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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 29 2023

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Heavy Fighting Continues

Ukraine Front update [29 March 2023]

Battlefield Ukraine Russian Forces

The French Ministry of Defense confirms the transfer of the AZOM plant in Bakhmut under the control of the Russian side.

The positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Avdiivka are connected to the rear only by a narrow corridor, according to the daily report of the agency.

With the onset of darkness, the detachments of the Wagner PMCs went on an active offensive in the center and north of Bakhmut

Ukrainian military analysts report a new wave of attacks.

▪️Battles are taking place in the Center along Independence, Vasily Pershin, Blagoveshchenskaya and Bakhmutskaya streets.

▪️In the south of Bakhmut, there are fights along Kolodeznaya Street.

▪️ Positional street battles along Korsunsky Street.

▪️In the north of Bakhmut, the Wagner PMCs also launched an active offensive. Fighting along the streets of Alexandra Kolpakova, Alexander Sibirtsev and Heroes of Labor. The fighting continues.

The situation in Bakhmut: PMC “Wagner” fully control the districts of Sobachevka and Budenovka

Fierce fighting continues:

▪️in the central area (Freedom Square);
▪️in the Vodokanal area;
▪️in the AZOM industrial area*;
▪️in the area of the Northern Headquarters.

The guys continue to grind the APU.

*not to be confused with the AZOM enterprise itself, which has already been liberated by Wagner PMC units. “AZOM industrial zone” is the entire northern industrial zone, separately marked on the map.

Why is Zelensky holding out in Bakhmut?

If Ukraine fails to win a protracted battle in Bakhmut, Russia could begin to enlist international support and demand unacceptable compromises from Ukraine – Zelensky.

Moreover, in an interview with the Associated Press on the Sumy-Kyiv train, the president said:

▪️ Our society will feel tired. Our society will be pushed to compromise with them.

▪️ Defeat in the seven-month battle for Bajmut will be a costly political defeat rather than a tactical one.

▪️ If the US stops helping Ukraine, it will not win.

Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Situation in the #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Sector as of 20:53 Moscow Time on 29 March 2023⚡️

🔹1. In the Central Districts of the city, the Wagner PMC continued to storm the administrative building complex on the west bank.
➖ Attempts to advance towards the city centre from the side of the AZOM factory industrial zone continue.
➖ From the south, we continue to press on the southwestern quarters in the direction of the pilots’ monument.
📌 The AFU leadership declares its intention to continue to hold #Artyomovsk at all costs. Zelensky states that a defeat in the city could result in losing the war, which justifies the burning of AFU reserves in the #Artyomovsk sector to the detriment of a number of other areas.

🔹2. In Terms of Communications, the operational encirclement of the Artyomovsk grouping remains in place. All attempts to unblock at least one of the roads from Chasov Yar under the fire control of the Wagner PMCs and the RF Armed Forces have ended unsuccessfully for the AFU.

🔹3. A potential Offensive by the AFU with the aim of deblocking communications to the west of the city never started, and the current format of counterattacks at the company-tactical group level was generally unsuccessful.
➖ Hence the talk of possibly using some of the newly transferred Western equipment near #Artyomovsk to change the dynamics of operations.
➖ Nevertheless, already now the saturation of the section #Bogdanovka, #Khromovo, #Krasnoye with reserves redeployed from other directions allowed the AFU to slow down the advance of the Wagner PMC to the west of the city and delay the moment of turning the operational encirclement into a cauldron.
📌 If at Least one of these Settlements is lost, the AFU plan will fail and the situation for the Artyomovsk grouping will be catastrophic. These risks are the basis for proposals from the West to withdraw from #Artyomovsk, so as not to expose the Artyomovsk grouping to excessive risk in the face of overwhelming losses.

We publish a request from the editors of the Arguments of the Week publication and the answer:
 Hello colleagues!

Dear Evgeny Viktorovich!
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, in an interview with the Associated Press, said that he would defend Bakhmut to the end. According to him, the loss of Bakhmut could force the Ukrainian side and other states into peace talks with Moscow.
We would like to receive your comment on this matter.

After the capture of Popasna, the battle for Bakhmut was planned by my commanders last summer, and we are systematically moving along this path. The battle for Bakhmut today has already practically destroyed the Ukrainian army and, unfortunately, the Wagner PMC has been pretty battered. If today two powers are fighting: Ukraine with the collective West on the one hand and Russia with a small number of allies, then the general battle of the Wagner PMC against the Armed Forces with the introduction of foreign units into it, in which the Wagner PMC will win, is a serious turn in this war and in all modern stories. PMC Wagner destroys foreign forces that are trying to bring Russia to its knees, this is a serious turn in the war, because only one Russian army will remain on the chessboard, and all other pieces will be removed from it. And if PMC Wagner dies in the Bakhmut meat grinder and takes with him the Armed Forces and its forces with foreign weapons, etc., and enables the Russian army to go further and protect the interests of Russia, then we have fulfilled our historical role. And here you can put a point. But I would add one more thing, everyone else should be ready to go forward. I remind you again, the flanks south and north (the Russian army in these directions) must go and tear everything else – that’s when history will be made.



