Ukraine Dumped By U.S.-Led West? Zelensky Scrambles To Retain Financial Support Against Russia
Russian Breakthrough Military Coup in Ukraine
▪️ Five UAVs were shot down in the sky over the Moscow region: air defense shot down targets in the area of Naro – Fominsk, Podolsk, as well as in the Ramensky and Odintsovo urban districts. There is damage to infrastructure, but no injuries reported.
▪️ In the Kaluga region, targets were intercepted in the Dzerzhinsky and Zhukovsky districts, there were no injuries or damage.
▪️ In Tula, one of the drones crashed into a residential high-rise building: a man received shrapnel wounds and has now been taken to the hospital. The second UAV was shot down near the 1st South-Eastern residential complex ; the area is currently cordoned off. Another one was shot down by air defense crews in the sky over the region, and according to some reports, another one was suppressed by electronic warfare and fell within the city limits.
▪️ In the Smolensk region, on approach to the regional capital, one UAV of the AFU was suppressed, there were no casualties.
▪️ In the Bryansk region, four drones were shot down on approach to the city and another one in the sky over the Karachevsky district: according to the authorities, there were no casualties or destruction.
Our source in the General Staff said that Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers began to more often leave positions near Avdiivka and retreat to other positions, due to problems with supplies and low morale. The industrial zone in Avdievka was given away without a serious assault on the enemy, the units simply left positions that had been preparing since 2014 and retreated to the city.
Zaluzhny immediately warned Zelensky about such a scenario, but headquarters decided to hold Avdiivka and throw reserves into the firebox, as was the case at Bakhmut. Now the city’s supply passes along one road, which is constantly under fire, and the soldiers do not understand why they are being thrown to certain death for the sake of political decisions.
Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny does not have a war plan for 2024 and if he does not provide one, he will have to resign, said the deputy head of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security and Defense, People’s Deputy from the Servant of the People Maryana Bezuglaya, referring to a “non-public discussion” with the military.
“Yes, the Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was unable to provide a plan for 2024.
Neither big nor small, neither asymmetrical nor symmetrical. The military simply said that they needed to take away at least 20 thousand citizens a month,” she writes.
According to her, “this problem grew over the summer, both at Headquarters and in parliament when planning the budget for 2024.”
“This discussion was non-public, but the tension was growing and now the situation is such that if the military leadership cannot present any idea for 2024, and all their proposals for mobilization boil down to the fact that more people are needed without the slightest proposal for changes to the Armed Forces of Ukraine system, then such leadership must leave,” the people’s deputy writes.
Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President conducted a closed sociology on the issue of the conflict between Zelensky and Zaluzhny, the majority of Ukrainians, 57%, supported the Commander-in-Chief and only 22% of the President, and 21% abstained. The issue of Zalkzhny’s resignation is not supported by 89% of Ukrainians and only 5% are in favor.
If Russia continues to increase weapons production, obtain them from its allies, and improve technology, the war in Ukraine could once again expand beyond the East and South. We are preparing for this. We are building defensive structures, laying mines and training our forces ,” Naev.
Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President is insisting on a new counter-offensive, which the military opposes. Zelensky wants to regain the support of the West and is ready to carry out a total mobilization of youth, but at the same time he wants victories from Zaluzhny, not a defensive strategy.
Statements by the people’s deputy from the “Servant of the People” Maryana Bezugla calling for the resignation of the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny caused a flurry of criticism of the authorities on social networks,
A well-known activist close to Western structures, founder of the StateWatch organization Alexander Lemenov, threatened the Ukrainian authorities with a military coup.
“What can be said about this style of communication? I don’t have enough words to describe… They will finish the game. We will lose more territories. But not all, far from all. And in Kiev the government will really change, but not to Russian, but to military.
However, I am categorically against this style of discussion. Some people forget who holds the front. Not people’s deputies, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine,” Lemenov wrote, commenting on Bezugla’s post.
