The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 02 2023
Summer is Coming
US Army General Cavoli: ‘Ukraine is not Winning this War, and the Russian Army is Getting Stronger’
How Ukraine Plans to FLANK The Russian Army
In simple terms, when assessing the situation, we can say that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are pulling to the front a sufficient number of soldiers, equipment, fuel, and ammunition for attacking actions. Despite the constant strikes of the Russian Armed Forces on the places of concentration, the enemy does not stop concentrating more and more new forces, dispersing them on the ground. Its not the first year fighting, and we have learned something.
Satellite reconnaissance of NATO countries and Bayraktar UAVs, operating at a distance from the front line, are actively helping. Now these drones are used only for reconnaissance and artillery fire adjustment, they “see” at 50 km.
The enemy agents, unfortunately, were not destroyed. Explosions of officials in the Zaporozhye region, the work of spotters from among the “waiters” are direct evidence of this.
As the Armed Forces of Ukraine prepare for the offensive, we should expect a great intensification of sabotage and terrorist activities on our territory. The task of the enemy is to disrupt the logistics, divert forces to localize the consequences.
At the same time, the main goal of Kiev is panic, social instability, undermining confidence in the military and political leadership of the country. Whatever they are.
Two Majors
UAF soldier tells CNN his brigade is ready for a counter-offensive, but it is alarming
▪️ “We are ready and have been waiting for a counteroffensive for a long time. We have completed the resupply,” said call sign Arthur.
▪️He noticed that a number of aspects of a possible counter-offensive were causing concern among his fellow soldiers.
❗️“Firstly, we will not have the element of surprise. Because every smartphone screams this counteroffensive. So the Russians may not know where it will be, or they may know and are prepared,” he said.
▪️Secondly, the Russian army gathered reserves after Putin announced “partial mobilization” in September 2022.
▪️“Thirdly, the more we wait and accumulate forces, the more they hit our warehouses and places of deployment. And they are constantly attacking the front line of defense with aircraft. If we continue to play for time, we may not live to see the counteroffensive. If they hit our warehouses, then they have data on them.
▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine are no longer waiting for fighter jets, which Zelensky and Kyiv have asked the West many times.
We continue to monitor the activities of the Ukrainian CIPSO in preparation for the upcoming “counteroffensive”.
More recently, a direction has been activated, which for a long time was in the “information shadow” of Artemovsk and Vugledar. Last week, the Ukrainian media began with the news that certain groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region. The news story was immediately picked up by the Western media: the German publication Bild wrote an article about the preparation of Ukrainian “commandos” in kayaks specifically to force water barriers at the mouth of the Dnieper. At the same time, another “insider” surfaced, according to which, since December 2022, the US Army Corps of Engineers has been working on a plan for the operational restoration of the crossing in the Antonovsky Bridge area. And to heighten the effect, satellite images of our positions on the left bank of the river are published – everything is in the best possible way: the quality is excellent, every trench is visible.
Also, the Armed Forces of Ukraine once again continue to play the trump card “Crimean” in the information game. Last week, as a result of a strike by a Ukrainian UAV, the tanks of an oil depot in Sevastopol caught fire. Ukrainian channels immediately started talking about “bavovna”, joyfully publishing “kilometer queues” at the exit from Crimea. Why, Zelensky himself repeated the communication of the head of the GUR Budanov about the imminent capture of the peninsula.
Simultaneously with a powerful information campaign, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to probe the defenses in the Zaporozhye and South-Donetsk directions. CIPSO is working with might and main, generating newsworthy incidents along the entire length of the “front line”.
We remind you that this has only one goal: to increase the level of anxiety and nervousness in the army and society, complicating preparations for repelling the attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the direction that will be chosen as the main one. Therefore, one should be very critical of various informational stuffing and believe in one’s own army, which will undoubtedly take advantage of the enemy’s misses and launch its own counterattack, preparations for which are already being talked about in the Western media.”
British scout says Russian air force strikes affected AFU readiness for offensive
“The attack highlights the importance of ammunition depots and defense industry facilities. It may have affected the preparations of the Ukrainian Armed Forces for a counter-offensive,” former British intelligence officer Philip Ingram told Newsweek.
According to the article, Russian aviation hit a key facility involved in the testing of Ukrainian anti-ship Neptun missiles as well as Olha-M rockets.
Vladimir Rogov writes Why do Biden and Zelensky need a counteroffensive so much?
The answer is obvious – for six months in the United States, the number of those who believe that Ukraine is winning and Russia is losing the war has significantly decreased.
