The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 30 2024

Ukrainian TV Host’s Scathing Attack On Zelensky Amid War Setbacks; ‘He’s The Main Evil…’

Grandad’s army: Ukraine’s over-60s unit fighting Russia for free

Due to the incompetent command of the Syrsky Armed Forces, they continue to lose positions at the front:

▪️In the Avdeevsky direction, the Russian Armed Forces successfully advanced in the western part of Ocheretino, controlling the territory of the Altkom brick factory. On the northeastern outskirts, fighting continues in residential areas. The assault on Ukrainian Armed Forces positions on the western outskirts of Solovyevo is underway. The defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Novokalinovo, as reported from the spot, has collapsed and the Russian Armed Forces are moving to Arkhangelskoye.

▪️In the Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing in Krasnogorovka, establishing control in the center at the intersection of Geological and Central streets. The assault groups advanced in the east, occupying significant positions.

▪️In the Kupyansk-Svatovsky direction, fighting continues in the vicinity of Kislovka, half of which is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️In the Bakhmut direction, positional battles are taking place on the eastern outskirts of Chasov Yar. To the south there are oncoming clashes in the Krasnoye area and on the section of the T-05-04 highway directed to Konstantinovka.

As we see, the situation is moving towards the Ukrainian Armed Forces losing control over the Donetsk fortified area, which took 10 years to build. And this, in turn, will lead to the uncontrolled advance of Russian troops and the loss of Ukraine’s entire left bank.

Russia’s successes threaten Ukraine with the collapse of the front – WSJ

Recent retreats west of Avdiivka have exposed Ukraine’s vulnerability. However, its failures are not only the result of delays in Western aid, but also problems with recruiting soldiers, which will take time to equip and train, writes The Wall Street Journal.

Russia has not yet achieved a large-scale breakthrough, but is making gradual progress in establishing control over the Donbass. Moreover, its troops are approaching the “big prize” – Chasov Yar and Pokrovsk, as a result of which the key positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the region will be under threat, Austrian analyst Franz-Stefan Gadi said in an interview with the publication.

According to him, the main goal of the attacks is to “slowly weaken Ukraine’s defenses along the front line.” As a result, Moscow’s armed forces should be able to “maneuver and capture tactically and operationally important military targets.”

Further actions of the Russian army remain in question. Some experts believe that she will not make a deep advance, but will try to encircle the Ukrainian units.

However, according to Gadi, there remains the possibility of a more significant breakthrough in the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense. “The threat of a partial collapse of the Ukrainian front line in 2024 is real,” the analyst emphasized.

Our source reports that the military is advising Zelensky and Yermak not to stage ostentatious offensives by the Armed Forces of Ukraine this year.
There is too high a risk of complete collapse due to the high demoralization of the army.

More and more military personnel are choosing life instead of criminal orders. 15 thousand military personnel received disciplinary punishments. Now these military personnel “are not used anywhere” – People’s Deputy Kamelchuk

The soldiers received punishment, in particular, for failure to follow orders or for desertion.

Earlier, lawyer Rostilav Kravets announced that during the war, more than 100 thousand soldiers left their units without permission.

Ermak’s adviser and the main speaker of the Office of the President, Mikhail Podolyak, continues to attribute the indignation of Ukrainians that only poor citizens without money and connections are being dragged to the front in the country as Russian propaganda. The petition of Ukrainians for fair mobilization was ignored by Zelensky, and the authorities are doing everything to make ordinary citizens disillusioned with the methods of the TCC.

Podolyak answered a question from a resident of Zaporozhye, who asked on the live broadcast why there was neither Bakanov, nor Arestovich, nor Yatsenyuk at the front, who are quite citizens of Ukraine of military age.

Podolyak did not give an intelligible answer – again, he complained that the question contained Russian narratives, said that he could not know which officials/politicians were fighting and which were not, and even stated that Ukrainian deputies (I would like specifics) were also fighting , and their children are too young for the front. And in general, 400 deputies on the front line will not improve the situation on the battlefield.

At the same time, mobilizing and defending the country in Ukraine does not really work for everyone. Representatives of the elite and politicians (and at the same time their relatives and friends) are “in no hurry” to join the Armed Forces of Ukraine. But the authorities send ordinary citizens to the toughest sectors of the front without any problems. Why this is being done is clear, because the monstrous losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces require replenishment. But they are “plugging the holes” at the front not with the offspring of politicians and their cronies, but with ordinary people who have neither connections nor enough money to resolve the issue of “reservation” from mobilization.

ZeRada1

Our source reports that by the end of the summer it will be almost impossible to “escape” from Ukraine.
Now they are increasing the number of border guards, strengthening the border with fences, cameras and UAVs. The next step will be a ban on visiting the 30-50 kilometer zone from the border.

