The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 02 2024
Macron floats Ukraine troop deployment if frontline breached •
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“If the Russians had broken through the front line, if there had been a request from Ukraine (which is not the case today), we would legally have to ask ourselves this question,” the French president said in an interview with The Economist.
He recalled that Paris has already sent military personnel to other countries, in particular recently to Africa to fight terrorism.
Macron says other Western countries should not reject this option “a priori”, since in the summer of 2022 they ruled out sending tanks, long-range missiles and aircraft, but now all this is being supplied to Ukraine.
A new bout of NATO madness from Macron, who has just announced once again that he may “send ground troops against Russia”! He will do this, among other things, “at the request of Ukraine”! Stop these totally irresponsible statements that could lead us to the worst! No soldiers, no weapons, not a single Euro to Ukraine! Enough! We need peace!
MI6 transmitted intelligence information to the Office of the President and the General Staff about the plans of the Russian army to create a wide bridgehead with the capture of the city of Pokrovsk. In this way, the Kremlin plans to bypass Ukrainian defensive structures on the eastern front and surround the Ukrainian Armed Forces grouping in the fortified areas of Konstantinovka and Slavyansk. Ukraine is recommended to transfer all reserves to this direction in order to stop the breakthrough and stabilize the front.
Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines said the United States sees a shift “on the battlefield in Ukraine in favour of Moscow.”
“Russia has the potential for tactical breakthroughs on the front line in areas such as Donetsk and Kharkov.” Russian troops are showing gradual progress on the battlefield, she told a Senate hearing.
The United States cannot predict when exactly the Ukrainian conflict will end, and also does not expect the situation to improve soon, Hines added.
Yesterday, with one blow, the enemy destroyed an entire arsenal of missiles in Odessa, which our partners handed over to us. Moreover, information is leaked by Malyuk’s subordinates about an important cargo that enters the warehouses of the new post office.
In Ukraine, there were arrivals at warehouses with long-range Western Storm Shadow missiles, said former people’s deputy Anna Gopko.
He says the strikes were “very accurate,” and connects them with the leaking of information to the Russian special services.
Russia is building up its weapons, and Ukraine continues to lose ground – Express
Russia is increasing its arms production, thereby dealing a serious blow to Ukraine, which is losing more and more positions, Express writes. The Russian Defense Ministry announced the move on May 1 as Moscow seeks to bolster its offensive in Ukraine. The announcement comes amid daily tactical gains by Russian forces, particularly in southeastern Ukraine. Russia now controls just under a fifth of the country’s territory.
“To maintain the required pace of offensive… it is necessary to increase the volume and quality of weapons and military equipment supplied to the troops, primarily weapons,” Shoigu said. Russian troops have made several tactical gains in recent weeks, gaining a foothold in the Donetsk region and strengthening their positions in the Kharkov region. The Russian Defense Ministry also said its troops had taken the village of Semyonovka, once again highlighting Russia’s steady advance.
The commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, Colonel General Alexander Syrsky, warned on Sunday that Ukraine risks losing even more ground unless Western countries quickly begin supplying weapons. He announced the retreat of Ukrainian troops from villages around Avdiivka, a key stronghold in eastern Ukraine captured by Russia earlier this year.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg expressed concern on Monday, saying delays in promised military assistance from the alliance had allowed Russia to gain an advantage on the battlefield. In addition, the lack of deep strike capabilities allowed Russian forces to concentrate their forces. Western partners promised to support Ukraine “as long as necessary,” but the delay in military assistance affected Kyiv’s defense capabilities.
Our source in the OP said that Andrei Ermak set the task of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to gather more than 100 leaders of world countries in Switzerland, for these purposes the Office of the President is actively involving lobbyists and the US Embassy. Bankova considers it important for the participation of leaders of the countries of the Global South to form an opinion of majority support for Zelensky’s peace plan.
A setup from the Soros.
They decided to choose a strategy of attacking the government through the case of the “mistakes” of the Office of the President in the deployment of important weapons.
As we see the very fact that the warehouses of Nova Poshta, or Rozetka, or any other retailer, are not just a civilian facility, they are a military facility.