The technologists of the Office of the President have long lost touch with reality; in the Zelensky-Zaluzhny conflict, the Ukrainians are on the side of the Commander-in-Chief, it’s not even worth talking about the military.
The Servants of the People now have only one chance to stop the scandal – to kick the fool out of the Rada.
Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President did not expect such a reaction in society to the statement of People’s Deputy Bezugla about Zaluzhny’s resignation. An urgent meeting is being held at Bankova on how to stop the scandal, the working option is the personal opinion of the people’s deputy, and the radical exclusion of her from the faction.
Colleagues, let us add your insight by saying that this was unexpected for the Office of the President and General Syrsky. Order to retreat or relocate
the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers who held the “promka” in Avdiivka did not. This is purely their personal decision.
That is why Bankovaya and Syrsky sent new forces to recapture the industrial zone, but there was no success. The Russians repulsed the attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and began to gain a foothold in new positions.
Sad news comes from the Avdeevsky front, where the stranglehold abandoned by the Russians is slowly but tightening. Also, due to losses, shortage of ammo, heavy armor and artillery, the morale of the soldiers drops.
Previously, our fighters took control of (https://t.me/Slavyangrad/75633) the Avdeevka industrial zone, which had been under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces since 2014. Today, the Russian Armed Forces continue their offensive in the Avdeevka area.
Our military advanced north of Krasnogorovka, in the area of the Yasinovataya-2 railway station, from Kamenka, in the area of the Avdeevsky coke plant, in the area of Stepovoye and Novokalinovo.
This is a small part of the city’s industrial complex with an area of 0.3 square Km. It is located just west of the Yasinovatskaya junction, 6.5 km northwest of Donetsk. Since 2014, this industrial zone, like many fortifications in the area, has been filled with concrete, deepened, compacted, and constantly rebuilt. Leaving this area means severe damage to the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defensive line in this area.
This area is important from a tactical point of view – the industrial zone is at a height. Having lost it, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to retreat to previously prepared positions in the same fortified area. Some of these positions are located behind the Baev Cemetery, at a less advantageous but still altitude. Now, Ukrainian troops have to be driven out of there. However, if this section is also lost, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will find themselves in a lowland. They will be forced to retreat, so there are serious reasons to believe that the Armed Forces of Ukraine may begin to fortify along the borders of residential areas of the city within the village of Khimik and the private sector.
Taking the industrial zone next to the Vinogradniki holiday village does not mean or guarantee quick entry into Avdeevka. It only means that the Ukrainian Armed Forces suffered significant losses in this area and were forced to abandon their positions.
From the Yasinovatsky industrial zone in the southeast to the end of Avdeevka in the northwest, including coke, it is almost 10 km in a straight line. In Artyomovsk, the attacking infantry of the “orchestra” traveled the same distance from east to west. Now, the situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdeevka is much worse than it was in Artyomovsk, but there is no reason to believe that the resistance will stop instantly. There is a lot of work ahead.
Shortly, the Russian Armed Forces will continue to clear the territory of the gardening partnership in the neighborhood to consolidate control over the territory. Then, they will have several options for further advancement:
1) Forest area to the north. Advancement in this direction will allow us to reach the rear of the Donetsk filtration station and finally establish control over the facility, as well as take positions for a further attack on the city.
2) Flank attack on the “Royal Hunt”; promotion in the surrounding forest plantations. It is noteworthy that both the industrial zone and this position lie at heights that dominate Avdeevka.
3) Attacks directly on low-rise dacha developments in the city; direct “pushing through” the defense, implementation of the “small cauldron” tactics.
Thus, the situation in the future may develop according to several scenarios, depending on the plans of the command of the Russian Armed Forces in the sector. Very soon, we will find out exactly how.
And as of now, it is worth noting that the capture of the industrial zone allowed the Russian Armed Forces to firmly gain a foothold on the southeastern outskirts of Avdeevka and create a springboard for further offensive actions.
