The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on January 15 2024

Vladimir Solovyov says we are in WWIII

Zelensky Meets with World Leaders at WEF in Davos to Talk ‘Peace Plan’ …Without Russia

Zelensky “will never” agree to freeze the war with Russia, said the head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak at the economic forum in Davos.

This is how he answered a question from a CNBS journalist. He said that Ukraine’s victory was “not obvious” and asked whether it was time to invite Russia to negotiations, given that US support was in crisis and the war in Ukraine could become frozen.

“This president, this team, we will never accept any frozen conflict. This is unacceptable for Ukrainian society,” said the head of the OP.

Western media confirm information from our sources that the meeting in Davos of national security advisers dedicated to Zelensky’s peace formula failed.

Bloomberg writes that all negotiations ended in Davos without a clear plan for further action.

•Swiss Foreign Minister Ignazio Cassis said the meeting clarified the issues that will be discussed at some stage, but neither Ukraine nor Russia are ready to make territorial concessions. Russia must be included in the peace process in Ukraine.
The leader-level meeting that Ukraine would like to hold has not yet been scheduled.
•Ukraine is seeking to use the annual meeting of political and business leaders in Davos to renew attention to its situation. Today Zelensky will arrive in the Swiss capital Bern, and on Tuesday in Davos. The President of Ukraine is expected to hold bilateral meetings and make speeches. Ukraine will also hold round tables with investors and company executives on post-war reconstruction and the use of frozen Russian assets.

Our source in the Ukrainian delegation to Davos said that there will be no global peace forum this year, and all countries of the global South refused to support Zelensky’s peace formula. For Ukraine, this means only one thing: further meetings in the format of national security advisers to world leaders are a meaningless track that will not produce results in the foreseeable future, but the Office of the President cannot declare this.

Russia should be involved in talks with Ukraine – Swiss Foreign Minister

“But we will not wait until Russia wants to talk. Thousands of peaceful Ukrainian lives are at stake. To create an alliance of states to push through a peace plan – that is the task,” Iñazio Cassis said at a briefing in Davos.

The West, it seems, is not in the mood to listen to another Zelensky’s whining. It would be much more effective to involve Russia in solving global problems. 

A meeting of national security advisers focused on Ukraine’s peace blueprint ended in Davos with no clear path forward ahead of the arrival of President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to the global gathering on Tuesday.

   Kiev had hoped the meeting, held before the official start of the World Economic Forum in the Swiss mountain town, would help build backing for its 10-point peace plan among countries from the Global South, many of which have been reluctant to support Kiev since Russia’s invasion almost two years ago.

  At a press conference, presidential aide Andriy Yermak said Ukraine wasn’t pressured by partners to discuss giving up territory to Russia, almost two years after the invasion. A return to 1991 borders remains Ukraine’s strategic goal, said Defense Secretary Rustem Umerov. That would include Crimea, the peninsula illegally annexed by Russia in 2014.

   The outreach comes as the approval of more than $100 billion in vital aid the war effort has stalled (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-19/ukraine-aid-delayed-as-us-congress-gives-up-on-deal-this-year) in Washington and Brussels, and after Ukraine’s months-long counteroffensive failed to deliver a battlefield breakthrough. Further distracting the global elite’s minds are the Israel-Hamas conflict and Iran-backed Houthi attacks in the Red Sea (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-13/us-launches-new-strike-in-yemen-against-houthi-radar-facility) that have upended global trade, not to mention the potential reelection of Donald Trump later this year.

   Amid multiplying global crises, Zelenskiy continues to portray Ukraine’s peace formula, first laid out in late 2022, as the basis for any talks with Russia.

   The US, meanwhile, wants Ukraine to sharpen its plan for fighting back against Russia’s invasion – a subject expected to be raised with Zelenskiy in Davos. Russia’s invasion of its neighbor, Europe’s biggest conflict since World War Two, will enter its third year on Feb. 24.

