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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 18 2024

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ITS OVER! Ukrainians Routed, Full Russian Control Of Avdiivka

The victory in Avdeevka became one of Russia’s greatest military successes – Times

After months of heavy fighting, Ukrainian troops abandoned the “symbolically and strategically important” city of Avdiivka. The newly appointed commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Alexander Syrsky, said that he decided to withdraw units in order to prevent them from being surrounded, The Times writes.

According to the publication, the victory in Avdievka was the largest military success of the Russian army since May 2023, when it recaptured the relatively nearby Bakhmut. Its advance comes against the backdrop of an acute shortage of ammunition that Kyiv units are facing due to disputes in the US Congress.

As a result of the retreat of Ukrainian units from Avdeevka, the neighboring city of Pokrovsk, which is a regional transport hub, is “under threat.” In addition, the defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the region contributes to the “strengthening of the influence” of the Kremlin in the Donetsk region, The Times argues.

Our source reports that Commander-in-Chief Syrsky gave the order last night to withdraw from Avdeevka for only one reason.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces units began to leave on their own.

But, first of all, the third assault itself decided to leave the positions of the “coking plant”, since being there was fatal, as if in a trap.
For the General Staff and Bankova it was a shock that no one remained to fight to the last, as was the case at Azovstal. The soldiers chose life over death for the sake of the political interests of Zelensky and his entourage.

This was a forced measure by Syrsky to show that there was no rebellion or split in the army, that everything was “planned.” That is why some units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces remained blocked at the coke plant and did not have time to leave, like many in Avdiivka. Nobody warned them about leaving. They learned about this fact from the Internet.

Avdiivka is significant in that it showed what we warned about. The morale of the army fell very low, and the illusion created by the propaganda of the OP that everything was fine led to such consequences.

If no conclusions are drawn. There will be more and more Avdeevkas.

Our source reports that Bankovaya, with its latest idiocy in the situational pursuit of political goals, has endangered the entire line of defense.
The fall of Avdeevka triggered the retreat of many units; if the Russians continue the pressure, then the monolithic structure will break and the domino principle will be launched, when one after another the combat units will leave their positions without following the orders of Ze-stavka to stand to the death.

This is the result of politicians getting into the army’s case.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President instructed the General Staff and the SBU to conduct an investigation into the 3rd brigade, which refused to carry out the order and enter Avdiivka positions. On Bankova they are very angry with Syrsky, who promised to hold the city while Zelensky was on a tour of the EU, but had to urgently leave the most fortified positions that had been created in Avdiivka for ten years.

ZeRada1

The withdrawal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from Avdiivka was a tragedy, and not a planned retreat to new frontiers, as propaganda is trying to present it. Hundreds were killed and captured, and Syrsky tried to fulfill Zelensky’s promise when making statements about the importance of the lives of military personnel. The Avdeevka meat grinder became possible due to the fact that the headquarters did not want to fulfill the request of the ex-Commander-in-Chief, and then removed Zaluzhny from his post, so as not to interfere with politicians, from the Office of the President.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President instructed the SBU to deal harshly with the commanders from Avdiivka, who agreed with the enemy so that the military and wounded would surrender safely. Bankova considers this a bad signal, which has a bad effect on the morale of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and may become a general trend in the future, when commanders, instead of fighting to the death, will negotiate for captivity. 

The conflict between Zaluzhny and Zelensky became one of the reasons for the defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdiivka and this is only the beginning of a whole series of Russian conquests, – Bild

The President of Ukraine and the general had different approaches to the problem of Avdiivka, and their dispute escalated precisely because of the Russian assault on this city.
“Zaluzhny wanted to prevent the encirclement and withdrawal of troops at the last minute with heavy losses, as had already happened in May 2023 in Bakhmut. Zelensky, however, insisted on defending Avdiivka until the last minute. Instead of retreating in mid-November, as Zaluzhny demanded this, the president himself went to the city at the end of December,” writes Bild military observer Julian Röpke.
There, Zelensky promised to rotate and strengthen the defenders of Avdiivka, “but 6 weeks passed before reinforcements arrived. The soldiers of the 3rd assault brigade, who arrived only this week, in the end were only able to ensure the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from Avdiivka.”
Repke believes that Avdiivka may become “only the preliminary culmination of a whole series of Russian conquests and Ukrainian defeats in Ukraine.”