After yesterday’s publication about the advance of the Russian Armed Forces in Avdeevka, many questions arose regarding the current and future tactics of the Russian and Ukrainian armies in this area. We will try to answer.
➦ Question: why is Avdeevka being stormed head-on? Answer: There is no question of any frontal assault. The southeastern entrance to the industrial zone from the Yasinovatskaya interchange. It’s not a frontal attack but a competent occupation of an advantageous height, from which it will be more convenient to reach the next frontiers. Before the assault groups move forward, the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ positions are cleared by artillery and aviation. In Avdeevka, a huge amount of ammunition is flying at the enemy, due to which there are fewer shooting battles.
➦ Question: why storm Avdeevka at all? Wouldn’t it be easier to surround her? Answer: The Ukrainian Armed Forces regularly shell Donetsk from Avdeevka and other areas around it. To stop this, a significant area must be cleared, and this cannot be done quickly and in one go. This is meticulous, hard combat work, which will be completed only after the liberation of at least a 25-kilometer zone around Donetsk, including neighboring Karlovka, Ocheretino, Marinka, Kurakhovo, and other settlements. This takes time, but the work is underway. After clearing this zone, not only the Avdeevka garrison risks being surrounded, but also other units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which are currently located in the near rear west of Avdeevka.
➦ Question: why enter Avdeevka when there are air bombs and missiles? Answer: not everything in war is decided by air bombs. These weapons, of course, help the Russian Armed Forces to drive Ukrainian troops out of Avdeevka. Still, without assault operations and ground operations, it is impossible to achieve complete control over the territory. The alternative to ground operations is an all-out bombing of everything and everyone in the style of the US Army, but this contradicts the approach of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine.
➦ Question: what will the Ukrainian Armed Forces do now? Answer: there is no coordinated retreat yet; Ukrainian troops will most likely cling to the remains of Avdeevka and positions at the coking plant, so it is too early to talk about clearing the entire city.
Unconfirmed reports are coming in that 150 Ukrainian soldiers have surrendered in the south of Avdeevka. If true, this would be one of the largest contingents of Ukrainian to surrender since the early days of the SMO.
This comes in the wake of videos posted by the Ukrainian 53rd and 110th Brigades decision to leave Avdeevka if more support is not sent. Video has also been published of 15 POWs taken in that same area:
Industrial area of Avdeevka for the morning today. Something like this below us. Over the weekend, with such dynamics, we will squeeze it completely.
Early in the morning, about 150 opponents, officers and soldiers, surrendered.
The massacre at Rabotino and Verbovoy: the landing and infantry of the Southern Military District launched counterattacks, capturing oporniks, destroying and capturing dozens of Ukrainian Armed Forces militants
▪️On the Zaporozhye front, our units conducted a series of powerful counterattacks on the Kopani-Rabotino-Novoprokopovka-Verbovoe line, seizing the initiative from the enemy.
▪️At Verbovoy, the landing force, supported by artillery, attacked the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, capturing the strongholds, destroying about 40 militants and capturing an enemy unit.
▪️Between Rabotino and Kopani, motorized riflemen of the Southern Military District also defeated several units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, destroying and capturing militants.
▪️At Novoprokopovka , our troops also attacked the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were tactical successes, the enemy suffered losses.
▪️After this, heavy rain interrupted active hostilities, artillery is working.
The fighting has intensified again. AFU is trying to climb in and expand their “bridgehead,” but they are not having much success, and there is very little progress. The enemy’s electronic warfare is completely destroyed, and there is almost no communication in the settlement. There are losses on both sides.
The boys report that yesterday they took 2 more captives, 1 of whom turned out to be a drug addict (this is not a joke).
The weather makes movement difficult on both sides. There was almost nothing left of the settlement itself, dilapidated houses and basements.
There was practically no evacuation for the AFU; most of the temporary evacuation points in the settlement and nearby were destroyed by aviation and artillery.
Heavy losses for AFU.