Therefore, if the militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not show activity, they will lose support.
The US never bets on the losers – the sheriff does not care about the problems of the Indians
Ukraine hides counteroffensive details from its allies due to a leak in the US – Politico.
Ukraine has cited the alleged social media leak of classified US Defense and Intelligence documents as one of the reasons Kyiv has not shared information about the counteroffensive, including planned timing and troop numbers.
A Ukrainian MP interviewed by reporters said senior officials in Kyiv also kept details of the counteroffensive from other politicians in the capital.
“There are only a few people in the country who know this plan,” a source told Politico.
Kherson situation as of 19.00 May 2, 2023
🔻In the Golopristan sector, the AFU are building up forces near Kizomys, preparing for a landing on the islands south of the village on the Dnieper. Artillery crews of the AFU conduct artillery preparation along the left bank from position areas in Stanislav and Belozerka.
▪️ Yesterday, Ukrainian formations attempted to carry out airstrikes on Staraya Zburyevka with a pair of Su-25 attack aircraft. The air defense crew of the Russian Armed Forces shot down one of the aircraft, and the wingman departed in the opposite direction.
▪️ From the vicinity of Gulyaevka and Belgorod-Dnestrovsky, at least two Bayraktar UAVs operate daily. The drones operate at a safe distance from the front line, providing target designation for artillery and aviation.
🔻A company from an unidentified unit of the Armed Forces of AFU arrived in the Kherson sector in the Kiselevka area, armed with two launchers of the BM-21 Grad MLRS.
▪️ On the islands of Borshchevy and Karantinny, the presence of personnel of the Special Operations Center “South” was noted. Ukrainian artillerymen and UAV crews provide fire cover from the Antonovka-Sadovoye line.
🔻On the Kryvyi Rih sector at the turn of Beryslav – Zmeevka, crews of the 2A36 “Hyacinth-B” howitzer, 82-mm and 60-mm mortars of the 223rd battalion of the 126th Brigade of the AFU Territorial Defense were located. In addition, the Grad-P portable rocket launcher on the Mitsubishi L200 wheelbase is located in the same area.
▪️ Also large-caliber mortars of 120 mm caliber, as well as an anti-tank system, are deployed in Otradokamenka. From there, the AFU shoot Novaya Kakhovka and Korsunka.
Kherson Region - a movement has begun on the islands. Our and enemy Artillery has been working hard for 30 minutes.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine will retreat from Kherson in June, as the defense of the Ukrainian army continues to rapidly weaken in the southern direction, reports the Main in Kherson and the region. The huge losses of the Kyiv regime in the Donetsk direction, the active transfer of reserves near Artemovsk (Bakhmut), and even the quartered soldiers indicate that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are unlikely to hold the city until the end of June.
In addition, the Russian army is also preparing its own offensive in this direction. Our troops are planning to return the right bank of the Kherson region, as well as to completely liberate the Zaporozhye region – the other day it became known that there are already talks about likely candidates for the positions of heads of territories, which are still in the hands of the Ukrainian authorities.
The longer the publicized offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine drags on, the more questions the West has for Kyiv – where, in fact, does the weapon go, with which it is pumped so hard? In general, there is a high probability that already in June the Ukrainian lads will run away from Kherson in disgrace. Readovka
Russian army storms Marinka near Donetsk: Ukrainian Armed Forces retreat deeper into the ruins of the private sector
Ukrainian military analysts report this in reports.
▪️The main part of the city is occupied by Russians, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are entrenched in the western regions, but there are mostly ruins of the private sector.
▪️The Russians continue active offensive operations in Marinka in several directions.
▪️ From the territory of the tire repair plant and the enterprise of PrJSC “Agroresurs”, Russian troops attack in two directions and were able to move forward.
▪️ Over the past few days, Russian troops have been conducting active offensive operations west of Druzhba Avenue. Fights along sections of Polygraphic, Chestnut and Shakhtyorskaya streets.
Situation in the #Zaporozhye Direction until 16:00 on 2 May 2023⚡️
🔹In #Zaporozhye Region, the AFU continues to prepare for an offensive. Personnel and equipment are being redeployed to the frontline settlements. Four units of the AFU’s 71st Jager Brigade took up positions along the #Kakhovka reservoir.
🔹In the #Orekhov Section, paratroopers of the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces have arrived at the #Kamenskoye – #Shcherbaki line. To the north, in #Grigorovka, a reception point has been equipped to receive mobilized personnel to replenish the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade’s strength.