Analysis of RT reports about the battles in Marinka

 Russia Today has published several reports by military correspondent Vlad Andritsa @vandrytsa dedicated to the battles in Marinka , which clearly show the advance of Russian forces in the area of Druzhby Prospekt.

From the night video with the work of artillerymen on the moving equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, it becomes clear that the main supply route for the Maryinsky enemy grouping is now under artillery fire control .

The second report tells about the difficulties that had to be faced in the battles for the central part of Maryinka. The Armed Forces of Ukraine set up a fortified point from the Church of Our Lady of Kazan and nearby administrative buildings.

It was possible to drive Ukrainian forces out of there during a direct assault only at the cost of high losses.

Therefore, at first the RF Armed Forces occupied the area of school number two on the northern outskirts of the city, after a while it was occupied fire station and neighboring high-rise buildings . The fortified area was in a semi-encirclement , which complicated the supply of the defenders.

Based on the words of a Russian serviceman , the territory of Maryinka to the east of Druzhby Avenue has been completely cleared of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.



Battle for #Avdeyevka – Situation until 19:00 on 29 Mar 2023⚡️

🔹 North of #Avdeyevka, servicemen of the Russian Armed Forces’ 132nd Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade (formerly the 3rd Gorlovka Brigade of the DPR) continue the positional offensive against AFU strongholds in the forest belt south of #Novobakhmutovka. The AFU are indiscriminately shelling the areas of the Russian offensive, trying to restrain their advance.

▪️ To the Southeast, Russian troops, after a complete sweep of #Kamenka, are fighting south and southwest of the settlement, expanding the control zone at the reservoir adjacent to the village.

▪️ West of #Krasnogorovka, positional fighting is taking place. Both Russian soldiers and Ukrainian formations are shelling each other’s positions with artillery and aviation.

🔻Southwest of #Avdeyevka, the AFU moved additional units of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade to the area of #Severnoye due to the expected offensive of the RF Armed Forces. They are equipping shelters with camouflage nets for personnel and military equipment at the outposts.

▪️ The Russian forces’ offensive in #Pervomayskoye resumed. Soldiers of the RF Armed Forces have completely cleared the quarters adjacent to Izmaylovsky Pond and are advancing further.


About the attempted AFU Attack on the #Gvardeyskoye Airfield in #Crimea⚡️

A little less than an hour ago, Ukrainian formations carried out a strike on the Crimean peninsula. According to our information, a Grom-2 operational-tactical missile system from the positioning area ( at the Alibey/Tuzla training ground in the #Odessa region may have been used for this purpose.

The target of the strike was the Russian Aerospace Forces airfield in the village of #Gvardeyskoye north of #Simferopol. As a result, the shell fell in a field close to the base without affecting the infrastructure of the Russian Aerospace Forces base. A wide crater appeared in the ground, but its depth cannot be determined from this angle.

On March 21, we wrote ( that the AFU was preparing to carry out raids and sabotage in #Crimea, including using a Ukrainian-made missile system. If the version with the MLRS is confirmed (our team is still confused by the size of the crater, identical to other instances of use of the Grom-2), such a miss indicates problems with navigation and target designation of the newest Ukrainian MLRS.

However, with such attacks the AFU shoots the Grom-2, assessing the results and correcting the identified defects, as well as analyzing the actions of the air defence system. Each next such strike (the previous one was on March 4) will be more accurate than the previous one. And we should be prepared for the arrival of a long-range SAM system in the AFU’s arsenal.


Ukrainian saboteurs tried to break into the Bryansk region through the village of Lomakovka in two pickup trucks – Mash.

The Russian military opened artillery fire and destroyed one of the vehicles, the second managed to escape, according to preliminary data, 8 people from the Ukrainian side were killed, the Russian military had no losses

Several things are happening at once.

Per the above, Russian forces have performed a series of artillery and airstrikes in and around Gulyaipole to disrupt UKR preparations for their offensive.

Ukrainian media also reports that apparently further Russian forces are being drawn up around Avdeevka and Ugledar. Perhaps in the case of the former we can say that after mostly pausing for five days, Russian forces have softened the UKR up enough to begin resuming the advance or they might be expecting a counterattack. In the case of the latter it is probably to prevent the UKR from drawing forces away to shore up other parts of the front.

