calendar
(send your event to [email protected])



• ‘It turned into politics:’ Critics warn that chief justice, Republican lawmakers threaten state office’s reputation for impartiality [WRAL-TV (Raleigh, NC)]

• North Carolina puts in bid for 2027 World University Games [WTVD-TV (Raleigh, NC)]

• Following public pressure, Budd implies he will accept the 2022 election results [Raleigh News and Observer]

• Trusted Elections Tour stops in Asheville: Officials discuss security of the vote [WLOS-TV (Asheville, NC)]

• Ahead of 2022 midterm elections, political polling remains imperfect in North Carolina [BPR]

• Macon County Board of Commissioners – September 2022 Regular Meeting [Macon Media]

• Franklin Town Council – September 2022 Regular Meeting [Macon Media]

• Franklin Town Council – Special Called Meeting for August 30, 2022 [Macon Media]

JOMINI OF THE WEST MAP (UTVD Operational Update: ZSU Counter Offensive in Kharkiv, 10-12 Sep 22.)


• At UN General Assembly, leaders condemn Russia’s war in Ukraine [Al Jazeera]

• Russia and climate change dominate UN General Assembly [DW News]

• The Ragtag Army That Won the Battle of Kyiv and Saved Ukraine [Wall Street Journal]

• Russian invasion of Ukraine a return to ‘age of imperialism’, Macron tells UN [France 24]

• Russia Signals Annexation of Parts of Ukraine, Raising Stakes in Fighting [New York Times]


News from Russian or pro-Russian outlets or Video About the Russian Perspective

• Russian lawmaker reveals mobilization plans [Russia Today]

• Putin: We will use nuclear weapons, if threatened [Pravda ]

• Zelensky’s counter-offensive destroyed the country entrusted to him — Russian diplomat [TASS Russian News Agency]

Sep 7, 2022 | Eastern Economic Forum plenary session | kremlin

The Ukraine War From Russia’s Perspective


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National and World News Roundup

Hurricane Fiona continues destructive path through Caribbean | ABC News

Global National: Sept. 20, 2022 | Hurricane Fiona creates another crisis for Puerto Rico

Nightly News Full Broadcast (September 20th)

PBS NewsHour full episode, September 20, 2022


• Yes, the Great Books Make Us Better People [New York Times]



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COVID-19 News and Updates

Here is a section on COVID-19. It includes local, regional, state, national, and global items.

COVID-19 Numbers for Macon County:

• Officials: Amazon Alexa Alerted Family of House Fire [Source of Spring (Silver Spring, MD)]

• Hilton to design astronaut suites, facilities for Voyager’s private space station Starlab [CNBC]

• Google Deepmind Researcher Co-Authors Paper Saying AI Will Eliminate Humanity [Vice News]

• 46 US states call for Meta monopoly lawsuit to be reinstated [IT Pro]

• $35M fine for Morgan Stanley after unencrypted, unwiped hard drives are auctioned [ARS TECHNICA]

• YouTube’s ‘dislike’ and ‘not interested’ buttons barely work, study finds [The Verge]

• 40 civil rights organizations demand MGM cancel harmful reality tv show [Fight for the Future]

• New Technology Could Generate Electricity From Ocean Waves or Even Clothing, Cars, and Buildings [NREL]



Podcasts and Long Form Videos (History, Culture, Science, Space, Technology and Current Events)
Anything covering educational, entertainment, history, current events, and technology topics


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On This Day

September 21 is the 264th day of the year (265th in leap years) in the Gregorian calendar; 101 days remain until the end of the year.

Historical Events

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Published at 5:00am on Wednesday, September 21, 2022
Author: Bobby Coggins

Resources used to compile the information in this article include, but are not limited to the following websites or books: MaconMedia.com, youtube.com, weather.gov, airnow.gov, wikipedia.com, onthisday.com, ncdcr.gov, ncsu.edu, utah.edu, https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/, wolfram.com, biorxiv.org, aps.org, nejm.org, plos.org, cell.com, researchsquare.com, cureus.com, spc.noaa.gov, nhc.noaa.gov, ncdenr.org, medrxiv.org, archive.org, ncpedia.org, nasa.gov, https://ww2days.com, nih.gov, carolinapublicpress.org, microbe.tv, smokymountainnews.com, psypost.org, blogspot.com, pollen.com, franklinnc.com, maconnc.org, spaceweather.com, solarham.com, loc.gov, ncleg.net, senate.gov, house.gov, whitehouse.gov, drudgereport.com, politico.com, realclearpolitics.com, ushmm.org, This Day in North Carolina History, World War II Day By Day, The Holocaust Encyclopedia, The Timetables of History, The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich, The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, The World History and Book of Facts (multiple years), On This Day In History: Over 4,000 facts, The NASA Archives. 60 Years in Space, This Day in North Carolina History, The Smithsonian History of Space Exploration: From the Ancient World to the Extraterrestrial Future, Spaceflight, 2nd Edition: The Complete Story from Sputnik to Curiousity, The Story of Civilization (11 volumes), The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, American History, Volume 1: 1492-1877, American History, Volume 2: 1877 – Present, A Complete Chronolgy of the Second World War. Weather and Almanac data and information sources: Sources (except where otherwise credited): heavens-above.com, Ian Webster’s Github, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, The National Weather Service, National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, National Hurricane Center, Penn State University Electronic Wall Map, The State Climate Office of North Carolina, Storm Prediction Center, U.S. Naval Observatory, University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, and the Weather Prediction Center. Back to Top




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