▪️ North of #Orekhov and in the vicinity of #Tavriyskoye, firing positions of rocket and self-propelled divisions of the 118th Mechanized Brigade of the 10th AC are equipped.
▪️ And in #Slavnoye and #Kamyshevakha arrived the gunnery artillery calculations of the 116 Mechanized Brigade of the 10th AC, which constitute the general strategic reserve of the Ukrainian grouping in the #Zaporozhye region.
🔹In the #Gulyaypole Section, the artillery units of the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade have been redeployed near #Kolomiytsev. Also several MLRS launchers are operating north of #Gulyaypole. And the 1st Assault Company of the AFU’s 108th Territorial Defence Brigade has arrived in Verkhnyaya Tersa.
📌 In the #Zaporozhye Direction, the AFU is actually ready for an offensive. Due to improved weather conditions, such attempts by Ukrainian formations should be expected in the coming weeks.
At the same time, a large train of heavy armoured vehicles arrived in #Kremenchuk tonight, some of which will be moved to #Zaporozhye, while the others will be sent eastwards.
Russia THREATEN Key Road Junction
Bakhmut Endgame | ALL HELL BROKE LOOSE | Bakhmut Front Update
Bakhmut Front Update [2 May 2023]
Near Bakhmut, the commander of the military defense forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, General Tantsyura, was allegedly destroyed, – Prigozhin
“Today at 13:25, the artillery units of the Wagner PMC destroyed an armored car, in which, presumably, there was the commander of the territorial defense forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Igor Ivanovich Tantsyura, who was heading to Bakhmut. We are currently clarifying the information and will bring it later, ”said E. Prigozhin.
This was told by the commander of the 127th troop brigade Roman Grishchenko:
“Indeed, the commander of the Troop Forces visited his units in the Bakhmut fortress, held a meeting with the commanders of the military units of the Terodefense Forces. Yes, there were attempts by the enemy to hit the commander. But believe me: alive and well, unharmed, as always, he is doing his official duties,” Grishchenko says.
So why isn’t he shown yet?? Show us proof he still alive.
Tantsyura, head of AFU defence forces, allegedly killed near Bakhmut.
This was reported by Prigozhyn, who showed a photo of the destroyed car. Our sources deny this information, Tantsyura is alive and well, and propagandists are trying to cling to any straw to divert attention from the imminent defeat of Russia.
Prigozhin, as always, is a f*cking liar, and Russians are only capable of throwing in fakes. Ukrainian Post
“We officially refute this claim. We do not comment on any stuffing of enemy propaganda. Everyone is alive and well , ”said D. Zelinsky, spokesman for the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in a comment to Suspilny.
Today, units of PMC “Wagner” advanced in Bakhmut up to 160 meters in various directions.
ㅤ
Under the control of the enemy a little more than 2.7 square kilometers. 53,000 square meters have been vacated.
“Our losses are 103 people. They should have been many times less if it were not for the lack of shells. Ammunition is still not given to us in the required quantities.”
Prigozhin about the situation in Bakhmut.
No less famous than the Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar route is the road from Kostyantynivka to Bakhmut via Ivanovske. On the way, 2 T72, MTLB and YPR 765 were destroyed.
And this despite the fact that this area is safer. Who has driven – knows. There is a movement of technology.
The amount of broken equipment and constant artillery fire do not confirm the shortage of shells among the orcs. We do not rule out that this information is specially disseminated by Russians. And also our lovers to underestimate the enemy, so that later the failure of the counteroffensive can be attributed to “we thought they had problems with shells, we became victims of misinformation.”
They have problems, we observe it. But it is rather related to interaction. And not with equipment and technology. Ukrainian 46th Brigade
Ukrainian Post Bakhmut
The situation is very difficult.
Orcs are frantically climbing in the city and on the “road of life”.
But they are still more demanding.
The following days will be the most difficult and to some extent decisive for Bakhmut.
The epicenter of the fighting in Bakhmut is currently in the NW. After several attempted counterattacks by UA were fended off, Wagner managed to advance right up to the post office. Very intense and heavy battles are taking place here now. The same applies to the Olympic school area. East of these areas, Wagner managed to break through UA’s defenses and advance further. Wagner is now trying to align the front along Larysy Shepitko Street. Sometimes they are successful. Along Peremogi Street, Wagner managed to advance even further and reach UA’s last line of defense.
I personally think that Wagner will soon be able to break the last line and UA will face great difficulties.
The Children’s Hospital area and the Citadel Area (High Rise Buildings) are covered very heavily by artillery. UA can hardly go outside or they will be hit directly.
