The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 24 2023
Putin speaks on Russian mercenary chief Prigozhin following plane crash
Wagner boss Prigozhin Presumed Killed in Plane Crash w/Scott Ritter
Russian state TV claims to show the additional footage of the Prigozhin crash
Vladimir Putin on the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin and employees of PMC “Wagner”
“As for this aviation accident, first of all I want to express my sincere condolences to the families of all the victims. It is always a tragedy. And indeed, if there were (like primary data indicate that they were there) and employees of the Wagner company, I would like to note that these are people who have made a significant contribution to our common cause of fighting the neo-Nazi regime in Ukraine. We remember this, we know it, and we will not forget it. I knew Prigozhin for a very long time, from the beginning of the 90s. He was a man of difficult fate, and he made serious mistakes in life. And he achieved the results needed for himself, even when I asked him about it for a common cause, as in these last months. He was a talented person, a talented businessman, he worked not only for us in the country, and with the result he worked, but also abroad – in Africa, in particular. He dealt with oil, gas, precious metals and stones there. Just yesterday, as far as I know, he returned from Africa. I met here with some official persons. But what is absolutely perfect (the head of the Investigative Committee reported to me about this this morning), they have already begun a preliminary investigation of this incident. And it will be carried out in full and brought to an end. There is no doubt here. Let’s see what the investigators say in the near future. And now, expert examinations, technical examinations and genetic ones are being carried out. This will take some time.”
MI6 sent new intelligence to the Office of the President and the General Staff that the Kremlin wants to transfer the remnants of the Wagner PMC to the southern front in order to strengthen the defense.
First and foremost, as with all musings, I do not speak for nor represent SLG here.
That said, I did raise a toast to Prigozhin this evening for all the good deeds he has done in the past and for the justice that has taken place in the present.
No man is without sin, may he rest in peace now that he has passed.
Now, getting down to business.
- Russian state action is unlikely. A bomb risks discovery and a catostrophic revolt from such. Not a 100% safe option
AA likewise ensures countless civilians filming the incident which inevtiably leads to its leak.
-Ukrainian state action is plausible as discovery of a bomb leaves plausible deniability of state action and even then, what do they care about public image.
The single most likely scenario is simply a plain old aircraft mechnical failure in an engine leading to a crash.
This in my mind is undoubtedly what will be concluded by the Russian government. You may think they’re lying, verily well, but that is nonetheless what the official stance shall be.
In the slim chance it was a bomb strike, Russia shall of course pin the blame on the SBU, and the SBU may even take credit for the act even if they did not partake in it.
Is there a message from the Russian state in this? Unlikely
A message from the Ukrainian state? Also unlikely – Prigozhin was off the map. If they could have killed him so easily, he’d have been dead before having been shunted to Africa.
Conclusion, again, with purported video and data from Flight Tracker 24, ultimately implies an organic failure of the aircraft and nothing more sinister.
~ГГ
⚡️Could this be a hint that the plane crashed due to a mechanical fault rather than a deliberate attack?
One thing is for sure – the Russian Ministry of Defence DID NOT shoot down Prigozhin’s plane as reported by some sources earlier today.
Military correspondent Alexander Sladkov states (https://t.me/nash_prezident_putin/132210):
According to these data, after the device was triggered, the wing came off. It hit the stabilizer, because of which the plane first began to gain altitude and then went into a tailspin. From the explosive depressurization, everyone on board including the pilots, immediately lost consciousness.
In any case, amid of other moments such as the unusual maneuvers (https://t.me/rybar/51084) of the jet before the crash and the absence (https://t.me/rybar/51074) of large traces of striking elements, the number of versions of the disaster will multiply and some will be considered quite seriously. Тhis will definitely become an occasion for a variety of speculations and hypotheses.
At the same time, there are no official reports on the reasons for the fall of Prigozhin’s board.
#rybar (https://t.me/rybar_in_english/5745)
About the landing of Ukrainian DRGs on Tarkhankut
At night, from two to four high-speed boats landed in the Olenevka area on Cape Tarkhankut, conducted demonstrative firing from a grenade launcher at the camera and departed back, from where they went to Burlacha Balka, – Rybar reports, – The coastal line of the cape is almost on the same level with the sea, which makes its ideal for the approach of small-sized boats … The fact that Ukrainian formations are planning operations in the Crimea is already a fact.
ukraina_ru
The Russian Ministry of Defense has claimed that the raid by Ukrainian Special Forces last night on a beach resort in northwestern Crimea resulted in the death of 15-20 Ukrainian soldiers, after a security guard in his underwear was able to pin down the soldiers near the beach until a Russian rapid-response force arrived.