Everything suggests that the Ukrainian Armed Forces did not leave Avdeevka, but ran away.
A sufficient amount of ammunition and ammunition was thrown. They didn’t have time to clear anything and even the documents of military units, etc., were thrown away.

The Russians are already publishing their findings.
For example, boxes with cartridges, grenades, or the remaining intact Swedish Carl-Gustaf grenade launchers and ammunition for them.
No one prepared a planned departure, but were forced to leave due to the failures of the command.

 

Battle for Avdeevka: Clearing the city and advancing the Russian Armed Forces to the west.
Situation as of 14:30, February 18, 2024.

Following the capture of Avdeevka,, the Russian Armed Forces are currently engaged in clearing and demining the liberated areas. Similar events are unfolding on the territory of the AKHZ:. According to some reports, during the night, the remaining enemy groups attempted to escape.

Within the city itself, there may still be isolated small pockets of resistance. In some areas, the retreat of the AFU was disorganized, resulting in disrupted communication between units. This is indirectly supported by footage of prisoners who admit to being unaware of the withdrawal plans.

Simultaneously, Russian aviation and artillery are targeting the current defense line of the AFU in Lastochkino, Tonenkoye, Severny, and Orlovka. The latter was struck with ODAB-1500 volumetric detonating bombs. Currently, these settlements are seeing an influx of people fleeing Avdeevka,  including enemy troops whose withdrawal is hindered by a lack of vehicles.

Currently, Ukrainian formations are facing a loss of control and disorganization, which the Russian Armed Forces can exploit to advance southwest of Avdiivka. However, there is no need to rush, primarily due to the presence of minefields that previously impeded the withdrawal of AFU forces from the city.

rybar

Full text of the Russian Defense Ministry’s statement on the liberation of Avdeevka:

▪️ Today in the Kremlin, the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, Army General S.K. Shoigu, reported to the Supreme Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the complete taking under control by the Center Group of Forces under the command of Colonel General Andrei Mordvichev of the town of Avdeevka in the Donetsk People’s Republic, which represented a powerful defensive node of the Ukrainian armed forces.

▪️ As a result, an area of 31.75 square kilometers was liberated from the Ukrainian nationalists. The enemy’s losses in the fighting for Avdeevka over the past 24 hours amounted to more than 1,500 servicemen.

▪️ Under the continuous fire from Russian troops, only certain scattered formations of Ukrainian militants managed to leave Avdeevka in a hurry, abandoning weapons and military equipment in the process.

▪️ Measures are currently being taken to finally clear the city of militants and to block Ukrainian units that have left the city and have settled at the Avdeevka coke and chemical plant.

▪️ The liberation of Avdeevka has made it possible to move the front line away from Donetsk, thereby significantly securing it from terrorist strikes by the criminal Kiev regime.

▪️ Information on the advance of our troops was not made public until the enemy was completely defeated and the city was taken under control.

▪️ The troops of the Center group of forces are continuing offensive actions to further liberate the Donetsk People’s Republic from the Ukrainian nationalists.

After the liberation of Avdeevka, the target of Russian troops will be Slavyansk

This city is a “real symbol” for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. This assumption was made by war correspondent Alexander Sladkov.

“ The most relevant destination after Avdeevka will be Slavyansk. Yes, on the way there will be Konstantinovka, Druzhkovka, Dzerzhinsk, and Kramatorsk. Yes, these are Donbass cities, they will have to be liberated. But if Avdeevka was the most prepared city for defense on the front, then Slavyansk is a real symbol of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,” says the military correspondent.

According to him, the forces released from Avdeevka can also be sent to Ugledar.

Orikhiv sector: offensive of the Russian Armed Forces
situation as of 21:00, February 18, 2024

As we previously mentioned here, (https://t.me/rybar/57242) Russian troops decided to capitalize on the enemy’s increased attention to the outskirts of Donetsk and initiated an offensive in the Zaporizhia direction.

▪️ In the vicinity of Robotyne, the Russian Armed Forces progressed a kilometer, reclaiming control of some positions captured by the enemy during the offensive in the summer of 2023. Currently, combat is ongoing on the western outskirts of the village.

▪️ Northwest of Verbovoy, they successfully occupied at least three hedgerows. Despite enemy attempts to counterattack, Russian assault groups fended off the assault.