In Artemovsk the musicians continue to get closer to the center of the city and squeeze out the remaining UKR defenders.

Special operation of the Russian Federation, March 29. Main:

▪️In the Donetsk direction, the losses of Kyiv amounted to 310 military, in the Kherson direction – up to 40, in the Yuzhno-Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions more than 50, the RF Ministry of Defense reported;

▪️The Russian military destroyed a communications center and four command posts of the Ukrainian army in the DPR, the Russian Defense Ministry said;

The military of the Russian Federation destroyed the control center for Ukrainian drones near Kherson, the head of the press center of the Dnepr group told RIA Novosti;

▪️Achieving the goals of the operation in Ukraine in a political and diplomatic way is impossible, said the press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Peskov;

▪️Hybrid war against Russia for a long time, he added;

▪️Zelensky announced his readiness to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Ukraine;

▪️China maintains communication with all parties on the Ukrainian issue, but there is no specific information, the Chinese Foreign Ministry commented on Zelensky’s words;

▪️Beijing itself decides whether it is appropriate to meet with Zelensky, Moscow has no right to advise, Peskov said;

▪️IAEA Director General Grossi visited Zaporizhzhya NPP, stating that the organization is developing a new concept for the protection of nuclear power plants;

▪️This concept provides for a narrowing of the security zone around the ZNPP, in contrast to what the previous plan of the protective zone envisaged, Grossi noted;

▪️ There are no plans for the visit of the IAEA Director General to Moscow, said Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov, Peskov noted that contacts between Putin and Grossi are not planned in the foreseeable schedule.


Chronicles of the special military operation for March 29, 2023

 ðŸ”» Border areas:

▪️Ukrainian saboteurs tried to break through the village of Lomakovka in the Bryansk region.

▪️ The AFU attacked the village of Cheremoshnoye in the Belgorod Region, causing problems with power supply in several settlements.

▪️ A shell fell in the Republic of Crimea near the village of Gvardeiskoye: there were no casualties or damage.

🔻 Starobilsk direction ( map ( ):

▪️In the Kupiansk sector, the Ukrainian command is preparing for a possible offensive by units of the Russian Armed Forces in the direction of Kupyansk.

▪️ In the Lyman sector, Russian troops continue positional battles at the Torske -Terny line: in recent days, the zone of control south of Dibrova has been expanded.

▪️ At the Lisichansk sector, the AFU were deployed to Belogorovka additional forces to strengthen positions near the settlement.

🔻Soledar direction:

▪️In the vicinity of Orikhove-Vasilevka, northwest of Bakhmut, fighting continues: neither side can achieve a decisive advantage in the sector.

▪️ In Bakhmut, the assault groups of PMC “Wagner” completely took control of the districts of Sobachevka and Budenovka.

Now fierce battles are going on in the city center, in the Vodokanal district, in the vicinity of the AZOM industrial zone and near the Northern Headquarters.

🔻Donetsk direction ( map ( ):

▪️North of Avdiivka, Russian troops are advancing in a forest belt south of Novobakhmutovka.

To the south, after the complete liberation of Kamenka, the fighters of the Russian Armed Forces expand the control zone near the reservoir adjacent to the village.

▪️ South of Avdiivka, Ukrainian formations are preparing for a possible Russian offensive in the Severny area. Reinforcements are being brought to the site and positions are being equipped.

▪️ The Russian Armed Forces resumed their offensive in Pervomaisky, clearing the quarters near Izmailovsky Pond.

▪️ The enemy once again shelled the Donetsk agglomeration, causing damage to civilian infrastructure in Donetsk, Makeevka, Yasynuvata and other settlements.

🔻Zaporozhye region:

▪️ Ukrainian formations launched a missile attack on the air town in Melitopol: some of the targets were shot down, but three missiles hit the depot and the railway substation.

▪️ The head of the IAEA International Mission, Rafael Grossi, during his regular visit to ZNPP, spoke about the difficult situation at the plant and the intensification of hostilities around Energodar, and also pointed out the absence of offensive weapons at the facility.

🔻 Southern Front: Kherson direction:

▪️Mutual shelling with the use of cannon and rocket artillery does not stop along the entire length of the front line: Russian troops hit the places of permanent deployment of the AFU in Kherson, Berislav and Novoberislav.

For its part, the enemy shelled the left bank of the Kherson region: civilian infrastructure and residential buildings in Aleshki, Hola Pristan and Tavriysk were under attack.