The definition of “hold my beer”…
CultureWarRoom
“What does the frequent occurrence of Ukrainian air raids signify?”
In my view, Russia’s Ukrainian air attacks lack a military purpose; instead, they serve as a foundation for the information campaign conducted by Vladimir Zelensky’s team within Ukraine.
Broadly speaking, the recent actions of the Kiev authorities amount to public relations efforts preparing for significant internal decisions. Consider the replacement of old military commissars with new ones; will the new individuals be any better? Not even a fraction of an improvement.
Regarding the drone and UAV raids on Russian cities, do they contribute to our military capabilities or image, or are they merely part of an informational backdrop? Clearly, they do not cause any substantial damage to either. These actions are tailored for domestic consumption within Ukraine (“I’m strong, I’m also defeating them!”).
Furthermore, the recently enacted law prohibiting the discussion of Ukrainian territories during negotiations is also a message aimed at a segment of the Ukrainian electorate that remains “confident in an eventual victory over Russia”.
It is highly probable that Western powers will attempt to stall our defense efforts and provide Volodymyr Zelensky with an opportunity for re-election. Our objectives have been clear for a while: the denazification and demilitarization of Ukraine, ideally under our continuous preemptive supervision.
Our source in the OP said that Zaluzhny is ignoring the demands of the West to send all reserves to the Zaporozhye direction in order to save forces for a possible offensive by Russian troops. At the headquarters, the demands of the Biden Administration were discussed, but the Commander-in-Chief refuses to implement them, which does not please the President’s Office, which is trying to maneuver between the West and the military.
“This tactic requires a very, very large number of troops: the attackers usually outnumber the defenders by three to six times,” he told RIA Novosti.
However, out of a dozen such battles during the First World War, two were victorious, and “the price paid for this was very high.”
rian_ru
The Wall Street Journal writes about a change in the strategy of the General Staff, which is now saving equipment and letting the infantry go forward, our source reported this back in mid-July.
“According to the servicemen, over the past months, Kiev has changed its tactics: the infantry began to break through the minefields on foot, and the tanks support them from behind.”
Fighting in Ukraine is now on the wane, and on terms that are increasingly favorable to Moscow.
The shortage of soldiers that Kiev is facing could be fatal.
The latest recruitment slogan: “It’s okay to be afraid” didn’t work, people are still trying to evade the call to fight on the front lines.
Time is also not on the side of the Armed Forces of Ukraine – the growing losses and the upcoming autumn rains will destroy the combat capability of the Ukrainian army.
The Russian army is planning an autumn offensive in the SMO zone
The commander of the Akhmat detachment, Apti Alaudinov, said that the Russian Armed Forces were planning a large-scale offensive in Ukraine.
“At the moment, our task is to maximally “blur” the equipment and manpower of the enemy and destroy it. And then there will be other results. Already our counteroffensive, ” said the unit commander.
Also, the acting head of the Zaporozhye region, Yevgeny Balitsky, after a recent meeting with Vladimir Putin, announced ” a lot of interesting things ” on the front line in the SMO zone in the fall. According to him, the Russian president confirmed his thesis that ” we have not started anything yet .”
Orekhovsky area situation as of 18.00 August 24, 2023
🔻In Rabotino , the assault groups of the 82nd Airborne Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine entrenched themselves in its northern part and continue the assault, continuously inflicting artillery strikes on the units of the RF Armed Forces. The situation there is still difficult.
At the moment, the fighting has already shifted to the southern outskirts of the settlement, which, after three months of clashes, repeated the fate of other villages and almost completely turned into ruins.
▪️At the same time, Ukrainian formations continue their onslaught on Russian positions east of Rabotino. Judging by the scale of the artillery preparation, the enemy will soon try to storm and break through to Verbovoye in order to create a threat from the rear to the forces of the RF Armed Forces in Novopokrovka and Novokarlovka .
▪️In Pyatikhatki, the tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine remain the same as two months ago: the enemy is trying to enter with reconnaissance groups and gain a foothold in an abandoned settlement. Soldiers of the RF Armed Forces detect activity and strike at enemy manpower.