▪️ The situation on the western outskirts of the “sack” along the Kopani – Novodanylivka line remains uncertain: according to enemy footage, the Russian Armed Forces launched an attack with several infantry fighting vehicles carrying troops, but failed to achieve success.

▪️ Concurrently, Russian artillery and aviation are targeting positions in Kamensky and Shcherbaki, where the AFU have concentrated personnel and counter-battery stations. In the Pyatikhatki and Shcherbakov area, the enemy is actively mining the region, preparing for a potential offensive by the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️ The Ukrainian command is mobilizing reserves and, to stabilize the situation in the Robotyne area, is preparing to deploy the forces of the 116th Mechanized Brigade, which were previously undergoing partial restoration in the rear.

🔻However, even away from the contact line, the situation is challenging for the AFU. Recently, another tragedy struck the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade, which had undergone multiple reorganizations: a detonator accidentally exploded inside the MTLB, which was transporting mines. This incident resulted in the deaths of 20 military personnel, including four officers.
rybar

Columns of tanks of the Russian army are advancing near Rabotino on the Zaporozhye front, the enemy is panicking

The attacks are really underway, our troops seized the initiative in the Orekhovsky sector many months ago and are constantly attacking the enemy, advancing at Rabotino and Verbovoy towards Orekhov.

Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are under the particularly powerful work of artillery and aviation, fearing that this may be preparation before the start of a wave of powerful offensive.

During the attack near Rabotino, the infantry of the Southern Military District and the landing force took a number of support units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the enemy is retreating on the Zaporozhye front

With strong artillery support, fighters of the 42nd division and 76th Pskov airborne division are moving forward.

 

The Russian army launched a powerful offensive at Rabotino, unleashing a hail of blows on the enemy and dislodging them from many positions

With strong support from the Russian Air Forces, TOS “Solntsepyok,” and artillery of the armored group of the 58th Army and the 76th Pskov Airborne Division, they unexpectedly attacked the enemy on a wide front in the afternoon, penetrating deep into the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The enemy lost several strongholds from the west, east, and south.

Our units rained down a barrage of fire on Rabotino itself, causing the ruins with the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to burn.

The enemy is attempting to retaliate by deploying artillery.
Russian units continued to advance their success under the cover of darkness.

 

The situation in the Zaporozhye direction – analysis from @Multi_XAM and @z_arhiv

As Western OSINT resources report in👥 Twitter/X @KalibratedMap and @Pouletvolant, Russian troops captured fortified positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces south of Robotino; currently, most of the population is in the gray zone.

In this area, the enemy, with the forces of the 118th separate mechanized brigade (OMBr) and the 3rd operational brigade “Spartan” of the National Guard, held 2 support forces at the points:📠47.431206, 35.826746, and 📠47.432603, 35.842024.

🔻In the plantings in the northwest of Rabotino, there is a chain of strongholds covering the village, which are holding units from the 65th and 33rd Mechanized Brigade.
In January-February there were active battles for these positions. The attempts of our forces to advance here were recorded by experts of the Pouletvolant project, which is reflected on the resource maps. (https://x.com/pouletvolant3/status/1757445673631273079?s=46)

🔻 From the east – in the direction of Verbovoy – Rabotino covers a chain of strong points where units from the 82nd separate air assault brigade, 14th assault brigade “Chervona Kalina”, 1st tank brigade, 132nd reconnaissance, and 472nd Infantry Battalion, “Kara-Dag” Brigade of the National Guard, 78th Separate Air Assault Regiment “Hertz”.

✅ The enemy’s propaganda resources report supposedly large losses that our troops suffered while advancing to eliminate the Rabotinsky ledge. Not true, because Artillery and aviation are actively working to suppress enemy firing points. Trying to balance their audience against the backdrop of the failure of the defense of Avdeevka, Ukrainian TG channels and English-language sources in👥 Twitter/X stated that the activation of the Russian Armed Forces was caused by the fact that for a month and a half the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred reserves from the Zaporozhye direction to the Avdeevsky and Chasov-Yarsky sections of the front, weakening their positions in the Rabotino-Verbovoye area.

Multi_XAM z_arhiv

Artyomovskoe direction

Our fighters continue to advance in the area of   Bogdanovka and Krasny . Today we bent the enemy’s defenses by half a kilometer.

