Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather 3/16/2016

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF VA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE
   POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS EASTERN VIRGINIA
   AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND.

   ...VA...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE PLAINS AND MS/OH
   VALLEYS...WITH A SURFACE BOUNDARY SWEEPING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
   APPALACHIANS.  THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
   SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON FROM PA INTO THE
   CHESAPEAKE BAY AREA.  MULTIPLE 12Z MODELS SUGGEST THE CHANCE OF ONE
   OR TWO STRONG CELLS OVER PARTS OF VA...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL
   POSSIBLE.  THIS THREAT SHOULD BE CONFINED TO A FEW HOURS THIS
   AFTERNOON...AND IS RELATIVELY LOW CONFIDENCE.  THEREFORE WILL
   MAINTAIN ONLY A SMALL MARGINAL RISK AREA.