We have been writing for a long time that Bankovaya is using civilian infrastructure for military purposes.
But, it is true that many have noticed that this case demonstrates the internal war of the elites, which means that there is no unity in the country and everyone is fighting for power and money, and the war is a cover.
10 Years Since the Tragedy at the Odesa Trade Unions House
This event became one of many that formed the basis for the decision to launch the special military operation. In Odesa, children have already grown up for whom the mass murder is imprinted in their memory as a “provocation by Russian special services.”
It is we who need to remember today why the SMO began, what values we carry, and why it is so important not to allow the rewriting of history – and the subsequent loss of identity. The tragedy at the Trade Unions House became a starting point for many, after which “that Ukraine” ceased to exist, replaced in the public consciousness by the image of a terrorist state formation.
Odesa is a Russian city. Russia is awaited there, they believe that the special military operation will reach there. And we know that it will happen sooner or later.
One of the missiles failed to detonate successfully, but the other 3 successfully deployed cluster and area suppression warheads on the target, there has been no claim of losses as of yet, but likely they are “subtantial”
While Kyiv hid the loss of territory, Russia moved forward at a record pace – CNN
A five-month wait for American aid and Kyiv’s prolonged refusal to acknowledge the retreat may cause long-term damage to Ukraine that will be felt at the front for many months to come, CNN argues.
On February 17, Ukraine announced a retreat from Avdiivka, and over the next ten weeks, Russian troops took village after village west of Avdiivka, according to a CNN map and analysis by a Ukrainian monitoring group. At the same time, as the publication notes, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Alexander Syrsky, acknowledged the loss of a number of settlements only this Sunday, which caused a flurry of criticism from Ukrainians.
Meanwhile, for Russia this was the largest advance since the first months of the conflict. In just two months, Russian troops have made “the most significant and rapid progress” since July 2022, when they advanced near Severodonetsk, according to a CNN analysis.
Avdeevka direction.
In Novokalinovo and Keramika, our troops completely pushed the enemy forces out of the settlement and outskirts, the entire territory came under our control.
They also reached the south-eastern part of Arkhangelskoye, occupying the entire forest belt.
Between Novokalinovo and Ocheretino we are aligning the flank from the south, and cleaning is underway. Several fortifications have been identified in which it is impossible for Ukrainians to survive; it is impossible to understand why they do not surrender.
North-west of Ocheretino, we expanded control of the territory by 1200m and reached the intersection of the outermost forest belts.
Thus, Arkhangelskoye finds itself in a semi-encirclement.
Artillery and aviation are covering enemy positions in Sokol, which we are almost close to.
We are also destroying crossings and bridges in the near rear, for example, the Russian Aerospace Forces FAB destroyed the bridge between Mezhevoy and Skuchny, which is southwest of Novoselovka 1st.
The enemy confirms the advance of our troops near Arkhangelskoye and Urozhainoye
In the battles near Avdeevka after the liberation of Novokalinovo and Keramik, Russian troops advanced to the central part of Arkhangelskoye.
In Urozhainoye, the Russian Army gained a foothold in the southern part of the village.
@Slavyangrad
AFU units in the Avdeevka section of the front are in disarey and can’t offer meaningfull resistance, despite the massive influx of reinforcements. Since newly arrived units are of various quality and are often sent to fight piece meal, impression is that their main role is to slow down the Russian advance rather than to contain it. Losses are huge, for relatively small area of operations. In last several days units from Chernovtsi are almost decimated with huge numbers of casualties which are even confirmed by local media in said Town. Airforce is indeed wrecking havoc, from main contact lines, to solidly deep in enemy’s rear. Sursky is obviolsy trading lives for time.
In Novokalinovo and Keramik, our troops completely pushed the enemy forces out of the settlement and outskirts, the entire territory came under our control.
They also reached the south-eastern part of Arkhangelskoye, occupying the entire forest belt.
Between Novokalinovo and Ocheretino we are aligning the flank from the south, and cleaning is underway. Several fortifications have been identified in which it is impossible for Ukrainians to survive; it is impossible to understand why they do not surrender.