There are battles near Kleshcheevka . Both sides attack and counterattack, but the Ukrainian has many times more losses.

The Russian Army attacked at Andreevka – the information is contradictory, and there is no communication with our fellow soldiers now. If objective data appears, we will notify you immediately

WHAT’S NEXT AFTER AVDIIVKA??? Post-AVDIIVKA Ukraine War – D724 Conclusions

VDV Soldiers Storm Robotyne | New Russian Offensive Begins

Ukraine Soldiers Who Fled Avdiivka Now Hiding In a nearby coke and chemical plant …: Russia Govt’s Big Claim After Strategic Win

Zelensky Cries Arms Shortage After Losing Avdiivka To Russia; ‘Ukraine Withdrew To Save Soldiers’

Russian Spetsnaz Derailed NATO Military Train In Serebriia! AFU Is Retreating From Avdiivka!

Ukraine Struggles To Catch Up As Russia Mounts 2nd Offensive In South After Avdiivka | Details

New Offensive in Zaprizhia [18 February 2024]

Another Massive Russian Offensive Begins l Russian Forces Storms Robotyne

Battlefield Ukraine Russian Hammer of The Gods

Russian Defence Ministry Report on the Progress of the Special Military Operation (18 February 2024)⚡️

▫️On 17 February, units of the Tsentr Grouping have completely liberated Avdeyevka (DPR) and advanced to a depth of 8.6 km. The total area of the liberated territory was 31.75 sq km.

The enemy lost more than 1,500 troops.

▫️In Kupyansk direction, the Zapad Grouping actively defeated the 14th and 66th Mechanised Brigades close to Sinkovka, Petropavlovka, and Ivanovka (Kharkov reg).

The AFU lost up to 40 troops, 1 tank, 3 APCs, and 3 pickups.

Counterbattery warfare hit 1 Polish Krab, 2 Gvozdika SAUs, 2 D-20, and 1 D-30 howitzers.

▫️In Krasny Liman direction, the Tsentr Grouping defeated the 63rd Mechanised and 25th Airborne Brigades near Yampolovka (DPR) and Chervonaya Dibrova (LPR).

The enemy lost up to 100 troops, 1 tank, 3 AFVs, and 4 MVs.

▫️In Donetsk direction, the Yug Grouping defeated troops and hardware of 42nd, 93rd Mechanised, and 81st Airmobile Brigades close to Belogorovka (LPR), Krasnoye, and Kleshcheyevka (DPR), and improved their positions along the frontline.

The AFU lost up to 400 troops, 2 tanks, 3 IFVs, 4 AFVs, 6 MVs, Msta-B, D-20 and D-30 howitzers, and 1 Strela-10 surface-to-air missile system.

▫️In South Donetsk direction, the Vostok Grouping defeated units of the 58th Infantry and the 127th Territorial Defence near Urozhaynoye (DPR) and Priyutnoye (Zaporozhye reg).

The enemy lost more than 190 troops, 2 tanks, 2 AFVs, and 3 MVs.

Counterbattery warfare hit 1 Polish Krab SAU, 2 UK FH-70, 2 Msta-B howitzers, and 1 Rapira antitank gun.

▫️In Kherson direction, the Dnepr Grouping defeated enemy troops and hardware close to Rabotino, Verbovoye (Zaporozhye reg), Lvovo, and Tyaginka (Kherson reg), and took more favourable positions.

The AFU lost up to 70 troops, 1 IFV, 3 MVs, 1 US M777 howitzer, 1 Gvozdika SAU, and 1 US AN/TPQ-48 radar station.

▫️The Russian Grouping’s Operational-Tactical Aviation, UAVs, Missile Troops, and Artillery hit the control point of the 31st Mechanised Brigade near Zhelannoye (DPR), fuel and ammo depots, and troops and military hardware in 128 areas.

Air defences shot down 1 HIMARS MLRS projectiles and 105 UAVs close to Ivanovka (Kharkov reg), Kremennaya, Kalinovka (LPR), Styla, Semigorye, and Verkhnetoretskoye (DPR), Lyubimovka, Chervonogorka, and Mirnoye (Zaporozhye reg).

