Poll Watch: Border Chaos Lifts Trump Above Biden In Key Swing States

BIDEN ON THE BORDER CRISIS: “I’ve done all I can do! Just give me the power! Give me the border patrol, give me the people, the judges. Give me the people who can stop this”

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— ALX ?? (@alx) January 30, 2024

? Donald Trump in Las Vegas: “Within moments of my inauguration, we will begin the largest domestic deportation operation in American history. We have no choice”

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— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) January 27, 2024

This is my view.

In 2016, I supported Trump for a bunch of reasons, but I mainly saw him as a bulldozer who would topple Conservatism, Inc. and “move the Overton Window” by mainstreaming a populist and nationalist agenda. In the long run, he ultimately succeeded in doing this.

From 2017 to 2020, I became blackpilled on Trump as he squandered his presidency pursuing things like the tax cuts and criminal justice reform and picking fights with allies like Jeff Sessions while endorsing people like Mitt Romney. He ran for reelection on the Platinum Plan. I sat out the election.

From 2021 to 2024, the Joe Biden presidency has been so awful – on the border and immigration, on civil liberties, on inflation and on foreign policy with Ukraine and Israel – that even the bumbling Trump era looks good by comparison. We can’t take another 6 to 8 million illegal aliens.

Therefore, it is better to have Trump back in 2025 and just tune out of politics and not get emotionally invested in it like the last time he was in power. If he spends his entire presidency flailing around settling old scores, it would still be better than another four years of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris.

Axios:

“Why it matters: The percentage of voters who said immigration was the “single most important issue” to them in November went up in six of the seven swing states polled in a new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey.

61% of those voters in those states say Biden is at least somewhat responsible for the wave of migration on the U.S.-Mexico border.

On the same question, 30% blamed the Trump administration and 38% blamed congressional Republicans.

Voters in those states say they trust Trump over Biden on immigration 52% to 30%. The 22 percentage point margin is up five points since the last poll in December.

Zoom in: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan are the seven states featured in the poll.

Asked how they would vote if the election were held today in a one-one-one matchup, Biden trails Trump by an average of 48%-42% across the seven states, which resembles other polls showing Biden lagging Trump in the key states. …”

New York Times:

“On President Biden’s first day in office, he paused nearly all deportations. He vowed to end the harsh practices of the Trump administration, show compassion toward those wishing to come to the United States and secure the southern border.

For Mr. Biden, it was a matter of principle. He wanted to show the world that the United States was a humane nation, while also demonstrating to his fellow citizens that government could work again.

But those early promises have largely been set aside as chaos engulfs the border and imperils Mr. Biden’s re-election hopes. The number of people crossing into the United States has reached record levels, more than double than in the Trump years. The asylum system is still all but broken. … ”

I don’t expect Trump to deliver on his campaign promises.

I do believe, however, that Joe Biden will exceed my worst expectations on immigration in a second term.