The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 01 2023
Russian troops intensify attack on Bakhmut
Final Battles Over Bakhmut Supply Lines Commence 01/03/23
Ukraine resists intense Russian attacks in Bakhmut, says PM Zelenskiy
Ukraine reinforces Bakhmut as Russia attacks in ‘constant waves’
🔹 1. The Situation for the enemy in #Bakhmut continues to deteriorate. The main problems for the AFU are to the north of the city. After occupying #Yagodnoye and #Berkhovka, our troops continue to work on ⚠️ liberating Dubovo-Vasilyevka, as well as advancing directly towards the town of #Khromovo. The intensity of fighting here is increasing.
➖ The enemy has noted the deployment of SRGs on one section of the Chasov Yar – #Khromovo – #Artyomovsk highway. This, of course, creates problems for him – in addition to daytime shelling and the destruction of a car on the highway, the appearance of the DRGs means that the problems begin precisely with the physical use of the road.
📌 At the moment, there is still no full control of the road through #Khromovo, and it is premature to speak of a full operational encirclement.
🔹 2. The Enemy is transferring reserves, using them near Dubovo-Vasilyevka and #Khromovo, trying to prevent our troops from closing the encirclement ring.
🔹 3. There is still no Withdrawal of AFU from #Artyomovsk. There is fierce enemy resistance in the western and northwestern districts of the city. After the abandonment of Stupki, the enemy counts on a stable defence in the quarters near the AZOM plant, where our assault groups are advancing from the north and northeast.
🔹 4. The Enemy also expects to defend in the southwestern part of the city. After losing Zabakhmutka, our forces are attacking from the south through #Opytnoye and from the Mariupol cemetery, aiming to reach the southwestern entrance to the city at the aeroplane monument. ⚠️ They have not reached there yet. The information about the breakthrough is not true.
🔹 5. Moreover, the enemy is trying to hold out with all its might, attacking our positions near #Krasnoye and trying to push the assault groups away from the road. He does not succeed.
🔹 6. The Enemy is faced with a forked decision – to continue to hold at #Artyomovsk, risking that part of the grouping will first fall into an operational encirclement and then into a fully fledged pot, which would mean the loss of this grouping, or to retreat.
📌 It would have been better for us if they could not retreat and we “digested” part of this grouping by destroying equipment, taking prisoners and trophies. That would have been a fairly serious operational success. That’s what we’re working on now.
🔹 7. The Enemy, according to military estimates, should of course withdraw, but there are political moments associated with pressure from the West and the fact that Ukrainian propaganda has inflated #Bakhmut’s importance to unprecedented heights, essentially becoming hostage to its propaganda settings, which have given the city more meaning than it deserves from a military perspective. Hence the casualties and the difficult operational environment for the enemy. In fact, they have driven themselves into this sack.
Boris Rozhin for @voenkorKotenok (https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/45749) Channel
Our forces are trying to dislodge the enemy from the dominant heights, these offensives are shallow, and their goal is to improve our positions in order to make it easier to be at the forefront, to conduct active defense. As for the line Kremennaya – Svatovo, it is too early to talk about serious breakthroughs there. It should be noted that on the eve of the enemy attempted to organize the same tactical counter-offensive, got in the teeth. The enemy loses in these battles, it would seem, of a local purpose, huge forces. Although, of course, when compared with the losses of the enemy in the Artemovsk direction, then the losses there are, in principle, beyond the bounds. The Kiev regime loses up to 500 people there every day.
Evgeny Podubny, military correspondent of the All-Russian State Television and Radio Broadcasting Company on the air of Solovyov Live.
The well-known Ukrainian blogger Magyar nevertheless admitted the deplorable situation of Ukrainian soldiers in Artemovsk (Bakhmut), noting that while holding the city, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are losing many fighters, and therefore it is not advisable to continue defending Bakhmut. After stating the obvious facts, the militant nevertheless made a reservation that the final decision to leave the city should be made by the supreme command of Ukraine.
Earlier, the need to retreat on CNN was announced by the son of producer Rodnyansky, who had fled abroad, who decided to become a “military expert.” At the same time, according to Prigozhin, fierce battles continue outside the city, and the Kiev command still throws new “lucky ones” into the meat grinder. As noted in the most “eastern group” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, retreat from Artemovsk is not yet planned.