To the south, in the area where Wagner crossed Chajkovskogo Street, Wagner also managed to capture 4 more houses on the other side. The process of encircling the high-rise buildings is in full swing.
Wagner goes forward
Situation in the #Starobelsk Direction at 13:00 on 2 May 2023⚡️
🔹 In #Kupyansk sector, there are no significant changes. The AFU continues to reinforce its forward positions. By 7 May, a unit of the 3rd Separate Tank Brigade from #Gelmyazovo is expected to arrive north of #Kupyansk.
▪️ At the #Kupyansk – #Kucherovka line, the forces of AFU’s 1st Battalion of the 14th Mechanized Brigade and 2 Battalions of the Foreign Defense Legion of Ukraine are concentrated. And the 63th Howitzer SAU Art. Division of the 3rd Brigade has been moved to the #Dvurechnaya area.
🔹In #Svatovo Section, AFU troops are shelling Russian positions. There is a shortage of 120mm mortar rounds at the front. The RAV depots hold the existing stockpiles as an untouchable reserve.
🔹 In #Liman Sector, additional units from an unidentified AFU unit have been moved near #Kramatorsk. In addition, a recon team of the Air Assault Forces’ 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade arrived in #Yampol.
➖ The paratroopers of the 77th Brigade are highly likely to replace the forces of the 1st Rifle Battalion of the 58th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade, which lost 100 of its 170 men killed due to several Russian SRG sorties and artillery strikes at the #Yampol – #Grigorovka line.
🔹Near Kharkov Region border with DPR and LPR, was a strengthening of the troop grouping. Personnel and equipment are being moved to #Kharkov by train, and from 7 to 16 May there are plans to assemble command staff at training ranges in the region.
According to some reports, a US UH-60 Black Hawk helicopter has flown into the territory of the international airport. Also, the Ukrainian command has increased the number of troops in #Seversk and the surrounding area.
Amid the redeployment of reinforcements to #Kharkov, #Slavyansk-#Kramatorsk and #Belogorovka, attempts to strike in the direction of #Svatovo, #Lisichansk and #Soledar are likely in the coming weeks.
The drone attack took place today at about 1 pm near the village of Prilesie. A 46-year-old man was doing ground work when a UAV from Ukraine dropped an improvised explosive device. The man received a concussion, he was called an ambulance. However, he refused hospitalization in the end.
Courtesy Ministry of Defence Highlights of the day
💥 Three planes of the Ukrainian Air Force were destroyed by air defense means. Two Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jets were shot down near the settlements of Ulyanivka in the Donetsk People’s Republic and Myrolyubovka in the Kherson region. In addition, a Su-25 aircraft of the Ukrainian Air Force was shot down near the village of Veletenskoe, Kherson region.
In the Donetsk direction, assault detachments fought in the western part of the city of Artemovsk. Over the past 24 hours, up to 290 Ukrainian servicemen and foreign mercenaries, one tank, four armored combat vehicles, six vehicles, and a D-20 howitzer have been destroyed in this direction.
Statements by representatives of the “Center”, “East”, “South” and “West” groups on the course of hostilities in the directions of the NMD have been published.
Chronicles of the special military operation for May 2, 2023
🔻 Border areas:
▪️In the Bryansk region, Ukrainian formations shelled the village of Kurkovichi: a fire broke out in one of the private households, no one was injured.
In the area of the Snezhetskaya station, a terrorist act occurred on the railway tracks during the passage of a freight train: a locomotive and about 20 wagons derailed.
Earlier, an attempt to undermine the railway track was prevented on the Krasny Rog – Pochep section.
▪️ In the Kursk region, the AFU attacked the village of Tetkino in the Glushkovsky district: seven residential buildings were damaged, civilians were not injured.
🔻 Starobilsk direction (map):
(https://t.me/rybar/46514)▪️On the Kupiansk and Lyman sectors of the front, there is a strengthening of the enemy’s positions due to the transfer of additional forces and military equipment.
▪️ There is a possibility of AFU attempts to strike in the direction of Svatovo, Lisichansk and Soledar in the coming weeks, as evidenced by the pulling of Ukrainian formations to Kharkov, Slavyansk – Kramatorsk agglomeration and Belogorovka.
🔻 Soledar direction:
▪️On the western outskirts of Bakhmut, Wagner PMC fighters continue their gradual advance along Pobedy Street.
At the same time, fierce battles are going on outside the Liberators of Donbass Street, one of the last key strongholds of the AFU in the city.