▪️According to the Archangel of the Spetsnaz, Russian servicemen managed to burn another two American M2A2 ODS Bradley infantry fighting vehicles from anti-tank missile systems.
There are some improvements in the Rabotino-Verbovoye section.
After several attempts to break through to the center and southern part of the village, the Armed Forces of Ukraine were forced to roll back beyond the northern border and start regrouping. The density of Russian artillery fire was increased, which led to a significant increase in losses in the advancing units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The situation in the 82nd Airborne Brigade is very difficult – heavy losses in engineering equipment, armored personnel carriers, and infantry fighting vehicles, mine clearance, and medical evacuation are difficult, which is why the seriously wounded quickly turn into dead.
The unit is not yet on the verge of being recalled for resupplying but suffers heavy losses even at night when the Armed Forces of Ukraine are regrouping. In general, the situation with the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is developing negatively – a brigade from the Marun tactical group is acting head-on and making the same mistakes that were previously noticed by the command of the 47th Motorized Brigade “Magura”.
To destroy the reserves of the 82nd Airborne Brigade, closer to the Rabotino-Verbove area, the “search” crew of the 2S7 “Pion” gun, was moved. The video shows the work of artillerymen of the RF Armed Forces on the positions of the 82nd Airborne Brigade at night.
milchronicles
The enemy is trying to capture Rabotino
Report from the Acting Governor of the Zaporozhye region E. Balitsky
In the Zaporozhye direction, the enemy continues to concentrate its main efforts on replenishing losses, is regrouping near Rabotino, and is focusing on attempts to capture the settlement.
Based on the pace of their so-called counteroffensive, the Rabotino line of defense against the enemy will be the final one, since all units from combat-ready groups and the vaunted Marun group have already been practically destroyed and have suffered heavy losses both in personnel and in Western equipment.
Before lunch, there were at least 8 arrivals of the UFAB 500 at the dispositions of the enemy forces, according to Front Bird
VKS helped us a lot.
Our artillery is also on the alert. We work immediately after revealing the forces of the AFU.
Zaporozhye direction, Orekhov section. It is already clear that the enemy is preparing a powerful attempt to break through the front in the area of Rabotino settlement. There are reports that at this moment a significant amount of Western-made manpower and equipment is concentrated to the north of the settlement in the area of Orekhov.
Today, throughout the day, our aviation has been practicing UFABs (500,250) on concentrations and fortifications to the north of Rabotino. Artillery is working almost non-stop.
In the near future, there will be a large-scale battle in this section of the front that will go down in the history of modern Russia. Let’s hope and believe that we will endure and then deliver our decisive blow!
Everything is ready!!! Let’s work, brothers!!!
rezervsvo
83 units of heavy equipment are attacking our positions!
This is it!
Удачи, бойцы, всем увидеть рассвет! Good luck, fighters, see the dawn for everyone!
rogozin_do
This morning, 8 militants on 2 boats tried to land between Gola Pristan and Kardashinka on the left bank of the Dnieper.
They were immediately
recorded by our intelligence. The artillery reacted immediately – one boat was sunk in the middle of the river, and the second was allowed closer – and also sunk.
Five militants drowned in the river, and 3 more corpses swam to our shore.
Judging by the equipment, these were Ukrainian “special operations forces”.
Soledar direction situation as of 12.00 24 August 2023
In the vicinity of Bakhmut, the situation has relatively stabilized. After several unsuccessful attempts, the Armed Forces of Ukraine again switched to resupplying units and preparing for new attacks.
🔻A large number of killed and wounded in the assault formations forced the Armed Forces of Ukraine to adjust their plans. Only 28 % of combat-ready personnel remained in the 2nd battalion of the 3rd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and less than half of the regular equipment.
Now, in the area of Konstantinovka and Belaya Gora , active training and coordination of assault detachments of 92 Ombre, 57 Ombr and 24 Aidar Battalions of 5 Osh Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which are planned to be used on the southern flank of Bakhmut by the second wave, are underway.
🔻In the first echelon, 14 assault groups of the Lyut national police brigade are now preparing for an attack. Eight of them intend to storm Hill 195.4 near Kleshcheevka in order to force the Russian troops to retreat from the village.