Peskov on the discussion of Zelensky’s “peace formula” in Davos: We have repeatedly given our assessment of this process here. In essence, this is talk for the sake of talk, a process that is not and cannot be aimed at achieving a concrete result for the obvious and simple reason that we are not involved. Without our participation, any discussion is possible, but lacks the prospect of any result.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President continues to work on the track of a vacuum of legitimacy, which will come after 03.31.24. Bankova is considering the scenario of creating a government of national unity in order to weaken the opposition in one step and prevent sabotage by the elites. In this way, the Office of the President will relieve Zelensky of some of the political responsibility for the impending social/economic, and most importantly, geopolitical crisis. Including the opposition in the government of national unity on Bankova will not give them real powers and functions, but political responsibility will be shared by everyone.

According to all our data, the bill on additional budget expenditures to support Kyiv will never be adopted in the United States.

There is no consensus on this topic in the US political community. Republicans are increasingly putting pressure on spending on Europe, which is also in no hurry to give money.

At the same time , the Head of the OP Ermak is trying to tell a “fairy tale” that Kiev will receive everything it expects. This is a sky-high $111 billion. We have been writing for a long time that the West will not give the money that Kiev is asking for in such a volume, and in the long run the Ukrainian economy is doomed to “death”, since it has been in a coma for the last year and a half.

In Switzerland, Zelensky will try to persuade European business and politicians to give them Russian assets, thereby finally burying the Eurozone “financially”, destroying their image.

We are watching. Without money, Kyiv is doomed – everyone understands this!

Regarding the downed planes, which everyone in Ukraine is already talking about and shouting about a mega victory.

The Kremlin has avoided answering and responsibility. Having said that there is no such information. But the Ministry of Defense will definitely answer.

We wait…
If the information from our Office of the President and all functionaries is not confirmed, then we are sure that in this way we shifted the focus of the masses’ attention away from the public.

We already know approximately what we could have covered. But we’ll wait. Perhaps everything coincided at one moment.

Information has been confirmed about the destruction of a batch of missiles for the Patriot air defense system during yesterday’s missile attack on western Ukraine.
The few remaining complete sets of Patriot installations will now not be put into operation for at least another month.

In addition, at two airfields of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, including at the Kolomyia airfield (UKLO), warehouses with Storm Shadow missiles were destroyed, which were transported there through Romania and mounted there on the SU-24m and MiG29 of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

condottieros

Our source reports that the Russians brought a lot of dummies of air defense and radar systems to the front.
They work competently. They are placed in a zone of 20-50 km from the LBS, and they are camouflaged beautifully. Then, near their positions, long-range artillery and OTRK, as well as mobile air defense systems of the BUK type, work several times so that Western satellites and reconnaissance aircraft fix the launch square and see stationary camouflaged positions, transferring them to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and they send missiles to this square and strike Hymers.

In general, the tactic of using dummies by both armies is now very common.
Brings very good profit.

The American reconnaissance UAV Global Hawk is today closely monitoring the Black Sea coast of Russia parallel to the Adler-Novorossiysk-Kerch line. Most of the flight is spent with the transponder turned off.

Such routes almost always lead to another attempt to strike Russian territory.

voenkorKotenok

WAR UPDATE: Russia CONTINUES Reversing Counteroffensive Gains; Ukraine’s Kharkiv Advances

Krynki Difficulties | Ukraine Losing Its Dnieper Bridgehead

[ Ukraine SITREP ] Day 689-690: RUSSIAN ZAPORIZHZHIA OFFENSIVE!!! RUSSIAN SIVERSK OFFENSIVE!!!

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (15 January 2024)

▫️ In Kupyansk direction (https://t.me/mod_russia/34694), units of the Zapad Group of Forces supported by helicopters and artillery repelled one attack of the AFU 60th Mechanised Brigade’s assault group close to Sinkovka (Kharkov region).