THIS IS NOT OKAY RUSSIA~!!! Avdiivka is feeling very uncomfortable right now! – Ukraine SITREP D640
Wagner STORMZ & Conquer Industrial Area South of Avdiivka
Ukrainians Evacuate from Krynky [26 November 2023]
The RF Armed Forces continue the special military operation.
▫️In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Grouping repelled 4 assaulr squad attacks of the 57th Motorised Infantry and 43th Mechanised Brigades near Sinkovka and Ivanovka (Kharkov reg).
Russian units inflicted losses on troops and hardware of the 14th Mechanised, 101st, 103rd, and 105th Territorial Defence Brigades near Ivanovka, Kislovka, and Kotlyarovka (Kharkov reg).
The AFU lost up to 20 troops and 2 pickup trucks.
Counterbattery warfare hit 1 US M777 howitzer and 1 Gvozdika SAU.
▫️In Krasny Liman direction, units of the Tsentr Grouping repelled 1 assault squad attack of the 12th Special Operations Brigade near Serebryanskoye forestry.
Strikes were launched at troops and hardware of the 67th Mechanised and 125th Territorial Defence Brigades near Serebryanka, Grigorovka, and Yampolovka (DPR).
The AFU lost up to 60 troops and 2 MVs.
▫️In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Grouping repelled 3 assault squad attacks of the 24th Mechanised and 79th Airborne Brigades close to Leninskoye, Shumy, and Maryinka (DPR).
Strikes were launched at troops and hardware of the 5th and 80th Assault, 28th, 30th, 42nd, and 93rd Mechanised Brigades close to Artyomovkoye, Kleshcheyevka, Bogdanovka, Kurdyumovka, and Andreyevka (DPR).
The AFU lost up to 200 troops, 1 tank, and 6 MVs.
Counterbattery warfare neutralised 1 Polish Krab SAU, 2 Akatsiya howitzers, 1 Msta-B howitzer, 1 D-20 howitzer, 1 Gvozdika SAU, 1 D-30, and 1 US M119 howitzer.
▫️In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Grouping repelled 1 assault squad attack of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade near Shevchenko (DPR) and improved the tactical situation along the frontlines.
The RF Armed Forces inflicted losses on troops and hardware of the 127th Territorial Defence Brigade near Priyutnoye (Zaporozhye reg).
The enemy lost up to 80 troops and 3 MVs.
▫️In Zaporozhye direction, units of the Russian Grouping struck troops of the 33th Mechanised Brigade near Rabotino (Zaporozhye reg).
The AFU lost up to 35 troops, 1 tank, and 2 MVs.
▫️In Kherson direction, units of the Russian Grouping inflicted losses on troops and hardware of the 35th Marines Brigade near Tyaginka (Kherson reg).
The enemy lost up to 55 troops and 4 MVs.
Counterbattery warfare neutralised 1 Msta-B howitzer, 1 EW station, and 1 US M109 Paladin SAU.
▫️Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, UAVs, Missile Troops, and Artillery of the Russian Grouping wiped out AFU aviation fuel depots in Poltava region, 1 aviation ammo depot in Cherkassy region, and engaged troops and hardware in 128 areas.
Air defences intercepted 2 Su-27 aircraft near Novoraysk and Velikaya Aleksandrovka (Kherson reg), and one MiG-29 close to Pyatikhatki (Dnepropetrovsk reg).
17 HIMARS MLRS projectiles have been intercepted.
53 UAVs were shot down near Nyrkovo, Zolotaryovka, Konoplyanovka (LPR), Gorlovka, Lipovoye (DPR), Tavolzhanka (Kharkov reg), and Sagi (Kherson reg).
ðŸ“Š In total, 542 aircraft, 255 helicopters, 9,236 UAVs, 442 air defence systems, 13,629 tanks and other AFVs, 1,185 MLRS vehicles, 7,187 guns and mortars, as well as 15,642 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the SMO.