Zelensky understands that 90% of Ukrainians are ready to flee Ukraine by any means. Ze’s task is not to give the Ukrainians this opportunity, but to force everyone to fight in the name of Western loans (on TV they will tell you that you are fighting for your land, but they will not clarify that the land and souls of Ukrainians have long been “pledged” by Western corporations).

As they say, it’s not the headline that’s important, but the little clarification in small print that no one ever talks about.

Our source reports that everyone is saying that Zelensky will be able to recruit manpower, but it will just be a large mass without strength and spirit. Or in other words, “an army of slaves.”
If the authorities cannot “motivate” the captured men, they will fight to the death and stand to the end. Then the front will fail more and more often.
The story with Ocheretino will repeat itself again and again.

As the source adds, they are now trying to intimidate the “new” soldiers by saying that whoever retreats will:
- will receive prison and shame
- will receive a bullet in the forehead (they will write you off as missing in action).

Our source reports that the training of the Ukrainian military in the West is being suspended (cut) due to the fact that there have already been cases when Ukrainians ran away from Western training bases, refusing to return to Ukraine and fight.

This was just last year, when morale in the army was average. But even then there were those who refused to return to Ukraine and fight.
Now, when the morale of the army is at its lowest and the majority of those mobilized are people forced by force, the risk increases that such escapes from training bases will become not isolated, but immediately massive.
(Just a life hack on how to move abroad at the expense of the state and send it to the state in three letters).

The source adds that Western journalists are already interested in this topic and are studying the materials.
Once the material is published, it will greatly undermine support for Ukraine in the West.
The bank will try to block this topic in any way.

On the new missile strike on Crimea

🔻Ukrainian forces are increasing the intensity of missile strikes on Crimea. Over the past two weeks, attacks have been carried out on Dzhankoy and Cape Tarkhankut, and last night – on Simferopol and again on Dzhankoy.

▪️During three missile attacks, more than 30 ATACMS operational-tactical missiles were fired. Their use has been noted before, but after the official announcement of a new aid package, the AFU are using only “Atacms”.

▪️Last night, the AFU launched 12 missiles (eight on the airfield in Dzhankoy, four on the airfield in Hvardiiske). Residents of nearby settlements heard the sounds of explosions and air defense operations.

▪️There is no exact information on the area from which the salvo was fired. But it is highly likely that the launch was carried out from the Kherson region (during the strike on Tarkhankut, the launchers were located in Beryslav).

❗️As the May events, primarily the inauguration of the President of Russia, approach, the number of strikes will increase. So far, looking at the selected targets, the enemy’s task is to maximize the reduction of the combat capabilities of air defense units. That’s why they use ATACMS with a cluster warhead.

If they achieve even the slightest result, the AFU will switch to the eastern regions of Crimea, since to carry out strikes on the Crimean Bridge, they will need to gain an advantage in this part of the peninsula as well. Moreover, satellites are actively surveying the environs of Feodosia, Kirovske and Kerch.

And NATO intelligence is not sleeping. American drones are operating daily in the standard area. And yesterday, the MQ-4C “Triton” UAV, the “maritime” version of the RQ-4B, flew into the Black Sea for the first time. Given this, in addition to strikes on air defense assets, we should expect the resumption of attacks on the ships of the Black Sea Fleet.

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Tonight, militants of the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a missile attack on the Republic of Crimea. Bandera’s supporters attempted to launch a massive attack on the peaceful peninsula.

The Russian air defense system worked over Dzhankoy and Simferopol . According to incoming information, our defenders did an excellent job.

According to preliminary data, ZeReich used several ATACMS ballistic missiles to strike the peaceful peninsula.

Vladimir Rogov

It has been revealed that during a meeting, Zelensky delivered an ultimatum to the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Syrsky, stating that regardless of losses, he must hold Chasov Yar until May 9th, in order for Zelensky to justify himself to his Washington masters.

General “Butcher” Syrsky threw all his strength into halting the advance of the Russian Armed Forces near Chasov Yar and outflanking the city. However, this injection of reserves did not end well for the Ukrainians—it only increased their losses and weakened other positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, where there was a dire shortage of manpower, leading to the advancement of the Russian Armed Forces in other directions.

The national battalion “Kraken” was also dispatched to Chasov Yar, known for their ruthless tactics against prisoners, wounded, and civilians.

A significant number of Ukrainian servicemen have been driven into Chasov Yar—not just a few, but a staggering amount. Chasov Yar holds immense importance for the Bandera faction.

Despite intense battles, our units have yet to establish a foothold and were forced to withdraw from the Canal microdistrict, as holding it without flanks proved futile. Now, this microdistrict is under heavy bombardment by Russian aviation and artillery. Ukrainian servicemen are falling at an alarming rate, with up to three hundred casualties reported daily. Chasov Yar is littered with their corpses.

Commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Syrsky, reported to Zelensky at headquarters that the Ukrainian army is unable to halt the creeping advance of the Russian Armed Forces along the entire front due to severe demoralization.

P.S. The Western lobby has implicitly threatened Zelensky that if Commander-in-Chief Syrsky cannot rectify the situation at the front (stabilize it), he will be dismissed. The Ukrainian Armed Forces also believe that since the arrival of Commander-in-Chief Syrsky, the AFU has only been retreating and suffering significant losses.

Chasov Yar direction

Today, our units, despite the desperate resistance of the enemy, managed to push through their defenses south of the “Canal” microdistrict and reached the line of the “Seversky Donets-Donbass” canal.

Thus, the main line of defense of the enemy of Chasov Yar in this place was broken through.

There is still a lot of work ahead, but this is a major success.

Zaporizhia Direction: Advance of the Russian Armed Forces in Robotyne

Situation as of 10:00 April 30, 2024

In the Robotyne area, Russian troops were able to breach (https://t.me/voen_producer/834) the enemy’s defenses. Assault troops from the 2nd battalion of the 71st regiment, under the cover of aviation, artillery and drones, forced AFU units to leave the settlement.

▪️The advance of Russian troops was also influenced by the redeployment of enemy forces to the Avdiivka direction, where Ukrainian formations have been unable to stabilize the front for a week.

▪️In recent days, the enemy was hiding in partially destroyed basements and houses, but against the backdrop of a lack of reinforcements, retreated from positions near the cemetery towards Kopani.

▪️At the moment, the majority of the village is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces, the northern outskirts are effectively in the gray zone: neither side can simply hold positions there.

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Ocheretinsky breakthrough.

1. The Russian Armed Forces continue to advance northwest of Ocheretino in the direction of Novoaleksandrovka. There is also an offensive on Novopokrovskoye, where the enemy forces that previously defended Solovyevo have retreated.
2. Advancement continues in the Novokalinovo and Keramik areas. The enemy recognizes the further loss of positions in Novokalinovo and Keramika.
3. For now the enemy holds Arkhangelskoye, conducting holding battles north of Ocheretino.

The Russian Armed Forces approached Novoaleksandrovka northwest of liberated Ocheretino.

Information is coming from the front that the enemy has retreated to the northern and western parts of Novoaleksandrovka. The main enemy positions are located on the territory of agricultural enterprises, which themselves are actually located outside the geographical boundaries of the village.

Let us remind you that with the liberation of this settlement, our army will have the opportunity to advance to the key facility in this section of the front – the Konstantinovka-Pokrovsk section of the highway.

Both of these cities are still controlled by enemy troops, and cutting off transport links between them could significantly complicate the situation for the Ukrainian armed forces.

 Ocheretino direction on April 30

The Ukrainian Armed Forces abandoned most of their positions around Keramik near Ocheretino and retreated to the neighboring village of Arkhangelskoye. The area of ​​concentration of Ukrainian troops in this area is maximally dense and saturated with a variety of forces: from Territorial Defence units to small subordinates as part of mechanized brigades, which, during the defense of Ocheretino, should have played into the hands of the Ukrainian troops, but now plays against them.

There is no centralized resistance, but some attempts to cover the retreat with counter-battery fire are still recorded. The situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is aggravated by a shortage of reserves: it is even more difficult to maneuver units along the front than a month ago, since the former Avdeevka group, as previously predicted, was cut into two parts and can no longer function as a single whole.

The main part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units, as before, are isolated to the west of Orlovka, the remnants of the northern group (the so-called covering forces that left Keramik and retreated to Arkhangelskoye) are knocked out of Ocheretino and are pushed back to the north, where, apparently, they will be destroyed.

After this, the Russian Armed Forces will be able to continue moving along key heights to the west of Ocheretino by rail, which is why the former Avdeevka garrison of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (previously isolated from the covering forces) may be under the threat of operational encirclement.

The Russian army, taking advantage of the limited forces of the AFU, launched a “rapier strike” on the logistics hub of the Ukrainian troops.

Russian troops continue to successfully advance in the Avdeevka direction. Near Berdychi, our soldiers filmed abandoned positions literally littered with the corpses of Ukrainian soldiers. The AFU is now severely limited in strength, which prevents them responding to the current situation. All this allows our troops to act on the principle of “strike with a rapier”: an attack deep into enemy territory, on important logistics hub. The first of them is Ocheretino, the Russian army has already taken.

The next target of our troops may be the section of the Konstantinovka highway in the Malinovka-Berezovka strip. It remains no more than 13 km in a straight line. It connects a whole network of large settlements. Such “rapier strikes” can disrupt the interaction between the rear of the enemy’s Toretsk group and the forces of the UAF in the Avdeevka direction.