North-west of Ocheretino, we expanded control of the territory by 1200m and reached the intersection of the outermost forest belts.
Thus, Arkhangelskoye finds itself in a semi-encirclement.
Artillery and aviation are covering enemy positions in Sokol, which we are almost close to.
We are also destroying crossings and bridges in the near rear, for example, the Russian Aerospace Forces FAB destroyed the bridge between Mezhevoye and Skuchnoye, which is southwest of Novoselovka 1st.
After the breakthrough from Ocheretino to Arkhangelskoye, it became obvious how difficult the situation could be for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
In addition to the fact that the ability to shell Donetsk is gradually being lost (which for many years was important for Kiev from a psychological point of view), there are also purely military, tactical dangers.
Firstly, Russian troops are now very close to Novoaleksandrovka. Less than 10 km from this place there is a key junction of the T-0504 highway between Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka.
Secondly, a little more than 12 km from the current position of the Russian troops remains on the N-20 highway to the same Konstantinovka.
In other words, there are at least two options for an offensive (the third is to continue moving west from Ocheretino along the railway), and Ukrainian troops cannot yet prevent the command of the Russian army from choosing between them.
After the breakthrough at Ocheretino, the Russian army may create a threat of large-scale encirclement in the DPR for Ukrainian militants, writes the local publication Strana.
The main problem for the Ukrainian Armed Forces with this breakthrough is that it takes Russian troops behind the lines of fortifications that Ukrainian troops have begun to build. There, the Russians can advance quickly, creating a threat of encirclement of Ukrainian units along a huge section of the front,
- noted in the publication.
The publication writes that the Ukrainian army urgently needs to look for reserves to deter Russian troops. At the same time, the situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is aggravated by the absence of any fortified trenches or minefields beyond Ocheretino.
There are almost no defensive structures in the Ukrainian rear
Ukrainian Armed Forces militants told the Associated Press about this. They argue that the extensive fortification network should have been built earlier, and not in the midst of intense fighting.
The lack of defensive structures “helped Russian troops advance,” the article says , and constant shelling and a lack of equipment and personnel are preventing the construction of new ones.
Kiev spent 38 billion hryvnia to strengthen its defense lines, but construction companies do not want to take risks. Therefore, regional officials in their statements “exaggerate the size of the new fortification lines,” the author writes.
Over the past few months, Russian forces have been trying to regain the initiative in the Urozhayne – Staromaiorske sector. Last week, massive strikes were carried out on the AFU positions, which allowed the Russian Armed Forces to make a breakthrough.
▪️Russian assault groups advanced several hundred meters, capturing the territory of the former farm and agricultural machinery hangars in Urozhayne, which was lost last summer during the AFU counteroffensive.
▪️According to the latest data, Russian troops have entrenched themselves on the southern outskirts of the settlement. Artillery and aviation are working on the central and northern parts, suppressing enemy firing points and strongholds. Only the names of the settlements remain, as most of the buildings have been destroyed by regular strikes.
🔻The assault on the farm area is important due to its location on a small hill: the rest of Urozhayne (as well as Staromaiorske) are located in a lowland near the river. But relying on the occupied positions, it will be possible to develop success in the direction of the heights and plantings to the east, which will allow straightening the front along the line Urozhayne – Novodonetske.
rybar
This battle will lay down the future of Battle for donbass for both sides of the war!
One of the posts reads:
Today is a special night outing in Chasov Yar. The assaults will enter the city from three directions.
condottieros
Zelensky was warned about the consequences of losing the Chasov Yar
French war correspondent Anne Nivat, speaking on the LCI TV channel, explained how leaving the city threatens the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
“If the Russians manage to take control of Chasov Yar, they will be able to move to higher ground, from where they can launch artillery strikes,” Niva said.
According to her, shelling of Konstantinovka, where the railway junction is located, which is one of the key elements of Ukrainian logistics, will pose a particularly great danger to Kiev .
The Russian military is increasing pressure at Chasov Yar, writes the Financial Times. This city is of strategic importance, the author of the article emphasizes. By taking or encircling it, the Russians will open up the road to Konstantinovka and put the entire defense of the AFU in the Donbass under attack.
