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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 9 2022

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Battle for Kharkov: the situation on the Izyum-Kupyansky sector of the front
by the end of September 9, 2022

🔻Kupyanskoye direction

▪️Due to the transfer of reserves to the Kupyansky sector of the front, the RF Armed Forces managed to stop the advance of the main forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine a few kilometers from the city limits. 

▪️By the end of the day, the Armed Forces of Ukraine established control over the villages of Chkalovskoye, Shevchenko, Borovskoye and controlled the Chuguev-Kupyansk highway to Grushevka, which made it possible to transfer equipment and artillery systems to the line of contact.

▪️The Ukrainian command is forming a strike force to storm Kupyansk in the area of   Grushevka and Staroverovka. The RF Armed Forces carry out artillery and rocket-bomb strikes on enemy concentration areas.

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine are shelling the rear settlements in the liberated territories. The village of Bolshoi Burluk was hit especially hard.

The Ukrainian formations will block the reserves of the Russian Armed Forces in Kupyansk and try to bypass the city from the north with the main forces, advancing in the direction of Dvurechensky.

Izyum direction

▪️From the south of Izyum, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are attacking from Vernopolye and Dolina.

▪️When trying to advance to Gorokhovatka, the mobile groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine met with a rebuff near the village of Yasinovatoe.
▪️The reserves of the Russian Armed Forces came to the eastern bank of the Oskol River, which prevented attempts to cross the river by mobile groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Apparently, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will reinforce the mobile units on the western bank of the Oskol with heavy equipment and will try to conduct reconnaissance in combat of the defense of Izyum from the direction of Gorokhovatka.

🔻Balakliya direction

▪️There are unverified reports that the eastern quarters of Balakleya are still being held by detachments of the Russian Armed Forces. In the near future, we should expect an attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the villages of Vesele and Kunye.

In the near future, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will attempt to attack the Liman from Raygorodok. The main goal of the Ukrainian command in the area is to reach the Oskol reservoir and encircle the Russian group near Izyum.

First time in my life I see the whole Ring Road to be blocked off for the military, this resident of Moscow, 600 km from Kharkov,  says in astonishment: a  military column departs Moscow this afternoon. ETA on Izyum road – early morning tomorrow. 

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (September 9, 2022)

◽️ The Armed Forces of Ukraine made various unsuccessful attempts to attack, suffered losses and withdrew their forces at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.

💥 Manpower and military equipment of 46th Airmobile Brigade, 35th Marines’ Brigade and 61st Chaser Infantry Brigade have been neutralised near Bezymennoye, Novogrigoryevka (Nikolayev region) and Sukhoy Stavok (Kherson region).

📊 The enemy has lost a total of 3 tanks, 4 infantry combat vehicles and 7 other armoured vehicles, 2 pickups with large-calibre machine guns and over 270 servicemen at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.

💥 High-precision attacks of Russian Aerospace Forces have resulted in the neutralisation of the command posts of Kraken nationalist group deployed near Prishib (Kharkov region) and 93rd Mechanised Brigade near Artyomovsk (Donetsk People’s Republic). Over 50 nationalists, as well as 16 units of special military equipment and motor vehicles have been eliminated.

💥 Attacks launched by high-precision ground-based armament at the provisional bases of the units from 127th Territorial Defence Brigade and 14th Mechanised Brigade deployed near Kharkov have resulted in the elimination of over 50 and wounding over 120 Ukrainian servicemen.

Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery continue launching attacks at the military facilities in Ukraine.

💥 8 AFU command posts have been neutralised near Lebyazhye, Chervony Yar, Gusarovka and Liman (Kharkov region), Maryinka and Ray-Aleksandrovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), Krivoy Rog (Dnepropetrovsk region), Gulyay Pole (Zaporozhye region), as well as 52 artillery units, 153 AFU manpower and military equipment concentration areas.

💥 3 AFU missile, artillery and munitions depots have been destroyed near Chuguyev (Kharkov region) and Radushnoye (Dnepropetrovsk region).

💥 1 combat vehicle of U.S.-manufactured HIMARS multiple rocket-launching system has been destroyed near Chervony Donets (Kharkov region).

💥 1 U.S.-manufactured M-777 howitzer has been destroyed near Rovnopolye (Zaporozhye region).

💥 Air defence means have shot down 6 unmanned aerial vehicles near Izyum (Kharkov region), Staromlinovka, Kirillovka, Slavnoye and Makeyevka (Donetsk People’s Republic), as well as Sladkaya Balka (Zaporozhye region).

💥 18 projectiles launched by HIMARS and Olkha MRLS have been destroyed in air near Novaya Kakhovka and Golaya Pristan (Kherson region), as well as near Kakhovka hydroelectric plant.