In addition, the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on AFU manpower and hardware clusters close to Petropavlovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region, Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).

Up to 20 servicemen, three armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, and one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system have been eliminated.

▫️ In Krasny Liman direction (https://t.me/mod_russia/34695), the Tsentr Group of Forces’ units, aviation, and artillery repelled one attack of the AFU 63rd Mechanised Brigade’s assault group close to Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People’s Republic), and inflicted fire damage on strongholds of the 5th National Guard Brigade near Serebryansky forestry.

More than 160 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, and one Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system have been eliminated.

▫️In Donetsk direction (https://t.me/mod_russia/34696), units of the Yug Group of Forces supported by aviation and artillery inflicted fire damage on AFU manpower and hardware near Vesyoloyeloye, Razdolovka, Kleshcheyevka, Andreyevka, and Kurdyumovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

More than 200 servicemen, one tank, three infantry fighting vehicles, one armoured personnel carrier, 13 motor vehicles, and two Gvozdika self-propelled artillery systems have been eliminated.

One artillery ordnance depot of the AFU 46th Airmobile Brigade was destroyed near Kurakhovo (Donetsk People’s Republic).

▫️In South Donetsk direction (https://t.me/mod_russia/34697), units of the Vostok Group of Forces supported by aviation and artillery hit units of AFU 72nd, 79th air assault brigades near Novomikhailovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

More than 140 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, four motor vehicles, and one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system have been eliminated.

▫️In Zaporozhye direction (https://t.me/mod_russia/34698), units of the Russian Group of Forces supported by artillery inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of AFU 65th mechanised, 3rd,14th National Guard brigades close to Verbovoye, Rabotino, and Novoprokopovka (Zaporozhye region).

Up to 20 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, and one D-30 howitzer were destroyed.

▫️ In Kherson direction (https://t.me/mod_russia/34698), as a result of the systematic fire impact, the AFU suffered losses of 40 servicemen, eight motor vehicles, and one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system.

▫️ Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Group of Forces have engaged one POL base and 109 AFU artillery units at their fire positions, manpower, and military hardware in 142 areas during the day.

▫️ Russia’s Air Defence shot down 25 unmanned aerial vehicles close to Kremennaya, Belogorovka, Krivosheyevka, Nikolayevka, Verkhnekamenka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Spornoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), Pshenichnoye (Zaporozhye region), and three Tochka-U tactical missiles.

Front #Summary for 15 Jan 2024 by 18:28⚡️

🔹In #Kherson Direction, frost came and the channels between the islands, along which the rotation and supply of the AFU foothold in #Krynki took place, froze. This made it easier for our drone pilots to hit landing groups and supplies. It became also more difficult for the AFU to supply their garrison. Strikes of our FPV drones were also recorded on #Tyaginka, on the right bank.

🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction, our forces are attacking the entire #Rabotino – #Novoprokopovka – #Verbovoye line.
 At #Verbovoye, our military have had significant success in retaking positions.

🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, after artillery preparation, our army launched attacks west of #Staromayorskoye. Fighting has intensified again in the direction of #Prechistovka, the initiative is on our side. On the flanks of #Novomikhaylovka, our offensive continues with no significant successes so far. In #Georgiyevka, there is an advance of ours.

🔹In #Donetsk Direction, on the southern #Avdeyevka flank, our units attacked at #Krasnogorovka and #Nevelskoye, and tried to advance towards #Severnoye.
The enemy is holding defence with all its might, so far the frontline has not changed significantly.

🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, our troops are trying to break through the AFU defence in the direction of Chas Yar. The assault on the heights northwest of #Kleshcheyevka, has not brought the desired result so far, the fighting continues.