@Jokerdpr says Interesting news came from my spies from the SBU. The Ukrainian soldiers, who are now in Bakhmut, against the backdrop of total losses, made the right choice and made a collective decision not to obey the will of Zelensky and not to die. It turned out to be an armed rebellion, but life is more expensive and right now they are thinking how to escape from the closing cauldron. Zelensky stomps his feet and demands that Zaluzhny cut down the rebellion attempt and cut down disobedience. But Zaluzhny himself understands that in that situation they cannot cope with Wagner. I think that tomorrow we will have good news. And the clown Zelensky, as usual, will say that it was his decision, there was no rebellion and flight, but there was a planned retreat under his sensitive paternal leadership. Ah-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha…
These Nazi stooges are claiming that people are refusing to leave the city. According to them about 9 thousand civilians still remain in Bakhmut.
And they’ve been peddling their Ukranazi tales that Russia is allegedly forcibly removing children from the city.
People are waiting for Russia, they are coming home and will be released soon!
Reports that Oleksandr Syrskyi, Colonel General of the a Ukrainian army corps, has ordered a Ukrainian counter attack on the southern Wagner pincer of Bakhmut
There is a significant build of Ukrainian forces to the west of the city, especially the mechanised and light infantry, these are the exact sort of units Ukraine would want to and has used before in offensive operations
Former United Russia deputy Denis Shtein, who was convicted in January 2022 of drug trafficking offences, was killed in action in the zone of operations. He was incarcerated in August 2022 and shortly after took on a contract with PMC Wagner. He more than earned redemption.
Wagner has closed the gray zone in the area of the MIG monument.
It is reported that by the evening the sounds of a small-arms battle and explosions of artillery shells were heard in the area with. Khromovo (Artyomovskoye) is the last direct route by which the Armed Forces of Ukraine can maintain communications to the city.
E.V. Prigozhin:
“RTVI and a number of media outlets are spreading erroneous and deliberately false information that I turned to the Chairman of the State Duma V.V. Volodin with a request to remove responsibility from the commanders of military formations for discretization and criticism of the military and volunteers. I insisted that it was impossible to discredit volunteers, including former convicts. However, in my letter to V.V. Volodin of March 1, 2023 states that the leaders of volunteer and any other military formations, including the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, should be allowed to criticize. Because the lack of criticism leads to the degradation of military formations and the Armed Forces as a whole. Citizens should have the right to criticize those who give orders: the leadership of the Ministry of Defense, the leadership of volunteer military units, including me, Prigozhin. But they should not criticize, much less discredit those who carry out orders. I have never allowed and will not allow myself to give unfounded criticism of the soldiers. The soldier is primary in the war, because it is he who fights and dies. And the commanders must bear full responsibility, including before the people in the public field. The commander cannot publicly speak negatively about his fighters, only the commanders bear all responsibility.
About the situation in Maryinka
On the RT channel in Russian @rt_russian (https://t.me/rt_russian/148338) published footage of the work of the Russian fire group in Maryinka. A fighter with the call sign “Temple” talks about the situation near Druzhby Avenue, in the surrounding neighborhoods where fighting is still going on.
The calculation of the mounted anti-tank grenade launcher SPG-9 “Spear” strikes at the firing point of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in a residential building behind the main avenue of the city. It is impossible to say exactly where the Ukrainian position is located, but “Temple” mentions the area behind the secondary school.
Most likely, the stronghold of the 79th Airborne Assault Brigade of the Airborne Forces of Ukraine is located in one of the houses on Kashtanov Street.
Coordinates: 47.944068,37.502937
This fact confirms that reports of the imminent release of Marinka were premature. The Armed Forces of Ukraine still hold the central quarters of the city, having equipped each house for long-term defense.
Moving deeper into the city by a direct attack is fraught with heavy losses in personnel and equipment, so now the units of the RF Armed Forces have switched to the tactics of skirting the Ukrainian fortified area from the south and north. Such tactics, in theory, will make it possible to force the Armed Forces of Ukraine to retreat from the central quarters.