📊 In total, 293 airplanes and 152 helicopters, 1,916 unmanned aerial vehicles, 374 air defence missile systems, 4,870 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 827 combat vehicles equipped with MRLS, 3,371 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 5,417 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.

⚠️ Kiev regime continues its provocations aimed at creating a possible technological disaster at Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.

◽️ 6 artillery attacks launched at Energodar have been recorder over the past 24 hours. A total of 27 projectiles have been launched from Marganets located at the opposite shore of Kakhovka reservoir.

◽️ The attack launched at the power transmission line has resulted in leaving the city without electricity.

💥 Enemy firepower has been neutralised by Russian artillery’s counter-attack.

◽️ The personnel controls the technical condition of the nuclear power plant.

@Boris_Rozhin (ColonelCassad) reports on enemy activity on the Izyum front:

1. Additional Ukrainian forces are being deployed to the Kupyansk sector. While the Ukrainian army was unable to seize the city,  the enemy obviously plans to resume attacks in order to capture it.

2. There are also reports of possible attempts by the enemy to traverse Severskyi Donetsk [GB: with a pontoon crossing, presumably] and deploy a secondary strike force in the direction of Krasny Liman (Lyman).

3. The LNR Army reports that a large shipment of Stinger MANPADS with trained operators has arrived at the Artyomovsk front to reduce the effect of our army air force, which air force is inflicting significant losses on the enemy with its strikes.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/63139

#YURI DAILY Fresh reserves, rushed in by land and air, stabilized the front, and the situation looks much better than yesterday. No radical change of the situation yet, but there are some prerequisites for it now. The Russians seem to be able to amass troops faster than their opponents, and continue to enjoy a total control of the air as well as artillery superiority. That, given the right circumstances, may lead to the repetition of Davidov Brod scenario on a much larger scale, a military disaster for Zelensky regime.

Danger still looms from the south of Izyum, where a Ukrainian attack group will probably attack this night in an obvious move.

The battles in Balakleya-Kupyansk-Izyum triangle, however, will be long and hard, and no quick magical victories should be expected. State of the fronts as of 18:00 CEST September 9, 2022.

Some Comments on the Military Situation in Ukraine as of September 9, 2022
I have been asked to comment on the situation in eastern-southern Ukraine following the commencement of a major counteroffensive by the Ukrainian armed forces (UAF). Given the fluidity of the situation on the ground, I will avoid trying to conduct a detailed analysis of the specific actions that have taken place, are taking place, and will take place. I am thousands of miles removed from the battlefield and am in receipt of incomplete and often contradictory pieces of information. Any effort to try and paint a complete picture of this battlefield would be, in my case at least, a fool’s errand.
I will start with first principles. War is a complicated business. Any effort that overlooks this reality when promulgating “solutions” to problems on the battlefield is self-nullifying.
Both the Ukrainian and Russian militaries are large, professional organizations backed by institutions designed to produce qualified warriors. Both militaries are well led, well equipped, and well prepared to undertake the missions assigned them. They are among the largest military organizations in Europe.
The Russian military is staffed by officers of the highest caliber, who have undergone extensive training in the military arts. They are experts in strategy, operations, and tactics. They know their business.
The Ukrainian military has undergone a radical transformation in the years since 2014, where Soviet-era doctrine has been replaced by a hybrid doctrine which incorporates NATO doctrine and methodologies. This transformation has been accelerated dramatically since the outset of the Special Military Operation, with the Ukrainian military virtually transitioning from older Soviet-era heavy equipment to an arsenal which more closely mirrors the table of organization and equipment of the NATO nations which are providing billions of dollars of equipment and training.
The Ukrainians are, like their Russian counterparts, military professional’s adept at the necessity of adapting to battlefield realities. The Ukrainian experience, however, is complicated by the complexity associated by trying to meld two disparate doctrinal approaches to war (Soviet-era and modern NATO) under combat conditions. This complexity creates opportunities for mistakes, and mistakes on the battlefield often result in casualties—significant casualties.
Russia has fought three different style wars in the six months that the Special Military Operation has been underway. The first was a war of maneuver, designed to seize as much territory as possible to shape the battlefield militarily and politically. The Special Military Operation was conducted with approximately 200,000 Russian and allied forces, who were up against an active-duty Ukrainian military of some 260,000 troops backed by up to 600,000 reservists. The standard 3:1 attacker-defender ratio did not apply—the Russians sought to use speed, surprise, and audacity to minimize Ukraine’s numerical advantage, and in the process hoping for a rapid political collapse in Ukraine that would prevent any major fighting between the Russian and Ukrainian armed forces.
This plan succeeded in some areas (in the south, for instance), and did fix Ukrainian troops in place and cause the diversion of reinforcements away from critical zones of operation. But it failed strategically—the Ukrainians did not collapse, but rather solidified, ensuring a long, hard fight ahead.
The second phase of the Russian operation had the Russians regroup to focus on the conquest/liberation of the Donbas region. Here, Russia adapted its operational methodology, using its superiority in firepower to conduct a slow, deliberate advance against Ukrainian forces dug into extensive defensive networks and, in doing so, achieving unheard of casualty ratios that had ten or more Ukrainians being killed or wounded for every Russian casualty. _Scott Ritter

GB: Essentially, by and large, the tide has turned on the Ukrainian Izyum front operation.