And the rest are planning to move along the railway tracks in the direction of Andreevka and Kurdyumovka to block the approaches to the Kurdyumovsky triangle .
🔻At the same time, in the north, in the vicinity of Seversk , there is also a concentration of six enemy assault groups, which indicates a possible activation from Razdolovka . The 10th brigade and 54th brigade have been intensively preparing reserves for the attack in recent weeks, so a time-synchronous attack from several sides is quite possible.
Evgeny Lisitsyn, military commissar, editor-in-chief of the ZOV TV news agency, from the Kupyansk direction:
The enemy tried to counterattack from the flanks on Sinkovka. All their attempts were thwarted. Meanwhile, our guys continue to advance and occupy the fortified areas. Every day we move about 400-500 meters. Now the main task is to reach the Oskol River to minimize the transfer of provisions and ammunition to the enemy.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine, fleeing from different directions, mine their positions and trenches and do not take their 200s. The entire Kupyansky front is littered with their corpses.
The command does not react, they abandon their people, finish off the wounded, not being able to evacuate them, and go into forest plantations.
Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (24 August 2023)
▫️Last night, the Russian Armed Forces have launched a long-range sea- and ground-based high-precision group strike against a decision-making centres of the AFU.
▫️The goal of the attack has been reached. The facility has been neutralised.
▫️In Kupyansk direction, Zapad Group of Forces continued successful offensive operations in the assigned areas of responsibility.
▫️As a result, 5 enemy attacks have been repelled close to Novosyolovskoye, Novoegorovka LPR and Sinkovka (Kharkov).
▫️The enemy losses were up to 50 servicemen, 2 IFVs, 3 pickup trucks, and 3 M777 artillery systems.
▫️In Zaporozhye direction, the Russian grouping of troops have repelled, 5 enemy attacks near Rabotino and Uspenovka (Zaporozhye).
▫️The enemy losses were up to 110 servicemen, 4 tanks, 3 AFVs, 4 motor vehicles, 1 Krab self-propelled artillery system, and 4 M777 artillery systems.
▫️In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Group of Forces repelled 6 attacks by the AFU close to Severnoye, Berestovoye and Nevelskoye DPR.
▫️The enemy losses were up to 125 servicemen, 1 tank, 4 IFVs, 4 motor vehicles, and 1 Msta-B howitzer.
▫️1 ammunition depot has been destroyed near Verkhnekamenskoye DPR.
▫️In South Donetsk direction, Vostok Group of Forces, have repelled 1 enemy attack near Priyutnoye (Zaporozhye).
▫️Units of 37th and 38th brigades of the AFU Marines have been eliminated close to Urozhaynoye and Oktyabr state farm DPR.
▫️The enemy losses were up to 230 servicemen, 2 APCs, 3 motor vehicles, as well as 2 Gvozdika self-propelled artillery systems.
▫️In Krasny Liman direction, Tsentr Group of Forces repelled 3 enemy attacks near Grigorovka, Torskoye DPR and Chervonaya Dibrova LPR.
▫️The enemy losses were up to 80 servicemen, 3 AFVs, and 2 pickup trucks.
▫️In Kherson direction, the enemy losses were up to 30 servicemen, 2 motor vehicles, as well as Msta-B and D-30 howitzers.
▫️The actions of 1 SRG have been suppressed.
▫️Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised manpower and military hardware in 153 areas.
▫️1 control point, one radar station, and two launchers of the S-300PS anti-aircraft missile system have been destroyed near Zeleny Gai (Nikolayev).
▫️4 enemy ammunition depots have been also destroyed near Lvovo (Kherson), Mikhailovka (Kharkov), Iskra (Dnepropetrovsk region), and Krasnogorovka DPR.
▫️Air defence facilities have shot down 4 projectiles launched by HIMARS MLRS.
▫️In addition, 42 UAVs have been destroyed close to Kudryashovka, Lisichansk, Shishkovo LPR, Gorlovka, Nikolskoye, Artyomovsk, Berestovoye, Klyuchevoye DPR, Pologi, Tokmak (Zaporozhye), Dobropolye (Kherson), and Tavolzhanka (Kharkov).
Chronicle of the special military operation for August 24, 2023
In recent days, there has been increased enemy activity in the west of the Crimean peninsula . Several high-speed boats landed in the Olenevka area on Cape Tarkhankut , staged demonstrative shooting and hurriedly retreated.