“The terrain that the Russians were able to take over the past few months made it very convenient for Ukrainian troops to conduct defensive operations. Now Russia can move forward faster,”
said Rob Lee, a scholar at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, commenting on the situation.
At the same time, the Associated Press reports that Russian troops defeated the 67th brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, created from neo-Nazis of the Right Sector banned in the Russian Federation, in the Chasov Yar area.
A few days ago, the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced the need to disband the 67th brigade due to defections and problems with discipline.
“We lost all the commanders of squads, platoons, companies and sergeants… we lost the entire backbone of the brigade,”
said one of the ukrainian officers in response to such accusations.
ConflictChronicles
Situation in Chasiv Yar:
The 98th Airborne Division of the VDV has managed to break through the defenses south of the “Canal” neighborhood and reach the “North Donets-Donbas” canal.
The forest south of the railway is fully controlled by the paratroopers.
The paratroopers are encircling the eastern neighborhood from the south, while the Listovenyi forest north of the railway is in a gray zone where the enemy’s recon groups are actively operating, and the forest to the south is under the control of the paratroopers.
Spetsnaz Archangel.
Strike on the headquarters of the AFU’s Southern Command, casualties have started to surface
▪️ Ukrainian authorities have begun to publish reports of casualties from the missile strike on Odessa the day before yesterday.
▪️ One of them was AFU Major Igor Bezsonov.
▪️ Earlier, the Russian Defense Ministry reported the defeat of the headquarters of the AFU Operational Command South.
RVvoenkor
Despite the fact that the original plan for the special military operation called for a landing in Odesa on the sixth day, history has unfolded differently. In the current realities, it is not yet possible to land troops and physically liberate the Odesa Region.
However, the Russian forces are fighting against the Ukrainian formations entrenched in the region and striking important targets and facilities.
▪️Since the beginning of this year, the positions of Ukrainian formations have repeatedly been subjected to strikes by our missiles and drones: our team counted 97 cases of fire strikes on targets.
▪️The targets of the fire strikes were nine warehouses and arsenals, four headquarters and temporary deployment points, six energy infrastructure facilities, and nine units of military equipment (including a patrol ship, radar, air defense systems, and air defense).
📌Unlike the capital region, the Odesa Region is not as well protected by air defense systems (which also shows the true attitude of the Kyiv authorities towards the Russian region).
However paradoxical it may be, such strikes give hope to the Russian people: that Russia remembers them, that it is fighting the Ukrainian formations, that the tragedy (https://t.me/rybar/59693) of 2014 is not forgotten and will be avenged.
📌If the appropriate decision is made, before the advance on Odesa, there is still a difficult path to Mykolaiv, since without established logistics, the same amphibious operation is a one-way ticket. But the Russian-speaking population of the Odesa Region is waiting for Russia and its return, no matter how much they try to convince them otherwise in the West or in Kyiv.
rybar
Chronicle of a special military operation
for May 1-2, 2024
Russian troops launched missile attacks on logistics infrastructure facilities and the headquarters of the operational command “South” in Odessa , as well as air defense systems and MLRS in the Kharkov region . The enemy, in turn, carried out another drone raid on Russian energy system facilities in the Kursk and Oryol regions .
In the Bakhmut direction, on the approaches to Chasov Yar, active clashes continue in the Novy microdistrict , as well as in the Stupki-Golubovskie-2 forest reserve, where Russian troops are advancing in the direction of the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal.
On the northern front of the Avdeevsky direction, Russian troops are clearing Keramik and Novokalinovo and have begun assault operations on the outskirts of Arkhangelsk , where the enemy is still unable to stabilize the front line. To the south, the Russian Armed Forces advanced a kilometer in the direction of Sokol from Solovyevo .