However, the main problem of the assault on Maryinka is the availability of functioning supply routes for the APU grouping. Ukrainian units completely control the roads to Ugledar and Kurakhovo.
This ensures unhindered replenishment of both manpower and ammunition. As long as logistical interchanges are available to the Ukrainian troops, they will be able to hold Maryinka for a long time.
Ugledar:
The Marines managed to advance and re-occupy the dachas on the eastern side of the city, the artillery is now mercilessly leveling all enemy positions in this direction.
Zemlyanka village, Volchanskaya urban community, Chuguevsky district, Kharkiv region
The Armed Forces of Ukraine expelled their fellow citizens from private houses and settled in the area bordering the Belgorod region.
The enemy was identified by means of reconnaissance, covered with fire.
The combat work of special forces and intelligence officers continues every day.
Military correspondent RT @Sargon_Hadaya: The Russian military pushed back the Armed Forces of Ukraine and entrenched 3 km from Kupyansk
Russian invasion of Ukraine [1 Mar 2023] “Today”
#Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 1 Mar 2023⚡️
⚠️ All @Rybar map reports and more Rybar content are accurately translated on t.me/sitreports!
🔹#NorthUkraine:
▪️ In the #Poltava region, Russian troops have hit several critical infrastructure facilities in #Kremenchug district over the past 24 hours.
🔹#Starobelsk Direction:
▪️ In the #Liman sector, Ukrainian forces attempted to attack Russian positions towards #Kremennaya, but came under fire from Russian artillery, suffered casualties and withdrew.
🔹#Soledar (#Bakhmut) Direction:
▪️ West of #Bakhmut (#Artyomovsk) Wagner PMC fighters continue to move towards the village of #Khromovo (#Artyomovskoye), through which the last relatively safe road to supply the AFU garrison in #Bakhmut passes.
▪️ In #Bakhmut itself there is fierce fighting in the area of Shchedraya Street in Zabakhmutovka and the Sobachevka microdistrict in the south of the city.
▪️ Southwest of the city, clashes continue in the outskirts of #Krasnoye (#Ivanovskoye) village near the #Bakhmut – #Konstantinovka highway.
🔹#Donetsk Direction:
▪️ In the centre of #Maryinka, fighting continues in the area of Druzhba Avenue. Russian troops have switched to the tactic of encircling the #Maryinka fortification from the south and north, which has the potential of a greater effect than “frontal” attacks.
▪️ The enemy terrorists once again shelled the #Donetsk agglomeration. #Donetsk, #Makeyevka, #Shirokaya Balka, #Vladimirovka, #Gorlovka, #Panteleymonovka and #Yasinovataya district were all hit.
🔹#Kherson Direction on #SouthFront:
▪️ In the #Kherson region, the AFU terrorists shelled Novaya Kakhovka, #Kakhovka, #Alyoshki, #Geroyskoye and #Gornostayevka.
➖ Russian artillerymen responded by hitting targets in and around #Kherson.
🔹#Crimea:
▪️ Overnight, Ukrainian formations attempted a drone attack on #Crimea. Six drones were shot down near Cape Tarkhankut, eight were grounded by electronic warfare near Yevpatoria and Saki, and another was grounded near #Krasnoperekopsk.
Map of hostilities on March 1
⚫️ Svatovo-Kremennoye direction
At the Kupyansky site, the situation did not seriously change during the day. Ours were able to break through the defensive lines of the militants and gain a foothold in the Sinkovka area. Near Kremennaya, the Russian army continues its offensive.
⚫️ Artemovskoe (Bakhmut) direction
”Orchestra” continue to advance in the direction of Artemovsky , located next to the last safe supply route for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Heavy fighting is going on in Zabakhmutovka and Sobachevka . In the vicinity of Krasnoye , ours continue to crush the militants.
⚫️ Donetsk direction
The Russian army continues the assault on Maryinka . There are fights in the area of Friendship Avenue. The RF Armed Forces are trying to surround the city from the south and north. Also, ours are advancing in Pervomaisky .