ðŸ’¬ The peculiarity of the Ukrainian conflict is that the initial calculations were wrong. Both sides hoped that as a result of their actions the enemy would surrender. They hoped that they would not have to fight until the forces of the opposing side were completely destroyed.
ðŸ”¹ The original purpose of the SMO was to force the Ukrainian elites to accept certain rules and conditions, as a result of which #Ukraine would become a neutral or #Russia-friendly country.
ðŸ”¹ I remain of the opinion that if the Russian army had entered #Kiev or at least surrounded the capital of #Ukraine, the elites of at least the southeastern part of #Ukraine would have started to put Russian flags on their houses. And so it would have been.
ðŸ”¹ The task of taking total control of all or most of #Ukraine was not in view. When the Red Army moved across #Europe, a red flag was hung in every occupied settlement, a commandant’s office was organised, and Soviet power was established. If you remember, there were no commandant’s offices near #Kiev. And there was no military-civil administration either. There was no such task. And it was impossible to organise all this with the small forces that took part in the special operation. It would have been necessary to leave at least some number of servicemen in each, even the smallest, settlement.
ðŸ”¹ The goal of #Ukraine’s military actions is also not to achieve a military victory over #Russia. This is in principle impossible. The purpose of #Ukraine’s actions is to force #Russia to cease hostilities by signing agreements disadvantageous to #Russia. Russia, according to Kiev, would have to do this because of a whole list of destabilising factors: undermining the economy with sanctions, undermining authority and trust in the government because of failures at the front, mobilisations and funerals from the front.
ðŸ”¹ Obviously, #Ukraine’s plan has not worked. The rating of the authorities in #Russia is high. Sanctions are not working. #Russia is not going to capitulate. Even if we imagine the improbable scenario that the AFU entered #Crimea, #Russia will not surrender. Even if you imagine the absolutely fantastic scenario that the AFU reached #Moscow, will #Russia surrender? No, of course not. Unless then it will finally start fighting for real.
ðŸ”¹ And note that despite the fact that the original blitzkrieg plan did not work, now #Russia is slowly but surely pushing through the achievement of its original goals: putting pressure on Kiev, so that under the threat of internal destabilisation, loss of more territory and the risk of losing power Zelensky agreed to Russia’s terms. And as we can see, Zelensky’s ratings inside the country and support outside are indeed falling.
ðŸ”¹Can #Russia’s approach change? Of course they can. They have already changed in many ways. Russian power is being established quite successfully in the new Russian territories. As a result of the advance of the RF Armed Forces, #Russia may take control of more territories than it occupies now. Unfortunately, this is not a simple and quick process.
ðŸ“Œ Today #Ukraine is not so weak to surrender. The Russian army is not strong enough to take control of the entire territory of #Ukraine right now. The expectation that the enemy will capitulate quickly has not been justified. Time must pass, conditions must mature. That is why there has been no clear progress in negotiations on a cessation of hostilities so far. Since the original plan was to induce the enemy to negotiate on their own terms, we will have to fight some more.
ðŸ”¹In #Kherson Direction, our forces from the west gradually forcing the AFU out of the central part of the #Krynki village. From the right bank the AFU artillery is methodically working on our few units, while the enemy has no opportunity to expand the zone of control. Or stable supply and replenishment is making it as difficult as possible. This night ours hit another AFU group on boats while trying to sneak along the #Konka River to #Krynki.
ðŸ”¹In #Zaporozhye Direction, episodic localised counter battles with no changes in the frontline. Movement of armoured vehicles is practically paralysed. The activity of artillery has decreased by multiples. Without aerial recon the accuracy is significantly reduced, we do not waste shells. Poor soldiers, mud, cold, water filled trenches and uniforms that don’t dry out.
ðŸ”¹In #Donetsk Direction, our army tries to launch localised attacks near #Novomikhaylovka, #Pervomayskoye and #Maryinka, unfortunately without any significant advancement so far. Our fighters have accomplished another military feat by taking full control of the territory of the #Avdeyevka industrial zone. Ukrainian channels reported that the AFU almost without a fight abandoned positions they had been building since 2014 and withdrew into the city.