Until the end of May, units of North Korean volunteers will allegedly arrive in Ukraine to participate in hostilities on the side of Russia

This game is reported by the Volya propaganda channel associated with the special services of Kyiv, citing its sources.
This is supposedly about infantry and artillery units that will arrive with their weapons and ammunition (!). Under this task, the search for officers who speak Korean is already underway.
“It is realistic to bring them here at 10-15 thousand people a month, this will allow us to somehow train our infantry, removing it from assault missions. In theory, the North Koreans are better prepared than we are to wage war without the use of modern technical means, just as we are now fighting. I doubt that they will achieve any breakthrough results, but they will drink the blood of the Ukrainians, ”the channel quotes a fictitious officer of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces

Russian-linked church appeals eviction from Kyiv Monastery of the Caves

‘This is lawlessness’: Prayers at Kyiv monastery as eviction deadline expires

The monks of the canonical Ukrainian Orthodox Church (UOC) in the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra, amid attempts by officials to expel them from the monastery, continue many hours of Lenten services, follows from the video sent to RIA Novosti by eyewitnesses

Kiev-Pechersk Lavra will be cleaned under the cover of night?

 Ukrainian TG channels are spreading rumors that they want to evict monks from the Lavra at night. Allegedly, this decision was made at a conference call in the president’s office. Zelensky and Yermak set the task for the head of the SBU, Maliuk, to carry out a cleansing operation by connecting the radicals to the action of intimidation.

The day of the cleansing of the Lavra has not yet been chosen. Perhaps today or in the coming weeks.

Zelensky wants to use this as his victory. All manuals with narratives for dispersal have already been prepared, the main of which is “Zelensky returned the Lavra to the Ukrainian people.”

Well, who is Zelensky, Lukashenka has already told us.

Western countries sent a faulty air defense system to Ukraine, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in an interview with the Associated Press.

According to him, one of the countries sent a non-working air defense system, so the Ukrainians “had to change it again and again.” Zelensky did not specify the country. He also noted that a number of weapons that Western countries promised to send, including Patriot air defense batteries, have not yet arrived.

Where did the Western Armoured Vehicles delivered to #Ukraine arrive?

The other day, a video from an unidentified training ground with western armoured vehicles delivered to the AFU appeared in the Ukrainian segment of the Net. A British Challenger 2 tank, a German Marder BMP, an American Bradley BMP and an Australian Bushmaster APC were captured.

Specific indications caught by the cameraman’s lens allowed our OSINT team to identify the precise location of the site where Ukrainian troops are being trained. It is the 37th Combined Arms Range near the village of #Perlyavka, southwest of #Zhitomir.

The coordinates are: 50.202333, 28.509047

The training centre is actively used for training of assault formations. Over the last couple of months training of 77th Air Mobility Brigade and 82nd Airborne Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces has been conducted at the 37th training range.

These two brigades, along with several others, will form the backbone of the AFU offensive grouping. The presence of wheeled armoured vehicles of various types confirms the Ukrainian command’s reliance on mobile armoured groups in the spring-summer campaign to invade Russian territory.

New Tank Shipments ARRIVE In Ukraine

AFU will go on a counteroffensive during April-May

Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov was asked when it would be possible to see the Leopard tanks transferred from the allies at the front.

“You will see them counterattack as decided by our General Staff. It is already planned in several directions. It depends on what moment is the most appropriate, how they decide.

It also depends on weather conditions. In spring, our land is very wet. Only tracked vehicles can be used. I think we will see them in April-May,” he said.

Kremlin: SMO goals cannot be achieved through diplomacy, they will be achieved militarily

The Kremlin declared that it was impossible to achieve the goals of the special military operation through political and diplomatic means. This was stated by the press secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov.

“We have repeatedly said that the goals of the Russian Federation can be achieved in various ways – this is political-diplomatic or military, if political-diplomatic means are currently impossible,” Peskov told reporters.

At the same time, he noted that, since in the case of Ukraine it is impossible to achieve the goals of the special operation through diplomacy, they will be achieved through military means.

Dmitry Peskov emphasized that the most important thing for Russia is the fulfillment of its requirements, ensuring security in new regions of the country, as well as ensuring the security of the Russian Federation in a broader context.

ZvezdaNews (

Volodymyr Zelensky invites Xi Jinping to visit Ukraine

Volodymyr Zelensky invited Chinese President Xi Jinping to visit Ukraine, he said in an interview with The Associated Press

“We are ready to see him here. I want to talk to him. I contacted him before the full scale war. But for this whole year, more than a year, we had no contacts,” the Ukrainian president said.

Putin’s New Decision Destroyed all of Poland’s Far-Reaching Plans regarding Ukraine

Russia starts drills with mobile nuclear ballistic missiles


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