If the 2024 election were held today and it was a Blumpf vs. Biden rematch, this is how it would likely play out based on current polling.
“That poll was conducted among 600 likely voters in each of the five states from November 11 to 16 and had a margin of error of four percent.
It found that Trump led Biden by 12 points in Michigan, 10 points in Wisconsin and six points in Pennsylvania.
Trump won those three states in 2016 by less than one percent in each case, securing him victory.
The former president also led Biden by eight percent in Arizona and three percent in Georgia—both states that Trump won in 2016 and that Biden successfully flipped last year. …”
Sounds about right.
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