▪️ The industrial zone on the southern outskirts was the most powerful AFU fortification, which has been one of the key points of confrontation between the AFU and the DPR Militia for nearly a decade. By liberating this territory, our military deprived the enemy of a heavily fortified and perfectly prepared defence line in the south, plus it is also located on a hill. Now, from the heights of the industrial zone, ours can more accurately adjust the work of artillery and exert more powerful and deliberate pressure in the direction of Tsarskaya Okhota and the former air defence base to the west. The capture of the industrial zone is a significant event, our guys did a great job.
▪️ Now our forces continue the clearing of ST Vinogradniki Station on the southern flank. The settlement is half encircled. On the northern flank our fighters are entrenched on the outskirts of #Stepovoye. The enemy is still repelling our new attacks at the Coke Plant. The work of our artillery and aviation continues.
ðŸ”¹In #Bakhmut Direction, near #Kleshcheyevka, our artillery is working very powerfully in conjunction with drone operators. Ours are hitting Ukrainian dugouts. On the ground, our forces have taken new positions, but the enemy still controls the key heights. In other areas around #Bakhmut no changes.
ðŸ”¹In the #Svatovo Direction, due to rain and thaw, equipment from both sides is hardly used, although the long awaited AFU Abrams tanks have been spotted. In the #Serebryanskoye forest, the AFU tried to conduct a recon battle, but after receiving a serious rebuff from ours, they withdrew. The AFU counterattacks near #Sinkovka were also unsuccessful. At #Torskoye, artillery duels and localised fighting are ongoing without any advances.
During the night, the enemy launched a massive drone attack on cities in the rear of Russia. In Bryansk, the air defense systems successfully shot down over 20 enemy targets. Similar attacks were also repelled in Smolensk, Moscow, Kaluga, and Tula regions. Unfortunately, in Tula, one resident sustained shrapnel wounds due to a drone explosion.
On the front line, there were no significant changes. On the southern flank, specifically in the Avdeevsky sector, the Russian Armed Forces have strengthened their defense line and are preparing for further offensive operations after gaining control of the Yasinovat industrial zone. The enemy attempted a counterattack but was unsuccessful.
In the Kherson direction, in the village of Krynki, the enemy continues to hold positions in the village center, despite facing opposition and attacks on their rear on the right bank of the Dnieper. Another attack by the AFU near Robotyne in the Orikhiv sector was also thwarted.
Additionally, for the first time since the start of the special operation, the AFU launched an attack on the Starobeshevskaya Thermal Power Plant at night, resulting in a significant portion of consumers in the Donetsk People’s Republic being disconnected from electricity. Restoration work is currently underway.
ðŸ‘ It became known that the industrial zone south of Avdeevka had completely come under the control of the Russian army. The main participants in the liberation of the “promka” were the “Veterans” assault brigade. Military correspondents report that it was they who took control of almost all the buildings that were fortified and had good visibility. But the breakthrough of Russian soldiers and the subsequent flight of the Ukrainian command put an end to the defense of the industrial area. The forgotten Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to resist, but nothing came of it.
⚔️The situation on the fronts over the past 24 hours:
In the Kupyansky sector, the Ukrainian Armed Forces unsuccessfully counterattacked in the Sinkovka area. There are battles at Torsky . In the Serebryansky Forest, the Russian army stopped enemy reconnaissance by force.
⚫️Bakhmutskoe (Artemovskoe) direction
In Kleshcheevka , our fighters managed to take new positions, but the battles for the heights do not stop. There is no change in Andreevka – the Russian army has entrenched itself in the area of the railway.
In the Avdeevsky sector, the Russian army consolidates its position at Stepnoye . Fighting continues in the area of the coke plant . The industrial zone is under our control, cleanup is underway. In addition, our fighters attacked in the areas of Pervomaisky and Novomikhailovka.
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