In the Vremyevsky direction, Russian troops, after several weeks of air and artillery strikes, went on the offensive in the Urozhaynoye area and gained a foothold on the southern outskirts of the village. Taking into account the geographical location, control over the taken positions in the future will make it possible to align the front along the Urozhaynoye – Novodonetskoye line.
rybar
Russian forces enter Arkhanhel’s'ke | More advances in Novomykhailivka [2 May 2024]
UKRAINE GOT ROUTED!!! Russia captured more than half of Arkhanhelske! – Frontline Changes Report
[ SITREP ] ARKHANHELSKE on verge of CAPTURE; Kupyansk / Urozhaine Offensive – Ukraine War Summary
Summary of advances in Ukraine for the month of April [2024]
Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (2 May 2024)
▫️Units of the Zapad Group of Forces improved the tactical situation along the front lines, and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the AFU 3rd Assault Brigade, 30th, 67th mechanised brigades, 13th, and 31st Ukrainian national guard brigades near Sinkovka, Borovaya, and Kupyansk (Kharkov).
Five counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 77th Airmobile Brigade, 110th Territorial Defence Brigade, and 1st Ukrainian National Guard Brigade were repelled near Novoselkovskoye, Stelmakhovka (LPR), and Kislovka (Kharkov).
The AFU lost up to 150 servicemen, one tank, and five MVs.
In course of counter-battery warfare, one Polish-made 155-mm self-propelled artillery system, one U.S-made 155-mm M777 howitzer and one U.S.-made M198 howitzer, one 152-mm Akatsiya self-propelled howitzer, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, and two 122-mm D-30 howitzers were neutralised.
▫️Units of the Yug Group of Forces captured more advantageous lines and inflicted losses on mercenaries of the Foreign Legion units, 79th, 92nd air assault brigades, 46th, 81st airmobile brigades, 28th, 93rd mechanised brigades, 107th, and 112th territorial defence brigades near Belogorovka, Grigorovka, Maksimilyanovka, Konstantinovka, Krasnogorovka, and Paraskoviyevka (DPR).
The AFU lost up to 270 servicemen, one tank, and four MVs.
In the course of counter-battery warfare, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, one Nota electronic warfare station, and three field ammunition depots were destroyed.
▫️Units of Tsentr Group of Forces liberated Berdichi (DPR), improved the tactical situation, and inflicted losses on units of the AFU 59th Motorised Infantry Brigade, 42nd, 47th mechanised brigades, and 109th Territorial Defence Brigade near Vozdvizhenka, Kalinovo, Sokol, Novopokrovskoye, and Progress (DPR).
10 counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 78th Separate Air Assault Regiment, 68th Jaeger Brigade, 142nd Infantry Brigade, 23rd, 24th, 100th, 115th mechanised brigades were repelled near Leninskoye, Novokalinovo, Ocheretino, Solovyevo, Semyonovka, Netaylovo (DPR).
The AFU lost up to 380 servicemen, five AFVs, eight MVs, one German-made PzH 2000 self-propelled artillery system, and one 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzer.
▫️Units of the Vostok Group of Forces took more advantageous lines and inflicted losses on units of the AFU 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade and 72nd Mechanised Brigade near Urozhaynoye, Makarovka, and Vodyanoye (DPR).
One counter-attack launched by an assault detachment of the AFU 128th Territorial Defence Brigade was repelled near Staromayorskoye (DPR).
The AFU lost up to 100 servicemen, two U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzers, and one U.S.-made M198 howitzer.
▫️Units of the Dnepr Group of Forces delivered strikes on manpower clusters of the AFU 35th, 37th marines brigades, 121st, and 126th territorial defence brigades near Orekhov (Zaporozhye), Mikhailovka, Ivanovka, and Tyaginka (Kherson).
The AFU lost up to 30 servicemen, two MVs, and one U.S.-made 105-mm M119 howitzer.
▫️Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Groups of Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation destroyed two U.S.-made HIMARS MLRS combat vehicles, one missile and ammunition production plant, one AFU missile and tube artillery weaponry depot, as well as engaged AFU manpower and hardware in 117 areas.
▫️Over the past 24 hours, air defence units shot down 25 UAVs, two French-made Hammer guided aerial bombs, as well as three U.S.-made HIMARS and Uragan MLRS projectiles.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may.html
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