⚫️Zaporozhye direction
Positional battles are still going on in the Ugledar area. Our artillery is active. Marines are fixed in the dacha area.
Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 2 Mar 2023; pub. 07:01ðŸ“
(https://t.me/dva_majors/10032)🔴 The RF Armed Forces hit targets in #Sumy #and Poltava regions. Two explosions were reported in #Zaporozhye region.
▪️ West of #Kremennaya, RF Armed Forces repulsed an enemy attack: AFU units came under fire from our artillery.
▪️ North of #Soledar in the direction of #Razdolovka. There is an advance of our forces in the forested areas.
▪️ In #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) sector, the Wagner PMCs are advancing towards #Khromovo. Heavy fighting is taking place at the town.
▪️ In the #Maryinka sector, active actions.
➖ Offensive actions of the RF Armed Forces were reported in the #Peski – #Pervomayskoye sector.
▪️ In the #Ugledar direction, our artillery and aviation were working continuously yesterday. Artillerymen from the field report about the defeat of the accumulation of the enemy’s manpower and gun crews near the town.
🔵 The AFU launched a massive attack on facilities in #Crimea using up to 15 UAVs.
▪️ On the DPR civilian population the enemy fired 178 rounds of ammunition. Under fire: #Gorlovka, #Panteleymonovka, Shirokaya Balka, #Yasinuvataya district, #Donetsk city, #Makeyevka, #Aleksandrovka, #Vladimirovka. Two civilians were wounded.
US seeks allies’ backing for possible China sanctions over Ukraine war
The United States is sounding out close allies about the possibility of imposing new sanctions on China if Beijing provides military support to Russia for its war in Ukraine, according to four U.S. officials and other sources.
The consultations, which are still at a preliminary stage, are intended to drum up support from a range of countries, especially those in the wealthy Group of 7 (G7), to coordinate support for any possible restrictions.
Among the challenges the United States faces in putting sanctions on China, the world’s second-biggest economy, is its thorough integration in the major economies of Europe and Asia, complicating the talks. U.S. allies from Germany to South Korea are reticent to alienate China.
Now a provocation is being prepared with the use of Chinese UAVs in the Ukrainian crisis, which will allegedly be shot down (imprisoned) and will be used as proof that the Russian Federation received military and other assistance from China.
The provocation may also include Chinese microchips, ammunition, small arms, etc., which will be found at some positions.
This is very necessary for the Western lobby to increase pressure on the allies in the anti-Chinese sanctions case.
US Deputy Secretary of Commerce Alan Esteves:
The United States has already blacklisted export restrictions on 12 Chinese companies that, according to Washington, assisted Russia in the SMO in Ukraine.
What are the Russians waiting for?
At this point it seems unlikely the Russians will launch a major offensive in the near term – much of Ukraine will be turning into a soupy morass in the next month and they haven’t begun anything that looks like an obvious program of preparatory strikes. We’re likely waiting until April for the big arrows at least. With that said, their mobilization was complete months ago, so it begs the question of what exactly they’re waiting for. I, as ever, have theories.
1. It’s one thing to mobilize personnel, it’s another entirely to prepare new units to fight a new kind of war. Equipment must be produced and issued, and the new or expanded organizations need to conduct training to ensure they can fight effectively when committed to combat. I recall Putin gave orders to remedy equipment deficiencies in the Russian military by the end of February. Furthermore the battlefield has changed significantly from that envisioned by the Soviets and the Russians have likely had to make and then train significant doctrinal changes to operate effectively on an information-age battlefield saturated with observation platforms and precision weapons. The Russians have likely taken the time to conduct a far larger-scale training program than generally advertised, which is hinted at on the margins of their regular press releases.
2. The Russians are likely running their current forces in theater on a scheme that is both focused on enemy forces and conditions-based rather than focused on terrain and timetables. They’ll aim to inflict maximum damage on the VSU while minimizing their own losses, and seem to only be attacking to maintain a certain level of operational pressure rather than aiming to rupture the front outright. This sucks in counterattacks which can then be destroyed defensively. As such I expect we’ll see a fairly shallow push post-Bakhmut, for instance, to move the northern front up to and possibly wrap around Slavyansk.