🔹In #Svatovo Direction, our military are entrenching themselves in the landings east of #Makeyevka. Near #Torskoye and in the #Serebryanskoye forest, the AFU again tried to counterattack, with no success. According to reports from the field, our army, unfortunately not having the ability to safely conduct counterbattery warfare with artillery, is intensifying attacks with loitering ammunition and drones. The next Lancet managed to hit a western howitzer, the strike was no less than 10 km from the frontline.

💥Our Aerospace Forces launched a series of strikes on AFU military facilities in #Berislav, #Kherson region, targeting warehouses and reserves. New facilities in #Kharkov Region were hit, with a strike on the #Kurazovska TPP, according to preliminary data, the enemy was hiding equipment and personnel there.

💬 Ukrainian General Tarnavsky stated, the situation for the AFU is most difficult in the #Donetsk and #Avdeyevka directions. Over the past day, 41 airstrikes and 51 attempts to attack with the support of armoured vehicles by the RF Armed Forces have been recorded.

📌 Judging by the fuss in the frontline regions, the AFU is afraid of our offensive not only in the #Kharkov region. The defence line in #Chernigov and #Sumy regions is actively being prepared, the Ukrainian command believes that there may be a Russian offensive here this spring.

olegtsarov

Special Operation, 15 Jan  2024, Main; pub. 19:00⚡️

▪️ Kiev is alarmed that the West has supplied #Ukraine with only a third of the promised 1 million shells, said NSDC Secretary Danilov.

▪️ The meeting on the Ukrainian ‘peace formula’ in #Davos failed to outline a ‘clear path forward’, writes Bloomberg.

▪️ Russia stands for resolving the Ukrainian issue peacefully, but given the reluctance of Western countries and Kiev to take into account the security interests of Russia, she is fulfilling her SMO goals, Peskov said.

▪️ Warsaw should prepare for a new wave of refugees from #Ukraine – if the front shifts to the west, several million more Ukrainians could enter the country, the Polish Foreign Ministry said.

▪️ In the #Kupyansk direction, one Ukrainian attack was reflected in the #Sinkovka area, the losses of the AFU were up to 20 militants, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) reported.

▪️ In the #Krasnyliman direction, an attack in the area of ​​Chervona Dibrova was repelled, more than 160 Ukrainian militants were killed, MoD said.

▪️ A fuel base for Ukrainian military equipment was hit, 25 Ukrainian UAVs and three Tochka-U missiles were shot down, MoD said.

rian_ru

Map of military operations and the situation on the fronts on the evening of January 15

⚔️The situation on the fronts over the past 24 hours:

⚫️Svatovo-Kremennoe direction

In the Kupyansky sector there are battles for Sinkovka . Our fighters advanced east of Makeevka . There are positional battles in Serebryansky Forest .

⚫️Donetsk direction

 In the Avdeevsky area, fighting continues near the coke plant. In the Maryinsky sector, our fighters advanced to the outskirts of Georgievka.

⚫️Zaporozhye direction

 The Russian army attacked west of Rabotino . On the Vremevsky ledge, our fighters attack west of Staromayorsky and in the direction of Prechistovka .

👠The Ukrainian Armed Forces attacked civilians in Donetsk using UAVs. Enemy drones dropped ammunition in the parking lot of the Galaktika shopping center, where two men were wounded, and also at a gas station in the Kirovsky district, the owner of which had his fingers blown off.

Chronicles of the special military operation for January 15, 2024

Throughout the day, the entire front line remained stable. However, there were local clashes in some areas. For example, there were reports from the Donetsk area of a minor advance by the Russian Armed Forces from Marinka towards Georgievka.

In the Ugledar area, Russian troops are still engaged in intense battles near Novomikhailovka. At the same time, enemy positions along the entire contact line are regularly targeted by massive air and artillery strikes.

Meanwhile, footage from the Kherson area shows the formation of ice on the Dnieper River, causing several boats carrying Ukrainian marines to get stuck. Russian troops launched a series of attacks on them and on the firing points of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) on the opposite bank.

rybar

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/01/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_15.html