📊 In total, 571 aircraft, 266 helicopters, 12,723 UAVs, 470 SAMs, 15,098 tanks and other AFVs, 1,222 MLRS vehicles, 8,091 guns and mortars, and 18,801 special military vehicles have been destroyed during the SMO.

MoD

Front #Summary for 18 Feb 2024 by 18:55⚡️

🔹In #Kherson Direction, without any changes on the ground. Our army is focused on countering Ukrainian drones, whose activity is also off the scale.

🔹In #Zaporozhye direction, our forces have stepped up their offensive. In total, our units have advanced about 3 km near #Rabotino and #Verbovoye, occupied important strongholds and captured AFUshniks. Yesterday, our paratroopers and motorised riflemen began to advance actively with the task of retaking lost positions and eliminating the ledge.
📌 Whether the main goal of our army is to divert the enemy’s attention from other directions or to carry out a full-scale operation to liberate our lands in #Zaporozhye, we will see in the coming weeks.

🔹In #Donetsk Direction, the front now runs along the #Lastochkino – #Severnoye line. Yesterday our fighters managed to catch up with the AFU in #Lastochkino, where they gained a foothold, taking control of part of the village. Movement is complicated by the dense mining of territories by the retreating enemy forces. In #Avdeyevka itself, the cleansing of the AFU groups that failed to escape continues. According to the latest data, at least 500 Ukrainian militants have been captured. The liberation of #Avdeyevka is still a little less than 32 sq km of Russian land.

🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, our the aviation and artillery are seriously preparing for an offensive on Chasov Yar. At #Andreyevka, our fighters have stepped up attacks, and fighting is ongoing. Our military hit a powerful AFU point with drone strikes. In general, the direction can be safely renamed. It is #Konstantinovka, a large AFU logistics hub, that will be the target.

🔹In #Svatovo direction, on the #Liman front, our forces advanced about 1.5 km more in the direction of #Terny, with less than 1 km left to the village. Most of Laptev Yar is behind ours, the fighting is heavy.

💥The AFU hit the centre of #Donetsk with a Slovakian shrapnel rocket. Fortunately, no one was injured. In #Donetsk a resident blew himself up on a “petal”, in #Gorlovka two wounded from detonation of a previously unexploded cluster bomb. #Belgorod region was attacked by 16 AFU drones. About 28 shells were fired at settlements in the region, a civilian was injured.

🎯Our Aerospace Forces hit an AFU location in #Kramatorsk during the night. Explosions were recorded in #Poltava, #Kharkov, #Sumy, #Dnepropetrovsk and #Chernigov regions.

olegtsarov

Map of military operations and the situation on the fronts on the evening of February 18

⚔️The situation on the fronts over the past 24 hours:

⚫️Svatovo-Kremennoe direction

In the Kupyansky sector there were battles near Sinkovka . Meanwhile, the Russian army advanced in the direction of Ternov. There are no changes in Serebryansky Forest .

⚫️Bakhmutskoe (Artemovskoe) direction

The Russian army attacked in the area of   Bogdanovka and Krasny . Fighting is taking place northwest of Kleshcheevka .

⚫️Donetsk direction

In the Avdeevsky sector there are battles for Lastochkino . The Ukrainian Armed Forces completely abandoned the coke plant . The process of clearing and demining continues. Ours are attacking at Nevelskoye and Pervomaiskoye . There are battles for Novomikhailovka .

⚫️Zaporozhye direction

In the Orekhovsky sector, the Russian army storms enemy positions near Rabotino , and is reported to be entering the village. In addition, ours struck from Verbovoy.

Chronicles of the Special Military Operation for February 18, 2024

The Russian army continues to clear up Avdeevka where scattered enemy groups still remain in the city. Currently, fighting is ongoing on the outskirts of Lastochkino, where AFU members hastily retreated.

In the Zaporizhia direction, the Russian Armed Forces, on the second day of the offensive, managed to enter the southern and western outskirts of Robotyne, advancing over a kilometer in one section. West of Verbovoy, several enemy strongholds were captured, and a counterattack by the AFU was repelled.

In the Krynok area in the Kherson direction, the enemy rotated some personnel and moved several airborne squads to a bridgehead on the left bank.

AFU units not engaged in battles on the right bank of the Dnieper are being redeployed to the Donetsk direction, indicating a shortage of personnel on the front line.

rybar


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/02/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_18.html


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