3. Contrary to popular wisdom, time is on Russia’s side right now. It’s been a year and there’s no sign of NATO finding its industrial legs and somehow producing the mountain of equipment and munitions necessary to keep Ukraine fighting after existing stockpiles are depleted. Meanwhile the VSU grows more ramshackle by the day, with no sign of a capable reserve force being trained as is so often talked about on both sides – their recent move to recruit an “advance guard” corps out of their shallow pool of remaining paramilitary personnel, while downgrading the status of the regular army, indicates the Ukrainian leadership has lost faith in the current effort to build forces for a counteroffensive. It also may show that Zelensky has lost faith in his generals given the obviously politicized nature of this formation and its designated reserve status so as not to be fed into the Russian meatgrinder at the front. This isn’t the move of a country that has been successfully developing its forces. Meanwhile Russia seems to be stronger than ever, with few apparent issues beyond a mild shell shortage that seems to exist mostly on Telegram. They’re well-aware they aren’t under real time pressure.
At this time Ukraine has no realistic prospect of seizing the initiative back from Russia, no matter how much Austin and Milley may pound the table about counteroffensives. The Russians can be expected to further consolidate their gains before launching a devastating attack at a time, place, and in a matter of their choosing.
- Alcibiades
The West is so intoxicated with the perception of its own power, that it assumes everyone else is as well. After all, the US spends far more on defence than Russia, so it should be much more powerful, shouldn’t it? Well, in certain areas, like Carrier Battle Groups, it is. But the Russians don’t want to play that game : they want to play High-Intensity Land/Air War in Europe, which is a game that the West essentially gave up on a generation ago, and which it can only play for a week or two at most before it runs out of ammunition.
The other delusion is that the West is untouchable. They wouldn’t dare drop a missile on NATO HQ, would they?
I mean, if they did, we would … we would… well what would we do? Nuclear threats are recognised to be dangerous, pointless and irrelevant. NATO will do … something, when it works out what that is.
But if I were the Russians I would be sceptical.
Ukraine A Year Later, US DoD & State Department Officials Retreat into Delusion
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for March 1, 2023:
▪️Russian forces continue the encirclement of Bakhmut in the Donbass region;
▪️Even the Western media is reporting how bleak the situation is for Ukraine in the Donbass region;
▪️A recent interview with senior US State Department and Department of Defense officials reveals dangerous delusion at the highest levels of US policy making;
▪️US officials are repeating common myths even the Western media itself has dispelled in recent months including the supposed “success” of Western sanctions and the sustainability of Western military aid to Ukraine;
▪️Ultimately, US officials admit more or less that Ukraine cannot win, and that US support is about giving Ukraine the best bargaining position when negotiations begin;
⚡️⚡️NYT: negotiations on Ukraine will only bring problems
A negotiated settlement to the conflict in Ukraine will only create more problems. This was stated by the columnist for the American newspaper The New York Times Bret Stevens. In his opinion, such a step will have a negative impact on other states.
“Resolving [the conflict in Ukraine] through negotiations will create more problems than it will solve,” Bret Stevens wrote in the article. For example, China will understand that the United States has its limit in providing military support to Kyiv, the journalist believes. According to him, calls for negotiations on Ukraine undermine support for the country in American society. Also, the idea of negotiations destroys the “morale” of Kyiv, due to which it survives.
Zin Note:
So we have to provide infinite resources for Ukraine, because if we don’t, other countries will realize we don’t have infinite resources…
Also, negotiating for peace isn’t an option, so we have to support Ukraine until Russia collapses, even though that’s not something we can guarantee, and we have to escalate to a possible nuclear war, because that’s somehow better than Russia winning…
Additionally, calling for negotiations reduces support for supplying weapons to Ukraine in American society, not the fact that Americans go without basic services while hundreds of billions of dollars flow to Ukraine…
Understood?
Ukraine A Year Later, US DoD & State Department Officials Retreat into Delusion
Zelensky: US Will Send Their TROOPS To Fight For Ukraine
Ukraine will join NATO but in ‘long- term’, says NATO chief Stoltenberg
Moldova: New anti-government protests backed by pro-Russian oligarch
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2023/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march.html
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