As indicated earlier, this counter-offensive will run out of steam in the next 2-3 days. Ukrainians have one more surprise up their sleeves—it may be an unexpected maneuver at the Izyum front, or it may be a counteroffensive elsewhere in Ukraine, or, finally, it may be something interesting at the Kherson front. However, the Russian forces have largely curtailed all of the offensive operations of the Ukrainian army.

The only question that remains is how fast Russia can retake what was lost at the Izyum front. Depending on the forces committed, it may take 2 weeks (unlikely), or 1 to 3 months, tending to the lower threshold.

Just my analysis.

More (with greater detail) hopefully later.

Ukrainian Twitter Battle Plan.
They plan to invade Russia ☝️😉

[Forwarded from Strelkov, Igor Ivanovich, @Strelkovii].

This was transmitted to me directly from the Izyum military grouping, and I was specifically asked to publish this statement by military officers that I know personally:

THERE IS NO PANIC. Supplies to the grouping continue on a regular basis. Yes, the enemy is trying to hold the communications under the artillery fire, but it is not able to cut them off and there is no immediate danger to the supply. Reserves are coming up, troops are firmly holding their positions around the city. We express firm determination to hold Izyum and maintain the bridgehead on the western bank of the Seversky Donets.

https://t.me/strelkovii/3197

Starshe Eddy (@VysokyGovorit) reports:

According to reports, the Russian Armed Forces  managed to move reinforcements—including gun and rocket artillery—to the Kharkov front at maximum speed [GB: Surprise, surprise! ;) ]. Given the incessant air strikes by our aircraft against the enemy, it will now be easier to contain the offensive drive of the Ukrainians. And in general it seems that some confusion present at the beginning of the defensive phase of the Kharkov battle has now passed.

One will be able to estimate the preliminary results of the defensive phase in a couple of days, after the Ukrainian bring in the main part of their reserves [GB: Such as they are] into it, and our air and rocket pilots will work at the maximum on the enemy’s marching columns and deployment sites. I think the atmosphere in Chuguev or Kharkov is not the brightest right now, given the number of strikes on these operational bases of the AFU.

GB: It all ends soon.

https://t.me/vysokygovorit/9349

Yes. We are attacking, very, very, very hard. Ukrops feels it.

Still, no data on the capture of Balakleya by the AFU and other enemy successes in the Kharkov direction, the Russian army is attacking and moving reserves to counterattack – main from the AFU General Staff summary

▪️ The Russian Armed Forces continue their assault actions in the Kharkov and Zaporizhzhia regions, as well as the DNR in the areas of Konstantinovka, Prudyanka, Russkie Tishki, Vernopolye, Nikolayevka II, Zaitsevo, Avdeevka, Kamianka, Peremoga, and Bezymyannoye.
▪️The Russian army continues to actively use artillery and aviation to launch massive strikes against Ukrainian armed forces positions.
▪️The Russian air force conducted airstrikes on enemy targets in the Kherson-Nikolayiv area of the front: the areas of Velikiye Prokhody, Starovrovka, Yurievka, Temirovka, Terny Podi, Sukhoy Stavok, Barvinok, and Belogorka.

t.me/RVvoenkor/25342

a pair of the unique Mi-26s bringing in more troops to defeat the Kiev regime.

Massive air landing near Kupjansk and Izjum

RU Troops Reinforcements To Kharkiv, New Logo Is Upside Down Pyramid With Circle In The Middle

Kharkiv Counter-Offensive – Ukrainians cut off russian supply lines, Russians reinforcing Kupyansk?

Ukrainian forward troops at the Balakliya Offensive numbers ard 13500; Russia recaptured Yasynuvate

Footage Of RU Reinforcements Arriving To Melitopol. Very Similar To February.

More and more, entire situation seems like a giant set up. Not the first time we are hearing this.

Apti Alaudinov, commander of the Akhmat regiment, through the prism of his experience, said:

- “What is happening today was planned. It is a tactical ploy, which helped us to pull all their forces and means into the territory where it is convenient for us to fight them. If anyone thinks that the Russian leadership, the MoD leadership was unaware that the enemy was gathering forces, then those people understand nothing about politics or the military.”

US secretary of state Blinken visits Ukraine

RT News | Livestream 24/7
https://rumble.com/vwbbjn-putin-announces-special-operation-in-donbass-special-coverage.html?mref=2hzb1&mrefc=2



Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2022/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_9.html


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