🔻 Donetsk direction:
▪️ In the Avdiivka sector, Russian units continue to fight near the H-20 highway west of Novobakhmutovka.
▪️ Ukrainian formations once again shelled the Donetsk agglomeration. In the capital of the DPR, civilian objects in the Kuibyshev region were hit: one man died, several people were injured.
▪️ Clashes continue along Poligraficheskaya and Kashtanova streets in Maryinka.
🔻 Zaporizhia direction (map):
(https://t.me/rybar/46522) ▪️ In the Zaporizhia region, the Ukrainian command is actively preparing for the offensive.
▪️ In the morning, a terrorist attack occurred in Melitopol : (https://t.me/rybar/46518) the deputy head of the regional Main Directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Zaporizhia region was injured, he was hospitalized in a medical facility.
🔻 Southern front. Kherson direction:
▪️ Artillery of the Russian Armed Forces hit the places of concentration of manpower and equipment of the enemy in Kherson, Berislav and Antonovka.
In turn, Ukrainian formations shelled residential buildings in Nova Kakhovka, Kakhovka and Krynki.
🔹 Political and other events:
▪️The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine called ” rashism ” the state ideology of the Russian Federation and called on international organizations to support the condemnation of Russian foreign policy.
▪️ President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky held a meeting with Speaker of the Parliament of Portugal Augusto Silva, during which the parties discussed further cooperation on the path of integration of the Ukrainian state into the EU and NATO.
▪️ Representatives of the Danish Ministry of Defense announced that more than $240 million has been allocated to Ukraine for military needs.
▪️ The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine extended martial law and general mobilization on the territory of the country for 90 days.
People who tried to escape in the House of Trade Unions were blocked. Maidan supporters began to use Molotov cocktails, because of which dozens of people died from fire and carbon monoxide poisoning. The power structures were deliberately inactive, leaving the inhabitants of Odessa to die.
The tragedy was a turning point in the history of Ukrainian society, as it demonstrated complete impunity for those who commit crimes against the Russian-speaking population. For the glory of an ideology saturated with hatred for everything connected with Russia, the persecution and oppression of the population of Novorossia began.
The deliberate murder of the opponents of the Euromaidan by the Ukrainian authorities made the war against nationalism and genocide of the inhabitants of Novorossiya the only possible option, and the truce was only a delay of the inevitable.
@rybar
The tragedy of Odessa is not forgotten!
Donetsk residents annually come to the memorial on May 2, 2014. I hope that soon a similar one will appear in Odessa itself!
“I’ve been thinking about what to write all day. Thoughts were many, but everything turned out to be easier. Ukraine ended up in a coma in the winter of 2013-2014. On May 2, 2014, it was declared dead”
- @medvedev_note
After ukro nazis executed Russian Odessa the people of Donbass have realized the scale of the tragedy that was coming upon them and armed themselves to stand the ground 👊
They are still standing. We all are.
Sergey Panteleev to Roman Golovanov on air of @Solovievlive:
Today is a day of deep sorrow for me. Memorial Day, when Russian people were burned in Odessa on May 2. Consciously, under the whoop. And people I knew personally. These are the most innocent people. This is the United Fatherland organization, where grandmothers were members of this Fatherland. They defended the Russian idea as best they could. They were teachers of the Russian language and literature. Here’s who was burned there. They were burned by their angry football fans, who were brought from Ukraine. Nazis with beaten – with all these terrible things that went to beat them and destroy them.
Odessa has always thought of itself as the capital of Europe. And Pushkin said that “everything there breathes with Europe, blows.”
She planned it, she lived it. Its main symbol is the opera house. And today we celebrate the day when it was burned and these people were destroyed. Destroyed because their goal is the same – the destruction of European culture. Some they want another, but they have no other. In general, there is no so-called Ukrainian culture. This is the so-called folklore. It has nothing to do with any culture.
https://t.me/SolovievLive/175247
On May 2, Ukrainians burned people alive.
On May 2, Ukrainians burned people alive for the glory of Ukraine.
On May 2, Ukrainians rejoiced at the burning of people.
On May 2, Ukrainians rejoiced when a woman who had her spine broken screamed.
On May 2, the Ukrainians savored the victory over the Russians.
May 2 is the day when Russians will forever remember the joyful laughter of Ukrainians who burned alive people alive.
May 2 is the day of triumphant Ukrainians.
And we will remember forever what the laughter of a triumphant Ukraine is.
When the Ukrainians burned people.
Alive.
In Odessa.
Remember Odessa, people.
Remember May 2nd.
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Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2023/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may_2.html
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