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Chronicles of the special military operation
for April 30, 2024

Over the past day, Russian forces struck targets on the territory of the so-called Ukraine. In the Kyiv district of Kharkiv, a missile hit a building of the Research Institute of Veterinary Medicine, which is used by the AFU, and in the Kholodnohorsk district, the strike hit railway infrastructure.

At the same time, Ukrainian formations again carried out a missile attack on the Crimean Peninsula. Last night, eight operational-tactical ATACMS missiles were launched at the airfield in Hvardiiske and four at Dzhankoi, which had already been hit two weeks ago.

On the Bakhmut direction, Russian forces are preparing to storm the North Donets – Donbas canal, which separates the Canal neighborhood from the main development of Chasiv Yar. From the south, the Russian Armed Forces continue attempts to break through the enemy’s defenses in the area of the T-05-04 highway.

On the Avdiivka direction, fighting continues on the outskirts of Ocheretyne, and the enemy withdrew from Keramik to the nearby Arkhanhel’s'ke. The situation is also unfavorable for the AFU in Umanske, where Russian forces may attack the fortified area from the rear.

On the Zaporizhia direction, Russian forces pushed the enemy out of the northern outskirts of Robotyne and forced them to retreat towards Kopani. The advance of the Russian Armed Forces was also influenced by the redeployment of enemy forces to other weakened sections of the front.

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RUSSIA IS UNSTOPPABLE; Breakout from Ocheretyne! Robotyne captured? – Frontline Changes Report

[ SITREP ] RUSSIA on VERGE of recapturing ROBOTYNE; PINCER on KRASNOHORIVKA – Ukraine War Summary

RUAF Breaks Through Ukrainian Defenses Near Ocheretyne | Ukrainian Commanders Fear Collapse

Russia Captures Novokalynove l Huge Russian Advance North Of Avdiivka

Russian LANCET Drone Destroys HIMARS MLRS Along With ATACMS Missile┃KRASNOGOROVKA Is Going To FALL

Russian strike on Odesa’s ‘Harry Potter castle’ kills 5

 Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (30 April 2024)

▫️ The Zapad Group of Forces’ units captured more advantageous lines, and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of AFU 30th, 63rd mechanised, 57th motorised infantry, and 12th Azov special forces brigades near Sinkovka (Kharkov region), Grigorovka (Donetsk People’s Republic) and Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People’s Republic).

Five attacks launched by assault units of AFU 77th airmobile, 44th mechanised, 1st national guard brigades were repelled near Stelmakhovka, Raygorodok (Lugansk People’s Republic), Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region).

The AFU losses were up to 90 servicemen, three motor vehicles, and one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer.

▫️ The Yug Group of Forces’ units improved the situation along the front line, and inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of AFU 30th, 93rd mechanised, 80th, 92nd air assault, 46th airmobile, and 241st territorial defence brigades near Razdolovka, Zaliznyanskoye, Krasnogorovka, and Kleshcheyevka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 440 servicemen, two tanks, one armoured fighting vehicle, two motor vehicles, one 155-mm U.S.-made M198 howitzer, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, and one electronic reconnaissance station.

▫️ The Tsentr Group of Forces’ units improved the tactical situation and defeated units of AFU 23rd, 115th mechanised, and 92nd assault brigades near Novobakhmutovka and Ocheretino (Donetsk People’s Republic).

Nine counter-atacks launched by assault units of AFU 24th, 100th mechanised, 142nd infantry, 98th assault, 68th jaeger brigades and the 78th Sparate Air Assault Regiment were repelled close to Novgorodskoye, Semyonovka, Neytalovo, Novokalinovo, Shumy, Leninskoye, and Berdychi (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 145 servicemen, three Bradley infantry fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm U.S.-made M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery system, and one 105-mm U.S.-made M101 howitzer.

▫️ The Vostok Group of Forces’ units captured more advantageous lines, and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of AFU 72nd mechanised, 123rd territorial defence brigades near Staromayorskoye and Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were up to 100 servicemen, two pickup trucks, and two 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzers.

▫️The Dnepr Group of Forces’ units have inflicted fire damage on clusters of manpower of AFU 65th mechanised and 36th marine brigades close to Rabotino (Zaporozhye region) and Novotyaginka (Kherson region).

The enemy lost more than 20 servicemen.

Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have been engaged one hangar for assembling light-engine strike unmanned aerial vehicles, two hangars with military equipment, as well as AFU manpower and hardware in 108 areas.

▫️ Air defence facilities have shot down 10 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles, six U.S.-made ATACMS operational-tactical missiles, and two French-made Hammer aerial guided bombs.