Information continues to come in about the crash of Yevgeny Prigozhin’s plane. The investigation is working on several versions of what happened. In addition, a list of 10 passengers and crew members who were on the plane was published, however, at the moment, it is difficult to identify the bodies. Fakes and conjectures continue to multiply on the network, due to the recent conflict between Prigozhin and Shoigu . The Russians are also worried about the future of Wagner PMC and its projects.
In the Soledar direction , after several unsuccessful attempts to take advantageous positions in the vicinity of Bakhmut , the Armed Forces of Ukraine switched to positional tactics in order to understaff the units. At the same time, there is an increased concentration of assault groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Seversk region. There is a possibility of a simultaneous offensive by Ukrainian units from several sides.
In the Zaporizhia direction, the difficult situation continues in the Rabotino area. The fighting has already moved to the southern outskirts of the settlement, from which only ruins remain. To the east of Rabotino, the enemy is trying to break through to Verbovoe . The tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of Pyatikhatki do not change, where Ukrainian formations, like two months ago, are trying to gain a foothold in the village in small groups.
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🔹In #Kherson Direction, an AFU group was destroyed while attempting to cross the #Dnieper between Golaya Pristan and #Kardashinka. Otherwise no changes.
🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction, heavy fights continue in #Rabotino. The central is grey zone. We operate with artillery and aviation. At least 8 FAB strikes were made against AFU clusters. They respond with a flurry of fire, including cluster ammo. The AFU have no advantage, but shocking losses in equipment and men. (Note: Fights for the southern parts are reported)
🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, the AFU has regrouped, got a foothold in #Urozhaynoye, conduct combat recon and increase attacks towards Zavetnoye Zhelaniye. Ours respond with artillery strikes and clear by fire the landings around #Urozhaynoye, where they shelter reserves. East of the village, AFU units prepared for an attack on #Kermenchik and #Staromlynovka were detected and hit. Near #Priyutnoye an AFU infantry attack with 2 tanks, was repulsed. At #Nikolskoye our troops hit their reserves.
🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, the AFU advanced near #Kleshcheyevka and took our forward positions west of the village. #Kleshcheyevka itself remains under our control, but the AFU will obviously attack again. They prepare reserves at Belaya Gora and #Konstantinovka, which are hit daily by Aerospace Forces’ missiles.
🔹In #Krasnolimansk Direction, the AFU counterattacked near #Torskoye, #Grigorovka and #Dibrova. Ours prevent them from regaining their lost positions.
🔹In #Kupyansk direction, the Russian army took over several more positions, pushing the AFU back. There are fights for #Sinkovka, with ongoing shootings along the #Gnilushka River, which cross the village. Ours fight near #Petropavlovka, which remains under AFU control. The Russian artillery hit the area of the Sugar Mill, which in fact is a huge fortified area in the suburbs of #Kupyansk.
Oleg Tsarov
Map of hostilities and the situation on the fronts in the evening of August 24
👠The Armed Forces of Ukraine have been terrorizing Donetsk with cluster munitions all day. They begin to work in residential areas with cannon artillery, and after the arrival of emergency services, they cover them with “cassettes”. So in the Petrovsky district, a woman died , and the house burned down. In addition, the dental building of the Central City Hospital was damaged. In addition, the militants fired at the territory of the Vishnevsky maternity hospital, where at the time of arrival there were premature babies who are already enemies for 404.
⚔️The situation on the fronts for the past day:
⚫️ Svatovo-Kremennoe direction
Fierce fighting continues near Sinkovka and Petropavlovka . Artillery is actively working on targets in Kupyansk . Meanwhile, the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to counterattack near Torskoy and Dibrova , but were met with fire from the Russian army.
⚫️Donetsk direction
The Russian army attacked enemy positions south of Avdiivka. In Marinka, fighting continues for the western outskirts.
⚫️ Zaporozhye direction
For Rabotino , located in the gray zone, fighting continues , as in Novoprokopovka . On the Vremevsky ledge, our fighters do not allow the militants to gain a foothold around Urozhaynoye . Also, the attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Priyutnoye were repelled.
⚡️The Russian army paid a visit to Dnepropetrovsk. Our missiles worked out at a logistics facility in the city, most likely at a railway station.
Freedom denied for WSJ reporter held in Russia
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2023/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_24.html
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